I went ahead and created an updated chart using photoshop, is not 100% accurate but by estimate.
The purple line would adjust upward if the regression was recomputed.
Where is Trololo? Can he recompute his Bitcoin price regression chart now?
Topic: Total Marketcap All Coins Logarithmic Regression - page 3. (Read 7354 times)
The purple line would adjust upward if the regression was recomputed.
Where is Trololo? Can he recompute his Bitcoin price regression chart now?
I went ahead and created an updated chart using photoshop, is not 100% accurate but by estimate.
Also made a short video with commentary about it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nAT-c2bflTI
Not many are donating for this very valuable work
Please donate to Trololo by scanning the QR code on the OP or this chart.
It will help greatly in getting more regular updates
Thanks so much!
Also made a short video with commentary about it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nAT-c2bflTI
Not many are donating for this very valuable work
Please donate to Trololo by scanning the QR code on the OP or this chart.
It will help greatly in getting more regular updates
Thanks so much!
Op needs to be back. It would great see an updated version. Especially for 2018 because we already hit 100 bi and passed.
To know where do this comes from: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/logarithmic-non-linear-regression-bitcoin-estimated-value-831547
Calculate today's trendline value HERE
Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi
PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel
This chart of yours is indeed accurate regarding what is happening in Bitcoin's price as of now and if many people will see this post will struck their minds that there are an individual who predicts the price from 2014 to what will be the price today. Your market capitalization of Bitcoin is quite in range for today's market capitalization and I am so grateful to it, I really hope that you update your prediction to this thread sooner as it is now a big thing for me.
Indeed, update would be awesome Trolololo!!! 
An update on this would be much appreciated
I just compared this graph to bitcoin's. It basically shows bitcoin has lot more room to raise in price than other altcoins cause altcoins are gonna need correction. That correction will come by selling out to bitcoin. I suppose that's what we should understand. I am not so good at math btw.
To know where do this comes from: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/logarithmic-non-linear-regression-bitcoin-estimated-value-831547
Calculate today's trendline value HERE
Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi
PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel
Any update on this chart?
Then we still have more correction to go, according to your graph?
Who will bleed more?
Who will bleed more?
Thanks for this great stuff.
dayum I wish i could understand this more, but awesome!!
Not only you are ignorant not understanding this but you are an especial ignorant posting and admitting about your own ignorance 
@OP, you are trying to contribute to this community but then you just ruined it by begging in form of donation
Great graph!
Anyone know how to import total marketcap historic data into excel. I know how to import per coin, but not total marketcap data.
Who knows, and who wants to share?
Anyone know how to import total marketcap historic data into excel. I know how to import per coin, but not total marketcap data.
Who knows, and who wants to share?
Looks at logarithmic regression, looks at 2011 sees 1337 I smiled.
Got to be E 133t
But if the log shows something we have years where we are under and over the log line and that the regression pattern really spreads out on a deviance from the pattern so far with the trend only intersected not including the years 2010 and 2011, in 2012 at 125 mill, 2014 almost into 2015 at 7-8 billion and now in 2017 around 80-85 billion so we could be in for some serious upside given the historical log in terms of all cryptocurrencies and their market cap before the next intersect.
Got to be E 133t
But if the log shows something we have years where we are under and over the log line and that the regression pattern really spreads out on a deviance from the pattern so far with the trend only intersected not including the years 2010 and 2011, in 2012 at 125 mill, 2014 almost into 2015 at 7-8 billion and now in 2017 around 80-85 billion so we could be in for some serious upside given the historical log in terms of all cryptocurrencies and their market cap before the next intersect.
when you use bitcoin price for analysis it is meaningful like that link
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.
market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.
market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.
The chart appears to be using cap by circulating supply rather than total supply. The billions in XRP therefore don't make any difference. As for pre-mining, the ability of this practice to inflate cap is limited to withholding supply from the free market at the expense of potential gains. This is easier when the sale is more secretive and restrictive, so that a single entity controls most coins, or several entities can collude.
Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.
Do you have any further details on this? It would be good to see a like for like comparison.
Thanks in advance.
when you use bitcoin price for analysis it is meaningful like that link
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.
market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.
market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.
Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.
A lot of tech companies went bust after the dot com bubble and I am sure a number of alts will disappear too.
Like the tech leaders, only a few cryptocurrencies will survive once this bubble bursts.
Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.
I am not sure, what do or must I see in the chart?
Nice take @OP. I just did a quick search and found your little nugget from 2015, looks like your chart's been pretty accurate even after two years, yeah? In trajectory anyway, if not the $10k prediction for Nov 2017!
Curious if this will hold up over the next two if alt marketshare continues at current rate, or if something drastic happens to the USD.
Curious if this will hold up over the next two if alt marketshare continues at current rate, or if something drastic happens to the USD.
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