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Topic: Total number of bitcoins will DECREASE - page 3. (Read 6542 times)

sr. member
Activity: 506
Merit: 253
April 18, 2015, 06:02:43 PM
#82
Maybe our phd in physics friend can explain further.
Who's he? I'm a physicist, too.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
It's Money 2.0| It’s gold for nerds | It's Bitcoin
June 12, 2014, 08:09:43 PM
#81
One thing that most people don't seem to understand is that after 21 million Bitcoins have been produced, the TOTAL number of Bitcoins in circulation will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year.

This is very unlikely.

Here's why:

with the number of Bitcoins DECLINING (after 21 million) and the demand RISING, classical economics tells us that the price will SURGE.

This means, to hold the same value of bitcoins, individuals will be holding less and less actual bitcoins.  Therefore, when they lose their private key, less bitcoins will be lost.  As such, the TOTAL number of Bitcoins in circulation will decrease in an ever shrinking fashion each year.

You are correct. As the price of bitcoin increases, people will take more case of their keys and security of their wallet. Someone with $0.25 worth of bitcoin may not even have a password attached to his wallet, but if that same .0004 BTC is worth $1,000 then he would likely use double encryption, 2FA, multiple backups, ect)
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
Litecoin will solve this problem  Wink


....but to be more serious: you can divide btc endless, so we have plenty of time. there can be 5 million btc and its enough.  lets talk again in 150 years about that "problem"   Cheesy (iam optimistic)
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
One thing that most people don't seem to understand is that after 21 million Bitcoins have been produced, the TOTAL number of Bitcoins in circulation will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year.  Why? Because a consistent number of people (maybe 0.05%) will always - ALWAYS - lose their private keys.  This is inevitable.

So with the number of Bitcoins DECLINING (after 21 million) and the demand RISING, classical economics tells us that the price will SURGE.



Yes and 21 million bitcoins only so we dont have enough.
So for everyone to use it maybe 100 satoshi will be 10$ someday.
So everyone can use bitcoin, or do you think other altcoins there price will go up so there are enough coins for everyone?

Altcoins are all tied to Bitcoin, so it doesn't matter how many there are; the cap will always be based on what Bitcoin is worth. The only way to solve this would be to break some alts away from it completely and have them stand on their own.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1004
Uh, 256 bit will be secure while you live.. Maybe. But we're all betting that it is secure for a very long time. Maybe not billions or millions of years, but if it actually survives a few hundred years, that's good enough for now.

Practially, I agree with this statement ^^^.  Nonetheless, the discussion of how quantum computers relate to breaking sha 256 is pretty interesting. 

The image above with the solar system sized "perfect-computer" is cute, but it lacks detail.  What's the valuation of "least engery possible to record a change of state"?

Sorry I'm so dumb.
You think too far away! When quantum computer can break sha256, the cryptocurrency probably evolved to new type not BTC as same now.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 511
One thing that most people don't seem to understand is that after 21 million Bitcoins have been produced, the TOTAL number of Bitcoins in circulation will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year.  Why? Because a consistent number of people (maybe 0.05%) will always - ALWAYS - lose their private keys.  This is inevitable.

So with the number of Bitcoins DECLINING (after 21 million) and the demand RISING, classical economics tells us that the price will SURGE.



Yes and 21 million bitcoins only so we dont have enough.
So for everyone to use it maybe 100 satoshi will be 10$ someday.
So everyone can use bitcoin, or do you think other altcoins there price will go up so there are enough coins for everyone?
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
I have read somewhere that around 7% of all the currently circulating Bitcoins are lost for ever (i.e the Private Keys are not with any one). This figure will increase over time.

The figure isn't known though. People speculate and try to craft their own numbers, but there's no way to know for sure. There are definitely people sitting on coins from '09-'10 that haven't moved them but still have access.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
I have read somewhere that around 7% of all the currently circulating Bitcoins are lost for ever (i.e the Private Keys are not with any one). This figure will increase over time.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1081
I may write code in exchange for bitcoins.
xcp burned a couple thousand already.

is xcp a person on this forum?  I'm confused (perhaps perpetually so Smiley ).
member
Activity: 119
Merit: 948
Well, lets assume that holding BTC is the best option
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Losing private keys must really suck, but I see your point. Isn't there someway to protect it?

Yes.

Create backups.

Take personal responsibility?
No, I insist someone protect me from my own many forms of laziness. Make it law.

Store all your BTC on Circle (when/if they open) and your wish may or may not be granted!
member
Activity: 109
Merit: 10
Losing private keys must really suck, but I see your point. Isn't there someway to protect it?

Yes.

Create backups.

Take personal responsibility?
No, I insist someone protect me from my own many forms of laziness. Make it law.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6817231

Follow this link to see the effect of someone losing their wallet containing tons of bitcoins. Its effect on the market as well as the total number of bitcoins in circulation.
jr. member
Activity: 43
Merit: 30
xcp burned a couple thousand already.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1081
I may write code in exchange for bitcoins.
Human nature is human nature. People will always lose their keys.  After 21 million bitcoins, the number will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year. 

Unless somehow we humans become perfect :-)

We all agree that some bitcoins will be lost, but there's already been some pretty solid arguments posted upthread showing that it won't be linear.  You should consider those arguments, I think.  "human nature is human nature" is a tautology that doesn't do much in the face of actual arguments, IMHO.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
Human nature is human nature. People will always lose their keys.  After 21 million bitcoins, the number will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year. 

Unless somehow we humans become perfect :-)

It won't be linear. That would assume that the same number are lost year after year, when really it's going to be variable. It'll be more like a wave than anything. Some years people will lose a lot, some they will lose almost nothing; especially if we get more whales.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1199
Yes well but till this time there will be Bitcoin2 perhaps ...

People will probably never stop using Bitcoins but in next decade there will be need for another as good coin as Bitcoin.

We will see - but yes - total number will .. hmm decrease in a number of coins in usage. But there will be still same amount Tongue
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
★777Coin.com★ Fun BTC Casino!
Human nature is human nature. People will always lose their keys.  After 21 million bitcoins, the number will decrease in a LINEAR fashion each year. 

Unless somehow we humans become perfect :-)
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 1014
you are right, even for professional IT specialist, secure'ing keys is challenge
i mean, you can oversee some problems like backup every ~100 transactions
member
Activity: 75
Merit: 10
Interesting thought. Never considered this before.
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