Topic: Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler - page 2. (Read 1243 times)

Gambling, sports, or slots has its downside. Like what Op just felt in sports can occur in slot games as well. But in a different context. Slot game happens in a way the gambler will argue with his instinct on whether to hit the next button or stop. He'd imagine he could win on the next one, then try again, if he wins, he'd want to try again, believing that his idea worked. Although sports gambling allows the gambler time to watch the game without doing any other thing, other than thinking, slots put the gambler on steady thinking and gambling. He has no time to rest, he's free once the session is over. Sports betting and slots seem almost similar, and none is easier than the other.

I understand that knowledge and analytical strength are a plus for sports gamblers, but as you said, it doesn't guarantee a win. Like slots, being a professional doesn't mean you'd win. Gambling in any form can't be understood completely. What led Op to withdraw before the final whistle was blown was self-doubt. He didn't want to lose out completely. He wasn't wrong, he got what he wanted. Additionally, he got greedy when he realized that he could have won more if he left the funds untouched. It's a "had I known, I knew" situation, and the player can think about this for a long period.

The distinction between slot machines and sports betting is like the role of luck versus skill / knowledge in gambling. Slot machines are indeed purely luck-based that offers excitement through the unpredictability of each spin. This unpredictability can also contribute to their addictive nature, because players may chase the elusive big win that is fueled by the adrenaline rush of each spin.

Sports betting allows for the application of knowledge, analysis, and research. It doesn't eliminate the element of chance entirely, informed betting decisions can tilt the odds slightly more in favor, this is why sport betting have certain odds for each bet. This element of control and strategy can enhance the enjoyment of the game for many, because it adds a layer of skill and engagement beyond mere luck. Regardless of the form of gambling, there will be inherent risks involved.

At the very end, our judgment of what happened just realized because we see now the result. If we think that our winning rate is not better whether following our own instinct or not, then we can stick on what's the most effective between each two. We can do a test run on our several bets then from there, check what's the better to use in the long-run.

Sports betting is also a tough gambling that even with good analysis, our bet are still subject to a 50/50 win-loss percentage.

Last week, I picked few matches I wanted bet on and before I could stake on it, one of the games had already started. My instinct tells me to wager on it like that but I ignored and added another game to make my potential winning a round figure. When the games ended it was the one game I added that spoilt my bet. So I understand the feeling, but if one of your games had lost you won't be saying this, so be happy and thankful that you won something regardless of the amount.

In making a bet, I think we don't just stick to our instincts and feelings, but they must be able to have a balance between instinct and rational analysis. When someone has very strong instincts, this can help him make a betting decision quickly, but this is not a guarantee that when someone has strong instincts it will produce a correct and rational betting decision, so that the final result of the bet is good. installing it will bear sweet fruit. Therefore, it is necessary to combine strong instincts and careful and rational analysis. By being able to produce an analysis result that can be said to be quite rational, apart from this it can help him maximize his chances of winning, but this can also help him to avoid unnecessary risks.

Slot machines are based on luck, so you can't control the outcome. This can make them more exciting but also more addictive. Sports betting is different because you can use your knowledge and research to make smarter bets. This doesn't guarantee you'll win, but it gives you more control and can make the game more fun and strategic. One should always know that all gambling has risks, so it's important to be careful and think clearly before going ahead to gamble, in order to avoid gambling out of hand or gradually leading yourself to addiction.

I have cashed out on so many bets and lost there. I saw the bets that I was less likely to win but in the end I won those bets. Also, when my betting situation is bad, if I cash out, my return is very low, while if the result changes, I lose completely. I made up my mind that I would not cash out even if I lost. Because if I take a bet, I have to take the risk. So I don't think there is need to cash out. If there is luck in the bet then any way there is a win but if the luck is bad there is nothing to do. So I don't want to cast out and I don't want to regret. It is normal for me when I lose a bet but when a bet results in a win after cashing out it is very painful.

This is not a good option for me because it makes me more confused especially if people from opposite side of the bet give a solid explanation on why they choose those pick. Not only in gambling but also in trading which I missed a lot of profit opportunities to enter low price in new crypto project just because I ask the opinion of others that is biased to their investment.

I learned that trusting my own instincts is always the right choice regardless of the result because I’m risking my money for my own action instead of losing money using other opinion.

I always do a mix of following my instinct and statistics because combining these two options led me to more winning bets than rather doing random bets or simply follow some AI predictions or any other craps like this. However , it's good to search for what other people are betting on your events so in this way you will have a second opinion on your bets and then you can wisely chose from your instinct , statistics and also other people bets and outcomes. 

That's true, that's a very good idea, which I think blaming one's own instincts is just an action that will only waste time because it's clear, as you said, that if it turns out that at the end of the session the result is winning by not following our own instincts, then we will definitely think and looking for other reasons to justify it, therefore this is what is meant by that gambling is not an activity that can be learned even if it is by using instinct or feeling because after all we will never know about the results at the end of the session.

Therefore, it is clear, as you suggested above, that if for example we already have instincts then just follow your instincts, win or else it will be a matter for later because in any case everything always happens randomly which means that the results at the end of the session will never be known unless you have finished the session. Doubt will only make us blame ourselves and will also make us look for lots of excuses when the results are not what we want.

To try to follow ones instincts is quite hard in this noisy world where everyone is talking and no one is actually listening.
When one decides to gamble how can they truly tell it's their instinct or just a thoughtful decision?
One has to have failed several times, sit down to think upon why such failure happened and strive to correct the errors by doing the right thing or stopping when necessary.
Same applies to gambling, most times we may not know what is the right thing to do, but when we have won enough, mostly after a certain count, it's better to stop than let greed take hold.

From the very first place, the line "Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler" just came up after seeing the result.

What if the other way around happened instead and by not following what's on your instinct, it won instead? Then the line will be changed again, right?

When placing a bet, don't hesitate. If your analysis tells you that's the right bet, then don't confuse yourself on other options.

Sports betting depends on the odds as well, no matter how good you are at game analysis, sometimes the odds will play tricks on you. Not unless if you're betting straight up money line by just choosing what team is most likely going to win. However, betting on favorite team will only give you smaller winning than the amount that you bet, the percentage always depends on how underdog the opposing team are.
This is the reason why some sports bettor rather choose to place a bet on the over and under and other odds that offers an attractive winning amount.
Also, the most challenging analysis that you're going to make in sports betting is when you decide to have parlays. The more leg you place the more analysis you're going to make. This will also test your intuition because sometimes you'll get tempted to alter your bets.

Actually, games like slot machines are play based on intuition or gut feelings rather because their outcomes is usually random with no way for the gamblers to influence the result. For games like sports betting is where your skills and knowledge play important role. Research and analysis is useful in this category of gambling because it gives you additional information on the players or the team entirely to know the strategies to employ and the best options to help you win your bet. However, this doesn't make sports betting more easier than the slot games or guaranteed your winning but it gives you more control of your own bet and of course, increase your chances despite that analysis are not accurate sometimes.

Doing research and doing analysis before placing a bet would of course be very good to be able to know which team we will bet on, but when we play slot gambling, of course it will be very difficult to guess and see statistics and we can only play the game based on our instincts and of course this will be very risky and also some people can enjoy the game well, of course gambling is very counter to their intuition and almost every gambling will be very difficult to place a bet based on our feelings and we have to bet according to the statistics of the bet that we installed.

This is the art of placing parlay bet which contains of several match selections. In the process when there is 1 or 2 matches to go and we have made some profit already with the other settled selections, we might be interested to cash it out earlier because we are worrying that the last match will not go as what we want. To avoid confusion while the bet is still going on, it is better if we have decided first what we will do with the bet. Let it go until all matches ended or monitoring it then make early cash out if we feel something bad is going to happen.

I don't think trusting your instincts is a good idea. Good ideas are to trust your statistics, your research, and the patterns you identify. This is what you really should trust. And instincts are something not entirely clear. What are player instincts? Is this intuition? In this case, the description is very similar to intuition. However, it should be recognized that gambling is often counterintuitive. In other words, game patterns may be counterintuitive. This can only be revealed with the help of statistics and original research.

this is basically a test of your gambling maturity and how good your instinct his but it's not a loose situation In my opinion. So what would have been you view on this if you had continued waiting for the game to finish only to find out that the game did not play out at the end and that half of the money you should have won if you had cashed out have all gone? I guess it would have down on you that you've been a bit greedy and that's when you will probably know the value of the amount you've won.

Learn to know when to walk away. It's gambling and the outcome is uncertain at the end of the day so you have to stick with that reality and and make use of every opportunity you have the chance of winning. Maybe it played out today and the issue of your instinct comes into play but the next day it might not be so, Gambling is a 50/50 situation, you either win or you loose and that's it. When you have the opportunity to win, take the win positively cause you will still loose in some other time.

Indeed, when gambling is truly based on having fun and getting entertainment, whatever outcome happens will never think deeply about it, even if it is loss because all can think about is being able to entertain yourself at certain time.
Moreover, gambling just for fun can provide feeling of relaxation and make the mind fresher, we really feel the benefits without any negative impacts occurring.
This will be very different from gambling to chase win and in the condition of trying to chase win will always have thoughts and feelings that tend to be more anxious so that don't feel calm.
In conditions like this, defeat becomes frightening result and changes everything, they will have emotions that increase significantly so that there will be much bigger defeat that will never be accepted.
These two attitudes will show different characters because the mindset and approach are also very different.
I have experienced it all and of course it will provide an experience that can change everything now when it comes to gambling.

Correct. Our instincts are not always correct and sometimes there are good things that happen when we go the other way.
I do rely on my instincts when betting on basketball games, it's the spreads where I am always having a hard time choosing. But we should also try to combine instincts with analysis. If a team mostly wins 10+ lead per game then there's a chance they can hit -10 below spread. But, there are times when we get greedy and add more to that spread telling ourselves it is our instincts that tell us it could happen and that's when we make a mistake. I made some regretful bets too where I didn't follow my instincts but still, I used my own analysis and that just means there's more to learn about the game. I still lack experience and I need to step up my analysis so that I won't be relying in instincts too much.