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Topic: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season - page 139. (Read 141878 times)

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In this season of Champions League, especially in the semi-final matches, there is no chance to say which team will be ahead and which team will be behind. Of course we put PSG ahead in the second leg of the semi-final between PSG vs Dortmund but the result was different on the field where PSG lost to Dortmund. 

Considering past statistics or current performance, PSG was ahead but on field performance PSG could not stay ahead which resulted in PSG trailing Dortmund by one goal in the first leg of the semi-final. 
However, the positive aspect for PSG is that they will have the opportunity to play the second leg match at their home ground, in which case they have a good chance of being ahead. PSG must be aggressive in the second leg match and at least make the goal difference 2-0 for PSG to directly qualify for the Champions League final.
PSG in the first leg actually also had several opportunities which almost became a goal if they didn't hit the goal post. But somehow PSG seemed to have lost sharpness in completing attacks. Dortmund made more attacks that could endanger PSG's goal. So the score of 1-0 was very appropriate. And yes, in the second leg we will definitely see PSG who are much more aggressive. because in the second leg PSG must catch up by scoring at least 2 goals and not conceding. The position as host can be an advantage and PSG must make good use of it.
legendary
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Borussia Dortmund won the UEFA Champions League semifinal first leg 1-0 against Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) on yesterday. Dortmund's German forward Niclas Fullkrug netted the winning goal at home, Signal Iduna Park, in the 36th minute. The second leg will be held at Parc Des Princes on Tuesday. Lucas Hernández, who was injured during the UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain, suffered an anterior cruciate ligament rupture in his left knee. I wish you get well soon.
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Its wrong to have such conclusions, judging from the performances from the quarter finals, every team have performed well both from home and away, Barcelona won from away and lost terribly from home. Real Madrid drew both at home and away and won by penalties. The only favorites that will okay there is only if they Emily the services of a biased referee like the one that officiated the Barcelona vs PSG match which clearly favored PSG. If there's a repeat on that, then I can count it of as  another champions league match robbery and not a win. The odds are the same on the real Madrid soil,  if Bayern plays well, they would be victorious. There's no other special formula to it.
If you say that the conclusion I said is wrong, then how do you respond to the odds displayed on the site you are promoting, especially in the sportsbook section?



So far the conclusions I have made are based on data available on various sites, including the casino you are promoting. This clearly confirms that many people believe that Real Madrid is the favorite to win and qualify for the final, but I also don't rule out the possibility that Bayern Munich also has a chance. If you didn't cut my post, then you can read it again carefully.

There are many reasons why Real Madrid is considered the favorite at home, but that alone is not enough, let alone a guarantee. Both teams have equal chances regardless of who is the favorite to win the match.
I think we're on the same page, just a slight misjudgment of intentions, I was thinking you're claiming that Real Madrid would win Bayern already because they're at home. I've seen those odds including the one on the casino I'm promoting and its natural to give such odds judging that its their home, we saw it in previous strong matches, but it surely doesn't decide the match outcomes, the outcomes of the match is decided by the level of coordinated and effective display from a team.

Personally, I want want Bayern to win the UCL because of my support for Harry Kane and T. Tuchel, especially Kane, so his assumed deadlock might be broken because he's a really fine player with little achievement. I think my expectations kind of influenced my perfect understanding of your intent. 90 mins will surely decide.
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Yesterday, as I expected, Dortmund managed to beat PSG at home. As much as I want Dortmund to win, it is unlikely that they will be champions league champions. They are one of the weakest teams between them statistically and squad wise. Although Dortmund struggled against PSG, they managed to win at home and gain an important advantage for the round. A possible draw away from home will mean a place in the round for them.
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In any game there are episodes that could influence it in one direction or another, but I think that a 2-2 draw is a logical and fair outcome. Now the chances of a return game are as follows:

1.93 - 3.85 - 3.65

Real Madrid are a clearer favorite than Bayern were in the home game, but I want to point out that 1.93 is a pretty generous quote. I don’t think that Bayern can stay on equal terms with Real for 2 games and that Real will decide in extra time.

The odds for Real Madrid win look really nice!  Smiley  But it is for 90 minutes right, not including extra time?

Then the risk goes higher however I still see it as a reasonable risk to take to be honest. I believe in Real Madrid to beat this Bayern Munich without playing even extra 30 minutes. It is Santiago Bernabeu we are talking about. We shouldn't see another defensive game choice by Ancelotti. People who want to lower the risk can just bet on Real Madrid to qualify which is 1.52. I just don't give Bayern Munich a high chance to surprise us.

I'm okay with Real Madrid - Dortmund or Real Madrid - PSG finals both.  Grin

Yes, its for 90 minutes. 1.52 also good but i think that its better to maximise profit and bet on regular time. It seems to me that if the game goes into added time, the outcome will be random 50/50, so it is more logical to look not for 1.52 in the option when the outcome becomes random, but to immediately bet on 1.93, assuming that there will be no randomness.
But this is just personal preference, I'm not sure that from a mathematical point of view there is any difference.
legendary
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I think psg will still move to the final, this is similar to their quarter final match against Barcelona were they lost the first leg though that was at their home but I think the second leg this time won't be any different like we saw in the QR they are going to be the one qualifying, Enrique will probably learn from his mistakes and Mbappe will try to do alot better
The defeat experienced by PSG at Dortmund Headquarters was similar to when they lost in the first leg against Barcelona, but I don't expect any of Dortmund players to suffer the same fate as Araujo, who had to leave the field early due to being given a red card while playing in the second leg. Dortmund must play disciplined and avoid all the worst possibilities that could harm them.

PSG's only advantage in the second leg is because the supporters can be their 12th player, support from supporters can increase the enthusiasm of PSG players in catching up. I hope the game at the Parc des Princes will present a different story, PSG must show a good game and create lots of opportunities if they want to appear in the final.
Mbappe will want to show his class on that day in front of all his fans at home. It will be a very tough match for Dortmund who will not have much fan to cheer them up. Mbappe needs to prove to the world that he is the one that can bring out PSG from their yesterday's defeat, and make them qualify for the finals, because all eyes will be on him.
Dortmund just needs to compose themselves a d play with care to avoid any mistakes or actions that will become a disadvantage to them on the field, so that they will put the blame on anyone, incase they get defeated, and for them to also be able to see if they can win the match

Dortmund won the home match. As the home team, they were confident. And the match was narrowly won by 1-0. Dortmund's performance was good. However, PSG's players did not perform badly either. PSG players created several scoring opportunities. But due to Dortmund's strong defense, PSG could not score any goal in the match. However, I expected a little better gameplay from PSG's attacking players in this match. However, the performance of the team was a bit slow.

The second leg match will be PSG's home match. It won't be easy for Dortmund to beat PSG at home or resist PSG's players. However, since the Dortmund team is already ahead by winning the first leg, Dortmund can qualify for the final only if they can draw the second leg match. There is no doubt that the second leg match will be very competitive. I look forward to seeing PSG boss Luis Enrique's match strategy in the home match.
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The defeat experienced by PSG at Dortmund Headquarters was similar to when they lost in the first leg against Barcelona, but I don't expect any of Dortmund players to suffer the same fate as Araujo, who had to leave the field early due to being given a red card while playing in the second leg. Dortmund must play disciplined and avoid all the worst possibilities that could harm them.

PSG's only advantage in the second leg is because the supporters can be their 12th player, support from supporters can increase the enthusiasm of PSG players in catching up. I hope the game at the Parc des Princes will present a different story, PSG must show a good game and create lots of opportunities if they want to appear in the final.
Being left behind by just one aggregate in the first leg should not be an obstacle for PSG to create a different situation again in the second leg which will take place at the Parc des Princes. Because in the second leg, both teams will field all their core players with sufficient abilities in order to win and advance to the final round, so in that case it certainly won't have enough influence on PSG supporters because this will only have a small effect on the PSG team. Although the mentality of the Dortmund players must also be stronger when competing at the Parc des Princes.
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I think psg will still move to the final, this is similar to their quarter final match against Barcelona were they lost the first leg though that was at their home but I think the second leg this time won't be any different like we saw in the QR they are going to be the one qualifying, Enrique will probably learn from his mistakes and Mbappe will try to do alot better
The defeat experienced by PSG at Dortmund Headquarters was similar to when they lost in the first leg against Barcelona, but I don't expect any of Dortmund players to suffer the same fate as Araujo, who had to leave the field early due to being given a red card while playing in the second leg. Dortmund must play disciplined and avoid all the worst possibilities that could harm them.

PSG's only advantage in the second leg is because the supporters can be their 12th player, support from supporters can increase the enthusiasm of PSG players in catching up. I hope the game at the Parc des Princes will present a different story, PSG must show a good game and create lots of opportunities if they want to appear in the final.
Mbappe will want to show his class on that day in front of all his fans at home. It will be a very tough match for Dortmund who will not have much fan to cheer them up. Mbappe needs to prove to the world that he is the one that can bring out PSG from their yesterday's defeat, and make them qualify for the finals, because all eyes will be on him.

Dortmund just needs to compose themselves a d play with care to avoid any mistakes or actions that will become a disadvantage to them on the field, so that they will put the blame on anyone, incase they get defeated, and for them to also be able to see if they can win the match
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I think psg will still move to the final, this is similar to their quarter final match against Barcelona were they lost the first leg though that was at their home but I think the second leg this time won't be any different like we saw in the QR they are going to be the one qualifying, Enrique will probably learn from his mistakes and Mbappe will try to do alot better
The defeat experienced by PSG at Dortmund Headquarters was similar to when they lost in the first leg against Barcelona, but I don't expect any of Dortmund players to suffer the same fate as Araujo, who had to leave the field early due to being given a red card while playing in the second leg. Dortmund must play disciplined and avoid all the worst possibilities that could harm them.

PSG's only advantage in the second leg is because the supporters can be their 12th player, support from supporters can increase the enthusiasm of PSG players in catching up. I hope the game at the Parc des Princes will present a different story, PSG must show a good game and create lots of opportunities if they want to appear in the final.
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A difference of two goals will give PSG the qualification to the finals. If Dortmund can go to France and draw the match it means that Dortmund will be the club playing the finals with Re Madrid.
And how sure are you that if Dortmund wins their next match, they will be playing against Real Madrid? Real Madrid played draw in the first leg of their match which was against Bayern Munich, nobody is sure yet that Real Madrid will be winning Bayern Munich in the second leg of the match, even if Real Madrid has higher chances of winning the second leg since they will be playing at home, but we just can’t conclude yet that they will be winning, we should wait for the match to be played first before we know who will be winning.
In this season of Champions League, especially in the semi-final matches, there is no chance to say which team will be ahead and which team will be behind. Of course we put PSG ahead in the second leg of the semi-final between PSG vs Dortmund but the result was different on the field where PSG lost to Dortmund. 

Considering past statistics or current performance, PSG was ahead but on field performance PSG could not stay ahead which resulted in PSG trailing Dortmund by one goal in the first leg of the semi-final. 
However, the positive aspect for PSG is that they will have the opportunity to play the second leg match at their home ground, in which case they have a good chance of being ahead. PSG must be aggressive in the second leg match and at least make the goal difference 2-0 for PSG to directly qualify for the Champions League final.
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Exactly. At first, PSG had a high chance of winning the game even though they were playing away, but if we looked at the performance, they did very well, even better than Dortmund, and seriously, I didn’t expect Dortmund to be the winner of this match even though they were playing at home. However, I can say PSG were unlucky to win because their performance was impressively good. No doubt, they also had some opportunities, but they failed to utilise them to win. 
Dortmund was have a very good time in their home against PSG even people's stated that every teams always strong in the home even thought is a weak team, but I never belive but now I'm agree when watch yesterday match between Dortmund and PSG the game was very interesting. Although was making a wrong prediction about Dortmund that they're not capable to have even single short on target but at the end of the game how they see the results, in that yesterday match PSG didn't perform well better than Dortmund their performance is almost thesame with the way they put much pressure on each other. If to say the opportunity that Dortmund was get right from the first time they didn't miss used it they could've  secored more than 1 goal, but they try since their able to secure that 1 goal to make sure they dominate the match.
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However, let’s wait for the second leg before we conclude, but to me, Dortmund had the opportunity of being at home in this match. I won’t say they played more than PSG; it was just that the game was too lucky for PSG, so we should expect PSG to beat Dortmund in the second leg in their home. Though I know Dortmund are going to be well prepared for the second leg since they luckily won the first leg, they will want to try as much as they can to get the second leg too, which will be a very difficult thing to accomplish. 
Since Dortmund are able to be the winner in the first leg i don't have any fear for them in second leg even though they where going to play away game, with the way they perform in first leg PSG can still find the match difficult to win. Due to my own view even though Dortmund will not able to dominate the match they will not allow PSG to defeat rather they will try to lead the game to draw that is only of my expectations in their next coming match.
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Dortmund are luckily to have a win that is their advantage before a second semi final with PSG in Paris. Even the win is with very tight difference, it is still a win and can help Dortmund to feel more comfortable with a next match at PSG's stadium.
No one would believe Dortmund would pull off such string and go ahead with a goal in the first leg but i have always thought that it can happen because PSG are not so superior and have a lose defense but their attack have always covered up for the defense and try to balance things out.
In my opinion, it doesn't mean that PSG has a weak defense, but it's just that Niclas Fullkrug is able to exploit big gaps when PSG defense is too forward and I know actually maybe that will give an offside trap but it turns out that Niclas Fullkrug is very intelligent and is able to read the right situation to get a very good opportunity big and managed to score 1 score.
I think in yesterday's match both clubs were equally competitive, but in the second leg I am sure PSG will be successful in gaining a score advantage to qualify for the final round.
One thing we have to see now is that PSG has the right coach who is able to manage the players very well and organize strategies to keep their mainstay players in good physical condition and be able to perform with a strong performance until this semi-final round and PSG still has several midfielders who are great is the next plan if Mbappe has difficulty scoring Enrique will rely on midfielders to score.
Mbappe is still very ambitious about providing the best memories before leaving PSG so he will continue to try to help get the best position until the final round, even though it is very impossible to get the champions league title, but at least being able to win second place is already the best experience.
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What a save made yesterday Nico Schlotterbeck against Mbappe when he was gonna score after avoiding the goalkeeper.

For me was a huge surprise to see Drotmund winning i dont expect that at all, but i also still think in Paris they dont stand a chance, and PSG is gonna be in the final, this Dortmund is having so many good games in UCL when they dont play this good in the season for example in Bundesliga games.
Nico Schlotterbeck had a very big contribution in the match, in addition to saving Dortmund's goal from conceding of course Nico Schlotterbeck made mbappe in the match unable to move freely because he got a tight guard from him, the sturdy defense built by Nico Schlotterbeck and his partners was able to make Dortmund maintain their victory until the end of the game, besides that Nico Schlotterbeck had a great contribution after the top pass was converted into the winning goal by Fuellkrug in the 36th minute, I think overall both teams played quite well in the game but Dortmund solid defence was certainly an important factor for Dortmund to maintain their lead until the end of the game even though they continued to get a lot of dangerous attacks from PSG attackers throughout the game.

It is surprising that Dortmund can beat PSG in that match, because indeed from the beginning PSG were favorites to win easily in the first leg of the semi-finals, for now Dortmund at least has good capital to face PSG in the second leg later, although it is difficult to say Dortmund can maintain their victory later but I think for now Dortmund has greater motivation to be able to secure their victory in the second leg later.
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I think psg will still move to the final, this is similar to their quarter final match against Barcelona were they lost the first leg though that was at their home but I think the second leg this time won't be any different like we saw in the QR they are going to be the one qualifying, Enrique will probably learn from his mistakes and Mbappe will try to do alot better
If you look at last night's match I think Dortmund played very well and they deserved to play in the final. I still prefer PSG to go to the final but if you look at last night's match you can see that Dortmund played better and more solidly. They can dominate PSG in that match. Dortmund had a lot of good chances but Donnarumma played quite well on the night. PSG also had a chance when Mbappe's shot hit the crossbar. PSG must not play like that in the second leg. Enrique has to think about how to overcome Dortmund's tactics because I see Dortmund can really beat PSG's tactics.
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What a save made yesterday Nico Schlotterbeck against Mbappe when he was gonna score after avoiding the goalkeeper.

For me was a huge surprise to see Drotmund winning i dont expect that at all, but i also still think in Paris they dont stand a chance, and PSG is gonna be in the final, this Dortmund is having so many good games in UCL when they dont play this good in the season for example in Bundesliga games.

I would be very careful going in favor of Paris after such an ugly performance yesterday.In the first half they were completely dominated by Dortmund and in the second half they barely came back,they were playing like they were having the game in their hands and did not put a big pressure on Dortmund,quite the opposite,Dortmund had some really great chances and if they managed to score one of those chances we would be talking differently now,even like things are I don't think Paris will have an easy return leg.
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Dortmund's win was good and they have the capital ahead of the second leg against PSG later. Even though they only won by a narrow margin, it meant a lot for Dortmund where they will next play an away match at PSG. I think Dortmund also knows that it will be very difficult to face PSG at home and maybe everything can change if the hosts play more intensely.

Last night PSG didn't play well and they couldn't steal the lead with the opportunities they had. Mbappe seemed under pressure and had no free space to move. I think Luis Enrique must learn from this first leg mistake and improve his existing strategy so he can turn things around at home later. PSG needs at least 2 goals but I think Dortmund will still increase their aggregate and will not play defensively at all.


Dortmund got a good win, which puts them in a good position for the second game against PSG.  Even though the lead isnt very big, goals scored away from home make a huge difference. But they know the job isnt done yet. Its a whole different game for PSG at home, and they'll be ready to go.

PSG did not play well last night, there is no way around it.  They missed some chances, and Mbappe was closely defended. He needs more help to make those crazy runs he's known for. Enrique needs to really look at the tape from this one. Dont make the same mistakes in the second leg. At least two goals need to be scored by PSG. There's no way Dortmund will sit back and protect, so both teams will score a lot of goals.

I think psg will still move to the final, this is similar to their quarter final match against Barcelona were they lost the first leg though that was at their home but I think the second leg this time won't be any different like we saw in the QR they are going to be the one qualifying, Enrique will probably learn from his mistakes and Mbappe will try to do alot better
Even though there was only one goal, the whole match was very enjoyable because they were a good team and they fought well and there were many missed positions and goals. There was a very nice atmosphere in the Borussia Dortmund stadium, they always do this and they won the match with this enthusiasm.

Bvb has a great fan base, they put on great shows, they are incredibly passionate. PSG still has a lot of chances, they still had a good away game without conceding many goals. In my opinion, they have a chance to beat Dortmund in Paris.
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What a save made yesterday Nico Schlotterbeck against Mbappe when he was gonna score after avoiding the goalkeeper.

For me was a huge surprise to see Drotmund winning i dont expect that at all, but i also still think in Paris they dont stand a chance, and PSG is gonna be in the final, this Dortmund is having so many good games in UCL when they dont play this good in the season for example in Bundesliga games.
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And as I said before the match started between Dortmund and PSG. This result certainly makes PSG have to try as hard as they can to catch up. Playing at home is also a serious note for PSG if they don't manage to equalize. Dortmund has bagged a goal but I don't think that's enough to provide a sense of security. Qualifying for the final is a big gamble for the home team PSG who will play aggressively. In the first leg, Kylian Mbappe performance was slightly below standard, because it was difficult to move freely if he was constantly being guarded, his score of 6,5 in the first leg was not good for Mbappe.  Apart from these results, imo Dortmund victory cannot be separated from the contribution of Sancho, who from the start dribbled the ball more. Sancho at Dortmund looks happier, btw overall PSG and Dortmund both had lots of opportunities to score goals but unfortunately both teams had difficulty in finishing.
The two teams have met each other in the group phase, and Dortmund did not manage to beat PSG at PSG's home ground but of course this will be different, and if we look at some of the results of their other meetings both teams have never won as away teams because they have faced each other several times in the Europe competition, so there is a big chance that PSG will get to the final even though they are behind, but with only one goal, as you said, Dortmund's position is not safe at all, Dortmund should have scored more than one goal, unfortunately their finishing was not that good, likewise with PSG yesterday.
It seems that Jadon Sancho is more suitable at Dortmund, and he is lucky to be able to return to Dortmund and show his quality and if stable he will be an important asset for Dortmund if permanent at Dortmund.

The draw between PSG and Le Havre was the start of bad luck for PSG. They had hoped for an easy win while resting their top players like Mbappe and Ramos but the game turned so difficult that they had to in their top players yet were able to just turn into a draw. Such fight to save themselves from defeat with a team fighting from relegation at Ligue 1 meant they are not in a great form. While Dortmund was lucky to score and stop PSG from scoring. The game was a competitive one and PSG was not inferior to Dortmund but they got unlucky. There's a 6 days gap till next leg and the game can turn anyside.
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Can you imagine the final PSG x Bayern again?  Shocked Shocked Shocked
But unfortunately I don't want to imagine that because I still expect Madrid to become champions this season so I don't want to think that Bayern are champions and I don't expect that now.
Currently Madrid is still at an advantage for Leg 2 and I still have high hopes for what they will do in the future because after all, for now their chance is still very much there even though Bayern also has the same opportunity but still I hope for something more for Madrid Cheesy

For PSG and Dortmund, whoever it is doesn't matter, but if in the end PSG wants to be a finalist for this season then they have to improve several things for the second leg.
Yesterday's first leg saw Dortmund match them well and the fact that PSG finishing in today's match was not very good is a fact that they should not just lose sight of so PSG must improve on that if they really want to be in the final.
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I'd like to call that if Dortmund had been so lucky in that game. PSG has been relentlessly attacking it many times but it kept failed to do that. that's why i called that dortmund was lucky enough caused by PSG has failed with all of its efforts, but it has consistently failed. Take a look at how Dembele, Mbappe, and even Hakimi have repeatedly attempted to shoot to the goal net but none of these shots successfully gotta back of net. They were building some golden momentum, but it isn't happening. That really disappointed me caused by btts was not happening but it's almost.
I was picking btts, but it didn't happen because the club performed so poorly in that match by missing a lot of opportunities. I was expecting a higher score, like a draw, but it's only almost there.

I don't understand why you say this is luck when in yesterday's match Dortmund put up a very good fight even if you look at the statistics of chances and possession of the ball they are not that different and I think even that can be considered a balance which makes the words "Dortmund lucky" actually seems to be funny.

Dortmund won and it was deserved because in my opinion their performance in today's match was still very good so it is not appropriate to say that Dortmund was lucky because they used their energy in today's match and the proof is that they scored 1 goal which was created from an anticipation error and offside. PSG's trap was actually a very good thing.

PSG is indeed a good club but we can still conclude that in today's match their finishing was still questionable and Dortmund's victory was deserved.
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