No, this does not sound right. Hillary is the weakest candidate in US politics ever. She will not get the same percent among black voters as a black presidential candidate. Fewer because she is weak and fewer because she's not black like Obama.
She may get 94% or 95%, against the 96% which Obama got. How much difference is that going to make? Can you imagine the white voters preferring a presidential candidate by such a margin? If 65% of the non-Hispanic whites vote for Trump, then he will win the elections even if he is unable to gain any votes from the Blacks and the Hispanics.
I think you are mis-estimating the black and latino sentimement and analytical capabilities. As far as I can see, many blacks in particular are quite aware of how they as a group have been screwed by the system. Because there is more than a little truth to this contention and they are impacted, they have a head-start on seeing it relative to a lot of us compfortable crackers. A good many of them are as keen for a change as anyone. Nobody knows for sure if Trump is for real on some of the changes he claims to want, but he is in my opinion the most promising candidate espousing these opinions to come along in a long time and I'll wager that a lot of blacks and latino's feel similarly.
