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legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
September 23, 2012, 03:53:40 PM
#57
You guys are awful. First, when Usagi takes the time to buy back at market prices, you guys shit all over the place about nothing being done.

I dont think I or anyone else ever claimed it was a good idea to go against the market.  Lets not pretend we somehow pushed him to do it, he is the one who made the OP and we just wanted to see if he was stupid enough to put his money where is mouth was. He did
q.e.d..

But it wasnt entirely innocent or pointless. Market depth was nil a few days ago, so with only 10 BTC usagi could and did double the price of CPA. If the price had stayed there, it would have allowed him to put twice the asset value in all his other books and claim healthy NAV figures. Which of course is bollocks. And that is the real issue. You cant create 5000 BTC of asset value to put in your books by buying 10 BTC worth of shares.

Quote
Then, when investor confidence has been fully eroded by your claims
,

If I helped wake up any sleeping investors, then I think thats good. Its not my business to talk up already inflated share prices, I will leave that to usagi.

Quote
and Usagi is forced to act quickly, and buy at higher prices(was it even Usagi? could have been a momentum investor) to show that it wasn't all talk, you shit all over the place about the price that was paid.

That he overpaid for those shares isnt the joke here. We are talking about just a handful of coins. Its how disingenuous he is when totally ignoring market depth when valuing his assets. He is still doing that, he calculates his NAV,  even for his ponzi bonds based purely on ask,  even though there are virtually zero bids or they start 50% lower.  All his low volume assets are seriously overvalued because of this, and since he owns much of his own companies through other companies of his own,  and most of them have close to zero market depth its very misleading.

Of course it goes both ways, as I suspect we will soon find out when the snowball starts rolling downhill instead of usagi trying to push it uphill.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
September 23, 2012, 03:28:08 PM
#56
Code:
Symbol     2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21 2012.09.22 2012.09.23    Change  
CPA              52079      52079      52079      52079      50829      -1250
BMF               5244       5347       5337       5337       4947       -297
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606       1606       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127       2127       2078        -55
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434       3414       3383        -97
YARR               290         80         80         80         63       -227
NYAN              1417       1417       1416       1416       1336        -81

Good job Usagi.

Excellent job indeed, anyone who got to sell their shares to usagi should be grateful for the opportunity. The whole point of the buyback was pushing up share price to where usagi thought it should be, no ? He bought CPA shares up to 0.1 BTC.  Now have a look at the price today. 0.03 BTC with a pretty significant ask wall at 0.034. Mission accomplished ? lol.


You guys are awful. First, when Usagi takes the time to buy back at market prices, you guys shit all over the place about nothing being done. Then, when investor confidence has been fully eroded by your claims, and Usagi is forced to act quickly, and buy at higher prices(was it even Usagi? could have been a momentum investor) to show that it wasn't all talk, you shit all over the place about the price that was paid. Just mind your own business. Please.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
September 23, 2012, 03:04:58 PM
#55
Code:
Symbol     2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21 2012.09.22 2012.09.23    Change  
CPA              52079      52079      52079      52079      50829      -1250
BMF               5244       5347       5337       5337       4947       -297
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606       1606       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127       2127       2078        -55
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434       3414       3383        -97
YARR               290         80         80         80         63       -227
NYAN              1417       1417       1416       1416       1336        -81

Good job Usagi.

Excellent job indeed, anyone who got to sell their shares to usagi should be grateful for the opportunity. The whole point of the buyback was pushing up share price to where usagi thought it should be, no ? He bought CPA shares up to 0.1 BTC.  Now have a look at the price today. 0.03 BTC with a pretty significant ask wall at 0.034. Mission accomplished ? lol.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
September 23, 2012, 12:57:46 PM
#54
Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.

Why do yo think that? I have no reason to think you are a liar. Are you a liar? Are you announcing "news" just to manipulate withe the market? I hope not.
I am writing those numbers down for myself and I do not mind sharing the results with others.

Because what you are doing makes zero sense. Why on earth are you keeping track of the outstanding shares? There seems to be no logical reason. It makes you look a little nuts to be honest. But fine, lol, just could you do it somewhere else? Like make your own thread for it? Thanks...

Actually, what he is doing makes perfect sense. In your OP you said you would be doing an "agressive buyback". By showing the actual change in outstanding shares, he is illuminating what an "agressive buyback" means to you.

No, he's not... lol, you can't seriously believe that

Actually, bitcoinbear is right on this score.
sr. member
Activity: 389
Merit: 250
September 23, 2012, 10:19:38 AM
#53
Code:
Symbol     2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21 2012.09.22 2012.09.23      Change    % Bought
CPA              52079      52079      52079      52079      50829      -1250      2.4
BMF               5244       5347       5337       5337       4947       -297      5.6
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606       1606       1606         -5      0.3
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127       2127       2078        -55      2.5
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434       3414       3383        -97      2.7
YARR               290         80         80         80         63       -227     78.2
NYAN              1417       1417       1416       1416       1336        -81      5.7

Good job Usagi.
Now that looks like aggressive buyback. Dropping lots of shares across the board.

The one exception is NYAN.A, but as that is guaranteed in terms of value and return AND feeds into the other NYAN operations, it makes a lot of sense not to buy back much of that.

I added a % Bought column with truncated percentages. (To be clear, these numbers are not rounded to the nearest 0.1) Just a bit easier to compare funds with over 50k shares issued like CPA against 5k shares like BMF; that order of magnitude makes the buy backs on CPA look bigger than that on BMF to me, but the reverse is true by percentage (as I don't know what current share price is, I can't comment).
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
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September 23, 2012, 04:46:06 AM
#52
Code:
Symbol     2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21 2012.09.22 2012.09.23    Change  
CPA              52079      52079      52079      52079      50829      -1250
BMF               5244       5347       5337       5337       4947       -297
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606       1606       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127       2127       2078        -55
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434       3414       3383        -97
YARR               290         80         80         80         63       -227
NYAN              1417       1417       1416       1416       1336        -81

Good job Usagi.
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Quality Printing Services by Federal Reserve Bank
September 23, 2012, 04:36:06 AM
#51
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
September 22, 2012, 05:31:09 AM
#50
Quote
2012-09-21 17:46:13     usagi   Too late. :p That is why companies do buybacks *(thank you for answering what EB could not). Because their company is undervalued. Now I would go back full circle to 45 min ago and point out that is the reason why I am doing share buybacks. As I stated in the OP, I feel my companies are undervalued
2012-09-21 17:46:19     usagi   And so
2012-09-21 17:46:30     usagi   Therefore..... if the company is no longer undervalued
2012-09-21 17:46:33     usagi   I won't be buying back shares
2012-09-21 17:46:35     usagi   Voila
2012-09-21 17:46:52     usagi   Now hopefully my comments to you make more sense EB. I told you. Keep track of share price in addition to share count. Share count is really meaningless
2012-09-21 17:47:28     usagi   Just removing my asks and buying 10 shares in the opposite direction spooked the market into doubling the value of CPA...
2012-09-21 17:47:36     usagi   If I am wrong where are the sales into my bids?


add you favorite "facepalm" picture right here
 

usagi clearly doesnt understand market depth. Only an idiot would think that buying 10 shares for 1 BTC could double a company's  value.
Maybe he is learning though, the hard way:

I went to try and sell out some of my HRPT before the weekend, and I noticed that someone was trying to sell over 10,000 shares at or below 0.1.

o_O

I placed some asks but wow, no one is buying. I would have thought people would step in like mad and buy a few shares but I guess someone knows something I don't :/

facepalm indeed.
Here is a hint usagi, thats what happens when you buy ponzi bonds; for some weird reason no one wants to buy them when the ponzi begins collapsing and multiplying your bonds by the ask price is almost as accurate a reflection of your asset value as BurtWs BTCST account info. Ouf of curiosity,  how much exposure do you have to this ponzi? I think your shareholders might want to know.
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Quality Printing Services by Federal Reserve Bank
September 22, 2012, 03:42:47 AM
#49

Code:
            2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21       Change     
CPA              52079      52079      52079          0
BMF               5244       5347       5337         93
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127         -6
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434        -46
YARR               290         80         80       -210
NYAN              1417       1417       1416         -1



Code:
Symbol     2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21 2012.09.22       Change  
CPA              52079      52079      52079      52079          0
BMF               5244       5347       5337       5337         93
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127       2127         -6
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434       3414        -66
YARR               290         80         80         80       -210
NYAN              1417       1417       1416       1416         -1
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Quality Printing Services by Federal Reserve Bank
September 22, 2012, 03:24:07 AM
#48
Quote
2012-09-21 17:46:13     usagi   Too late. :p That is why companies do buybacks *(thank you for answering what EB could not). Because their company is undervalued. Now I would go back full circle to 45 min ago and point out that is the reason why I am doing share buybacks. As I stated in the OP, I feel my companies are undervalued
2012-09-21 17:46:19     usagi   And so
2012-09-21 17:46:30     usagi   Therefore..... if the company is no longer undervalued
2012-09-21 17:46:33     usagi   I won't be buying back shares
2012-09-21 17:46:35     usagi   Voila
2012-09-21 17:46:52     usagi   Now hopefully my comments to you make more sense EB. I told you. Keep track of share price in addition to share count. Share count is really meaningless
2012-09-21 17:47:28     usagi   Just removing my asks and buying 10 shares in the opposite direction spooked the market into doubling the value of CPA...
2012-09-21 17:47:36     usagi   If I am wrong where are the sales into my bids?


add you favorite "facepalm" picture right here
 
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Quality Printing Services by Federal Reserve Bank
September 21, 2012, 01:36:03 PM
#47
sr. member
Activity: 389
Merit: 250
September 21, 2012, 01:19:50 PM
#46
Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.

Why do yo think that? I have no reason to think you are a liar. Are you a liar? Are you announcing "news" just to manipulate withe the market? I hope not.
I am writing those numbers down for myself and I do not mind sharing the results with others.

Because what you are doing makes zero sense. Why on earth are you keeping track of the outstanding shares? There seems to be no logical reason. It makes you look a little nuts to be honest. But fine, lol, just could you do it somewhere else? Like make your own thread for it? Thanks...

Actually, what he is doing makes perfect sense. In your OP you said you would be doing an "agressive buyback". By showing the actual change in outstanding shares, he is illuminating what an "agressive buyback" means to you.

No, he's not... lol, you can't seriously believe that
What would you have us believe then? Is there a reason that the number of outstanding bonds wouldn't reflect an ongoing buy-back?
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
September 21, 2012, 09:43:16 AM
#45
Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.

Why do yo think that? I have no reason to think you are a liar. Are you a liar? Are you announcing "news" just to manipulate withe the market? I hope not.
I am writing those numbers down for myself and I do not mind sharing the results with others.

Because what you are doing makes zero sense. Why on earth are you keeping track of the outstanding shares? There seems to be no logical reason. It makes you look a little nuts to be honest. But fine, lol, just could you do it somewhere else? Like make your own thread for it? Thanks...

Actually, what he is doing makes perfect sense. In your OP you said you would be doing an "agressive buyback". By showing the actual change in outstanding shares, he is illuminating what an "agressive buyback" means to you.
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Quality Printing Services by Federal Reserve Bank
September 21, 2012, 02:44:49 AM
#44

Code:
            2012.09.19 2012.09.20      Change     
CPA              52079      52079          0
BMF               5244       5347       +103
NYAN.A            1611       1611          0
NYAN.B            2133       2133          0
NYAN.C            3480       3480          0
YARR               290         80       -210
NYAN       -                 1417-          

Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.
[/quote]

Why do yo think that? I have no reason to think you are a liar. Are you a liar? Are you announcing "news" just to manipulate withe the market? I hope not.
I am writing those numbers down for myself and I do not mind sharing the results with others.

Code:
            2012.09.19 2012.09.20 2012.09.21       Change     
CPA              52079      52079      52079          0
BMF               5244       5347       5337         93
NYAN.A            1611       1611       1606         -5
NYAN.B            2133       2133       2127         -6
NYAN.C            3480       3480       3434        -46
YARR               290         80         80       -210
NYAN              1417       1417       1416         -1

legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1090
September 20, 2012, 11:53:22 AM
#43
One thing I'd like to make clear - I (and many other investors) don't give one rat's ass about any USD valuation of BTC or any asset. I just don't care. I do not value my wealth in USD, and only buy USD with my BTC when I need it.

So, to suggest that the value of a company (anyone, suggesting any company's value) has increased because it's value in USD has grown, when it's value in BTC has fallen is simply incorrect. The asset is valued and denominated in BTC. If its value in BTC goes down, its value has gone down. There's just no other way to see this - anything else is smoke and mirror bullshit (this is not specificall directed at you, usagi, but many issuers in general)

Consider a major NYSE company suggesting their value had gone up in EUR while the stock price went down in USD, based on the EUR/USD exchange rate. It's ridiculous.

That is silly though, the value of a day's nutrition remains the same, one day of staying alive, regardless of whether bitcoins skyrocket to millions of dollars each or drop to a penny each.

You are looking at the price in some specially volatile unit of measure, not the value.

If bitcoins go up in value faster than stocks or bonds, invest in bitcoins instead of stocks or bonds.

But don't claim e.g. a pound of gold has gone down in value just because you have changed the yardstick you are using to measure the value.

You might just as well measure it in kilograms and complain that it was worth one (measured in pounds) yesterday but only worth a fraction (measured in kilograms) today.

This so called bitcoin you are using to measure with has changed, it was a pound yesterday and a kilo today, good for you if you hold bitcoins, why waste your bitcoins buying something that is not getting heavier as fast as they are?

-MarkM-
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
September 20, 2012, 11:39:31 AM
#42
Well.....I think this is an interesting experiment. I'm not sure I disagree with the logic that suggests an agressive buyback is in order. I'm not sure I agree that the named companies are in fact worth more than the current NAV (but that's a matter of opinion, not fact - and one can easily state one's true opinion in the orderbooks Wink

One thing I'd like to make clear - I (and many other investors) don't give one rat's ass about any USD valuation of BTC or any asset. I just don't care. I do not value my wealth in USD, and only buy USD with my BTC when I need it.

So, to suggest that the value of a company (anyone, suggesting any company's value) has increased because it's value in USD has grown, when it's value in BTC has fallen is simply incorrect. The asset is valued and denominated in BTC. If its value in BTC goes down, its value has gone down. There's just no other way to see this - anything else is smoke and mirror bullshit (this is not specificall directed at you, usagi, but many issuers in general)

Consider a major NYSE company suggesting their value had gone up in EUR while the stock price went down in USD, based on the EUR/USD exchange rate. It's ridiculous.
sr. member
Activity: 389
Merit: 250
September 20, 2012, 10:19:32 AM
#41

Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.

Eskimobob is doing nothing but posting accurate facts, something your posts seem to lack. The only reason you would think he is trying to catch a lie is if there is a lie to catch.

EskimoBob: this informaiton is useful, please keep it updated periodically (if Usagi does not post the information themself).

Go ahead, i'm just saying it's kind of stupid. You do realize the entire point of this thread, don't you, bitcoinbear? It's to point out the extreme amount of folly around here.

Oh please, don't catch me in a lie mr. eskimobob! LOL... you people, seriously, you have no clue how to run a business, you do nothing, except sit around the forums and berate people who are obviously doing a good job. It's so obvious. You are trolls, or here to increase your post count. It's really pathetic.

Tell me more about how my posts lack truth lol. You're the new guy bro. Keep that in mind.
Actually, the point of the OP was to announce an "aggressive buyback" across your funds. Since several are currently trading above NAV it makes more sense, economically, for you to sell than buy. The current conditions simply don't support a buyback.

EskimoBob's numbers show that not only have you not bought any shares (which again, makes sense) but you've released shares of BMF. (You have also bought back shares of YARR, but that's an insured security which should in theory hit zero eventually anyway.)

Usagi, you run several services that all make a lot of sense in the bitcoin world, and I personally think that insurance is something that bitcoin needs on occasion. There are a lot of people here that will give you a hard time, some of that's due diligence and you will on frequent occasions get a troll, but please don't let the folly pointed out in this thread be your own.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
September 20, 2012, 09:17:30 AM
#40

Eskimobob, this keeping track of shares as if you are trying to catch me in a lie is a bit of a joke. Really, don't worry about it that much. And please, the last thing you want to do is start supporting puppet/deprived and factory ^^ I think you're a little smarter than that.

Eskimobob is doing nothing but posting accurate facts, something your posts seem to lack. The only reason you would think he is trying to catch a lie is if there is a lie to catch.

EskimoBob: this informaiton is useful, please keep it updated periodically (if Usagi does not post the information themself).
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
September 20, 2012, 05:02:12 AM
#39
The more I read, the more it seems usagi is smoking the same stuff Diablo is smoking. Neither can distinguish between revenue and profit, both misrepresent (to use a mild term) their numbers, both seem to think obsi's ponzi's are a sound investment. This cant end well.

The only point of the OP also seems to be to boost share price, and so far there is no evidence of any buyback; if EskimoBob numbers are right, its rather the contrary.

Pump and dump?
sr. member
Activity: 259
Merit: 250
September 20, 2012, 03:07:51 AM
#38
What is the current NAV/BV of CPA? Thanks.
As I said, that's a bad way to look at it. As a result we don't publish those numbers on the forums. What would the point be? We don't sell our company at liquidation value. It's in our contract to maintain 100% backing. So, you can actually calculate our book value if you see all of our contracts, or if you could see our spreadsheet.

Book value is quite relevant; so are financial statements. I think it is quite reasonable to want access to such basic information. You would serve yourself better by not totally disregarding these things.

It is industry standard to use book value and price/book as base metrics to evaluate insurance companies.
No, it's industry standard to use earnings to value insurance companies.

Earnings are always calculated in just like all other factors; that is standard. What I said in regards to BV and P/B is they are the fundamentals that are more relied upon when analyzing insurance companies. I encourage you to research varying valuation methods and learn why BV and P/B are important in regards to valuating insurance companies.

I think the real issue here is what P/E we should assign to CPA. I feel 1 is extremely low. I can't possibly see how that is justified. If you look at forward P/E after we sign more and more contracts next year, it's around 0.4 or 0.3. That's insane.
That is not an issue. We don't choose to assign a P/E ratio, the market will do that on it's own. If you manage CPA well, the P/E is more likely to expand. If you manage CPA poorly, the P/E is more likely to contract. That is the natural way of the markets.
Ok lol. So let me get this straight. The market -- everyone but you -- comes up with a P/E to value CPA. But it's industry standard to value insurance companies by BV. Therefore you are interested in the BV of a company -- whose income has nothing to do with it's BV -- in order to assign value.
Do I have you straight on this one?

I stated that P/B is more applicable than P/E for analyzing insurance companies. I did not say that only one metric can be looked at; I simply said P/B is more pertinent. I am not sure why you focus on the P/E of CPA so much. Like I said before: If you manage CPA well, the P/E is more likely to expand. If you manage CPA poorly, the P/E is more likely to contract. That is the natural way of the markets. It is quite logical that I am interested in the book value of a company to determine value. There are all types of different 'value' that are useful to know- and book value is one of them.

The average NAV/BV for the sector is ~1.0 right now.
You're showing your stripes. First off, CPA is not in the mining or investment fund sector, so what you have said is just a verification of what I have said; people value it like a mining company, which is a big mistake. And one you seem intent on replicating.
Second, CPA is the only insurance company in the land of bitcoin. We're our own sector. And I say, it's worth more than a P/E of 1. Anyone who disagrees is free not to buy CPA.

What you quote there expresses nothing of a P/E ratio and there is zero mention of valuating CPA like a mining company. My mention of 'sector' was in regards to insurance.

With the average book value of major insurance companies in the sector being ~1.0, it would actually not be surprising to see CPA trade at a further discount to book.
Oh my god -- are you suggesting that real-world insurance companies trade at a P/E of ~1?
You didn't read my post did you? I mean this is like the 3rd separate issue you got wrong from what I said. *facepalm*
Look Factory, just stop arguing with me. It's clear you don't get it. If you think you are so smart, trade against me on CPA. You aren't listening and you don't appear to understand what the CEO of the company is telling you. Major clue time.

I stated that major insurance companies were trading around 1.0 to book value. I did not say P/E of ~1. I said I would not be surprised if CPA traded at a p/b ratio of less than 1.0. I recommend avoiding making such statements as "You didn't read my post did you?*" if you are going to read mine so poorly.

Again: If you believe CPA shares are grossly undervalued, why not release a financial statement? Surely an accurate depiction of it's balance sheet will clear most concerns. If the financial statement is in-line with your claims the share price will surely grow to reflect such.
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