Calvin's relationship/partnership with Craig right now.
Ayre has reportedly been involved with CSW since at least Feb 2016. See
this lengthy article, though note that it uses info from several highly unreliable sources, so you have to second-guess everything. Apparently, Wright worked in Antigua on gambling websites a long time ago, which is Ayre's residence and line of business, so they probably met directly or indirectly through this.
Wright first publicly made his appearance in the Bitcoin scene in
Dec 2015, and apparently he was engaging in the "I'm Satoshi but down on my luck, plz give me a small loan of a million dollars" shtick from at least around mid 2015. The fact that Ayre was involved so early makes me a bit suspicious that he could be
in on the con, but it's also possible that he's just fallen for it
real deep.
I find Ayre's actions inexplicable. He appeared in this space suddenly, with a thin recent history. He's fixated on statist arguments, but his history makes me think that he should be biased against the state. (CSW has also been talking about this: which one is influencing the other?) He's stuck steadfastly by CSW for 3+ years with nothing obvious to show for it, and probably significant losses. (But is there something we don't know about? Does he somehow stand to profit from the current course of events, where SV & CSW fail in a loud and dragged-out way?)
If anyone has some connection to Ayre through a friend-of-a-friend or something, I'd really like to know what's actually going through his mind.
To me, it seems he was fooled by a very convincing conman. Craig is actually a very smart guy, and understands the technology very well, which is why he's been able to fool so many people.
Of course, it's entirely possible that Calvin has knowingly been in on the con since the beginning. He's a degenerate gambler. Maybe Craig was just the horse Calvin wanted to bet on.
Looks like he's doubling down on the Craig=Satoshi stuff:
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2F9R0OxiG.png&t=669&c=0pBTqxB3yqatxw)
OMG that's terrible. Hopefully they're able to get out of there safely.
Elwar is a pretty cagey motherfucker, I suspect a change of jurisdiction is underway as we ponder.
For some people, leaving their country is easy. For some, it could be pretty hard.
Nadya seems to have strong ties to Thailand. It could be difficult for her.
He's in a really tough spot. Should he save himself and leave his girlfriend to possibly be executed, or stay and risk his own life while trying to get her out too? That's some heavy shit.