Remind yourself that less than 1% of the world has even touched bitcoin and crypto.
You took the risk.
You made that leap.
You are now an early adopter.
You reap the rewards.
This isn't about just next year, but for the next decade.
I daren’t even dream about what 1 bitcoin will be worth in 10 years
Then let me tell you.
Roughly around 10 000 000 USD in December.
EDIT: December 2029 that is.
1 million USD after next three halvings is a *conservative* target IMO.
Indeed, that's why I wrote 10 million.
Yeah.. great set of questions and presumptions that this dialogue raises.
At this time, $1million to $10million seems like pie in the sky, but by December 2029? $1million does seem conservatively pie in the sky.. and really, if $1million were to happen, then a lot of folks, maybe even in this thread with current living style expectations would not need to have much more than 1 bitcoin to improve their lives a lot.
Of course, we are going to continue to have dollar inflation, and frequently, I have asserted that a couple million of principle would be necessary for me to feel comfortable with the passive income would be generatable under that (or at least presuming a reasonable withdrawal rate of 4% per year - and $2 million in principle would generate about $6.67k per month in passive income - based on 4% withdrawal (that is $2 million x 4% = $80k / 12 months). So even 1 or 2 bitcoins should be enough to generate between $3,333 per month and $6,667 per month of passive income by 2029 if the conservative estimate is actually "reasonably" probable.
Personally, my BTC accumulation and HODL strategy has always been to invest quite a bit more into BTC than I believe to be reasonably probable outcomes, just in case the "conservative estimate" does not end up playing out as expected, which does justify accumulating as much BTC as I am able to accumulate (to have a equity and piece of mind cushion), but also does generate a bit of comfort for anyone who can reasonably foresee a BTC target of 20 bitcoins or more (by 2029) because 20 bitcoins would be 10x the "conservative estimate" and 20 bitcoins would provide a decent cushion, especially if a person has a 10 year horizon (a 2029 time target) for attempting to cash out and to live passively on such BTC income (even if the BTC income is supplementing other projections of income).
Of course, how much some normal and regular person believes s/he needs to live comfortably off of bitcoin along with supplementing any other income that s/he is projected to have is going to vary. I have continued to consider that $1million to $2million to be a decently reasonable entry point - even though results are going to vary in terms of what part of the world you live, what other income sources you expect to have, how much inflation you expect, how much of a cushion you feel that you need, how long you expect to live (after you start withdrawing from your BTC stash) and perhaps some other personal factors.