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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 11917. (Read 26712326 times)

legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
Jbear

In your opinion, what are the odds that CSW is Satoshi?

I would be interested in you stating in clear terms what probability you consider this to be true?  I appreciate that certain things may be unknowable with present knowledge, but that is why we assign probabilities.  

So please tell us what is your probability that CSW is Satoshi.  

I dunno. Maybe one in twenty? In fifty?

Hard to place odds on something in which most of the variables are not available to be seen.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
Another good read here HM...though I detest factual errors, especially within the first paragraph. Is proof reading not a thing anymore?

Quote
<..In the nine years since its launch..>

https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/financial-services/our-insights/blockchains-occam-problem

I could have sworn we just celebrated ten years..  Anyway..ymmv.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
A detailed argument for the bottom being in:

https://medium.com/@renato_shira/bitcoin-bottom-is-in-35ff1e2b9403

I don’t agree with it but worth considering. 

Quote
we can approximate the average price paid by people that have BTC now

I made it about this far into it(lies, I looked at the whole thing) before losing interest..   Sounds like another smallcoinerTM who bought the top. /s

From a purely theoretical view point, I applaud the energy put into trying to craft a reasonable fundamental metric for calculating bitcoins price. The reality is that we are still in a speculative market and I feel that is what will drive the price action for a considerable time to come.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
starting haiku Sunday (EU time);

mic's game is coming
someone is expected to win
why not me this time



poem starts again
game thread not only for gains
non merit to send



NOW goodnight haha
got one not good but hope its something Roll Eyes

gonna watch the inside of my eyelids

and leave you gents posting in peace
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
starting haiku Sunday (EU time);

mic's game is coming
someone is expected to win
this time, why not me
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.


https://twitter.com/RedditBTC/status/1084125434604937216

GOOD the fear is there

Banks in India are now saying they will now close customers' accounts if they deal in cryptocurrencies.

These legacy institutions fear what they can't control, but people should be allowed to do whatever they want with their wealth.

Long Bitcoin, Short the Bankers!
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
A detailed argument for the bottom being in:

https://medium.com/@renato_shira/bitcoin-bottom-is-in-35ff1e2b9403

That would been another merit (BOTTOM TO BE IN Roll Eyes and another one if you agree with it haha LoL)
but have to keep it with
+1 wo sm


BUT^

time for the HODLsoberUPsleep

@cheersWO's

enjoy the fruits of life Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
A detailed argument for the bottom being in:

https://medium.com/@renato_shira/bitcoin-bottom-is-in-35ff1e2b9403

I don’t agree with it but worth considering. 
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
My first experience with poker in Las Vegas many years ago:

Got to a machine, inserted 25c (or was it a 25c token?).
First hand-royal flush, instantaneous win of $250, and it would have been 10K if I wagered $1 instead of a quarter.
Nice...although apart from risky stocks and btc, I am not really a gambling person, so I spent those $250 on dinners, etc., did not try to take down the "house".

poker ain't not about luck only, of course there are lucky moments etc....
good you didn't try to take down the house

GG sir

Sure, and since I had no experience playing it, I did not try further (after a win).
Same with stock market and btc.
If you got a solid long position, it is typically better to leave it alone.
Trading never worked for me in stocks with the exception of the first year or two, which was probably pure beginners luck plus a raging bull market.
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread
All this poker talk makes me want to play, lol. Whats a good/legit site?

Not necessarily good, but it is legit. First 100 Satoshis are free

https://blockchain.poker
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
All this poker talk makes me want to play, lol. Whats a good/legit site?
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
My first experience with poker in Las Vegas many years ago:

Got to a machine, inserted 25c (or was it a 25c token?).
First hand-royal flush, instantaneous win of $250, and it would have been 10K if I wagered $1 instead of a quarter.
Nice...although apart from risky stocks and btc, I am not really a gambling person, so I spent those $250 on dinners, etc., did not try to take down the "house".

poker ain't not about luck only, of course there are lucky moments etc....
good you didn't try to take down the house

GG sir
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.

For those understanding poker ..... I raise preflop, fish calls.... flop j94 rainbow.... sb opens I push all in and he calls


Please let him keep playing

Mic running a little behind @the Total balance of 3 sessions

Come sunday or next week Smiley

Now I know how nocoiners feel when you try to explain crypto to them....

You keep flopping those fishes, buddy. Make us proud.

the one that won the POT is my biggest coiner hodler friend  that i know Cheesy Cheesy

but nonetheless I have had my suckouts against him as well

I'm just the classic complainer (only to tell the BADluck hands never when I was sitting on the right side of the table)

so far I know all players are like that except 1 that I play with his just SOBER always ....

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 2057
A Bitcoiner chooses. A slave obeys.

For those understanding poker ..... I raise preflop, fish calls.... flop j94 rainbow.... sb opens I push all in and he calls


Please let him keep playing

Mic running a little behind @the Total balance of 3 sessions

Come sunday or next week Smiley

Now I know how nocoiners feel when you try to explain crypto to them....

You keep flopping those fishes, buddy. Make us proud.
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
My first experience with poker in Las Vegas many years ago:

Got to a machine, inserted 25c (or was it a 25c token?).
First hand-royal flush, instantaneous win of $250, and it would have been 10K if I wagered $1 instead of a quarter.
Nice...although apart from risky stocks and btc, I am not really a gambling person, so I spent those $250 on dinners, etc., did not try to take down the "house".
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread


For those understanding poker ..... I raise preflop, fish calls.... flop j94 rainbow.... sb opens I push all in and he calls


Please let him keep playing

Mic running a little behind @the Total balance of 3 sessions

Come sunday or next week Smiley

Unless the pot odds were correct generally only fish raise all-in on the turn, especially if this ends up being an over-bet. Given the opponent had possibly --9 Hearts, 2 9's and 3 Kings as outs (Kings were not outs since you had one, but opponent did not know this), the pot odds could have been in their favor to call.
Without all of this information it is difficult to justify the other person's rationale with just one screenshot.





absolutely right POOLMINOR YOU have played poker as well
preflop I was the agressor, the blinds @the HU's we play where already high .... cause he already BET the flop he just couldn't lay down, I know its a must CALL but I hate a F***ing 14% to win
Cheesy Cheesy

nice post @poolminor
NOW add a price Roll Eyes

also my last MERIT is on its way


Thanks for the contest and the merit.

Code:
P's of poker

Position
Position
Position (Just like location)
Pot odds
Patience
Practice
Planning
Perseverance
Power
Player (know who you are playing against)
Phish
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!
Ignore ---t---> Unignore ---dt---> Ignore (forever)
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.


For those understanding poker ..... I raise preflop, fish calls.... flop j94 rainbow.... sb opens I push all in and he calls


Please let him keep playing

Mic running a little behind @the Total balance of 3 sessions

Come sunday or next week Smiley

Unless the pot odds were correct generally only fish raise all-in on the turn, especially if this ends up being an over-bet. Given the opponent had possibly --9 Hearts, 2 9's and 3 Kings as outs (Kings were not outs since you had one, but opponent did not know this), the pot odds could have been in their favor to call.
Without all of this information it is difficult to justify the other person's rationale with just one screenshot.





absolutely right POOLMINOR YOU have played poker as well
preflop I was the agressor, the blinds @the HU's we play where already high .... cause he already BET the flop he just couldn't lay down, I know its a must CALL but I hate a F***ing 14% to win
Cheesy Cheesy

nice post @poolminor
NOW add a price Roll Eyes

also my last MERIT is on its way
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Just bought some on the spike down to $3590.  While I don’t think the bottom is in, I am also being very defensive.



being defensive earns MERIT
and i'm back on 50% of my sending stack

CHEERS HAIRY

have good tradings
YOU deserve it
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread


For those understanding poker ..... I raise preflop, fish calls.... flop j94 rainbow.... sb opens I push all in and he calls


Please let him keep playing

Mic running a little behind @the Total balance of 3 sessions

Come sunday or next week Smiley

Unless the pot odds were correct generally only fish raise all-in on the turn, especially if this ends up being an over-bet. Given the opponent had possibly --9 Hearts, 2 9's and 3 Kings as outs (Kings were not outs since you had one, but opponent did not know this), the pot odds could have been in their favor to call.
Without all of this information it is difficult to justify the other person's rationale with just one screenshot.
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