The odds of a party or the odds of $100k?!
LOL...if btc will be at $100K, a party will happen (99.99% probability in my guesstimate
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but the price within 5 years to reach 100K (max 10%, you stick a knife in my heart)
when moon, when 100k party, when the dream, etc........... or just eternal hodl
You should not need $100k BTC to get rich from bitcoin.
Of course, $100k will help, but you should be able to get rich by overall prudent investing, dollar cost averaging, as long as BTC continues to do its thing.. even if the upward performance becomes less steep.. let's say in the 10% per year arena rather than the 60% to 100% arena... (yes, I understand ways of calculating can vary), but my point is that you should not need $100k to get rich. That is 25x from todays price, which certainly is not guaranteed, even if it has decent chances, counting on it seems both fiscally and psychologically irresponsible. (like gambling with what should be an investment)..
If we get to $100k I may or may not hire a bunch of nerds to make a game with no regard for profit margins. I miss wasting my life in an MMO. The theme park shit we have today sucks ass.
And anywhere before that I'm looking forward to funding some basic research as well as handing out some scholarships to pay back for my free overseas holidays.
I actually do understand that if peeps are either 1) just getting into bitcoin or 2) they just got into bitcoin in supra $10k prices (or have supra $10k average costs per BTC), then they may feel that they need $100k-ish to "get rich", but even with those two conditions that I mention above, there are a large variety of scenarios that fall quite short of $100k that could facilitate really decent living and profits from BTC without necessarily having to reach $100k to achieve various levels of success.
Surely what you are suggesting, BTCMILLIONAIRE, seems to be a level of profit that you would realize in which you could really have icing on the cake, and even if such icing on the cake does not happen, there would likely be a large variety of BTC price performance scenarios that allow you to live quite comfortably (even if BTC does not cause you to have those various extra (still potential) bonuses).
Actually, I recall when BTC was in the $200s and my average cost per BTC was in the $500s.. I think there are several of us who HODLed and Accumulated BTC during those days, I thought that it would surely be nice to get at least to the break even point... and then in that kind of situation, bitcoin is merely serving as a long term store of value, yet I still continued to think that even if BTC prices do not get above $500 again, I am still o.k. because I have not invested more than I can afford to lose, and I am willing to ride the whole thing down to zero.
Of course, now, for me, there is a lot of cushion and a lot of equity and surely the value of my total holdings does go down if BTC were to go down to zero from here, so yeah, maybe I can act a little bit smug about the whole thing.. yet I still am not really considering the whole situation for me to be vastly different from someone who is currently investing into BTC but has an average cost above $10k.. Every BTC they buy at these prices, brings down their average cost per BTC tremendously, and maybe they don't have a whole hell of a lot of spare cashflow to be monkeying around with, but still that goes to the situation of NOT investing more than you can afford to lose and being able to both ride out the long long term (including being able to pay all bills, have entertainment money, have an emergency fund) and if BTC prices were to go to zero, that long term investors should be ready, willing and able to ride it all the way down because of the way that they got into the investment and that they are not using money that they actually need in the shorter time frames that could last many many years 5-10 years or more.
I surely don't believe that the chances are very high that what is beginning to seem like a bear market (and perhaps even bottoming out, but unsure) will last more than 2 years from here.... We seem to have really decent odds, especially the 2 years and longer time frame, even though nothing is guaranteed in bitcoinlandia. By the way, I am picking the 2 years timeline because that is a bit more than 6 months after the May 2020-ish halvening, and even if there are all kinds of pressures to manipulate BTC prices down for the next several years, there comes into effect a kind of hard reality regarding the limited supply that will cause additional difficulties in continued attempts at forcing the price down and the effects become greater and greater felt as the increases of the supply are half of what they are now... Block reward down from 12.5 BTC per block to 6.25 BTC per block.
