Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 12639. (Read 26711956 times)

legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Furthermore, I do not have any strong presumptions that the BTC price is going down, and I especially think that any targeting of $2,200 would be quite pie in the sky, even though there is a chance that such price could happen.. maybe less than 5% (concedingly that such odds of $2,200 are a bit higher now as compared with last week, but they still remain pretty low, in my humble bumble opinion).

I would wager a guess that your 5% chance has grown to a higher percentage now of likelihood?

You are correct... I had asserted less than 5% odds to reach $2,200.

When certain support lines break, then odds change, so my current armchair estimate would allow for perhaps up to a 20% chance for that below $2,200 target of yours.. 20% might be a bit generous, but just to concede that calculations can change quite a bit when the price is moving a lot (and support or resistance is broken).
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
Well, it's not bad at all. I don't think I have even managed to cushion a ridiculous 5% of the losses with my trading (no leveraged shorting, just regular buy/sells with a small portion of my stash).
Leverage is a power tool. With simple buys/sells, I probably wouldn't have managed that 5%. From your posts, I guess you've got all it takes to use the available tools sensibly. Maybe you should give it a careful shot?


I "promised" myself to never use leverage anymore if I was able to recover from a liquidation I suffered when Bitfinex was hacked and the price (in Kraken) dumped to around $430 (I was liquidated at $434 in that flash dump which recovered instantly).

It took me almost a year to recover not just the amount in fiat but in BTC.

Yes, I had to keep using leverage (much more conservatively though). Yes, I made it. No, no more leverage for me.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

Don't be attributing those kinds claims to me, you fucking deceptive nutjob.

My question in the non-contextualized link that you provided, related to the lightning network.. hello, diptwat?

You are the one who lives in a fantasy pie in the sky world regarding a supposed hopium hedging role of Pms such as gold and silver, and waiting in your basement for the armagaedon apocalypse that has about a snowballs chance in hell of both coming and allowing your investment to pay off.
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 3056
Welt Am Draht
Today has been the embodiment of a phrase that's popped up a couple of times - bulls take the stairs. Bears take the window.

May anyone feeling the willies right now wake up to a brighter dawn.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Well, it's not bad at all. I don't think I have even managed to cushion a ridiculous 5% of the losses with my trading (no leveraged shorting, just regular buy/sells with a small portion of my stash).
Leverage is a power tool. With simple buys/sells, I probably wouldn't have managed that 5%. From your posts, I guess you've got all it takes to use the available tools sensibly. Maybe you should give it a careful shot?

Quote
Well, I hope better times will come.
They will, we all know it. Well, almost all.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓


If you think that... it's because you don't have any idea how bad micgoosen's OPSEC is. Even worse than jbreher. Seriously.

That's what the team of micpeep wants you to think... Good luck with those kinds of presumptions regarding micpeep being an actual real peep, in any kind of close approximation of what s/he/it presents.   Roll Eyes

Ok, whateva  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
Such a panic selling with only good news for Bitcoin. It is a pity... that I don't have available fiat to buy this dip. I am just curious who made profit today - certainly not the traders that sold, nor the miners. The trio scammers Vu, Ver and Wright are rekt the most. The only winners are those who endure this torture and continue to hold without being too greedy. To sell with the hope of buying lower is a catching knife game. You may succeed once or twice but in the end you will cut your fingers.
Trying to find a good side in every corner is an excellent sport.

I consolidated and rebalanced. Recent profits cashed out and turned into harm reduction for the opposing hurting position.

Opening the new short before this shitshower feels almost like winning anyway. Almost.

My play assets will stay approximately flat from here up to ~6k-ish. Down from here it's all gravy. You whales wanna take it down to 4k? Go ahead, I'm on it.

(Never mind my stash, sometimes a hodler's got to find distractions is the point I'm making.)



How much would you say you have made with your shorts in comparison to the losses of your hodled stash?
I don't know. I DON'T WANT TO KNOW! THAT WAS NOT THE POINT!  Angry I won't think of that OK???

Uh, sorry, it's in the 10%-15% ballpark. Joking apart, I had to perform some paper napkin arithmetic to answer your question: I really (try to) avoid fiat accounting for long term btc.

haha

Well, it's not bad at all. I don't think I have even managed to cushion a ridiculous 5% of the (paper/profit) losses with my trading (no leveraged shorting, just regular buy/sells with a small portion of my stash).

Well, I hope better times will come.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"

yeah i do like the HAT

gonna make some t-shirts as well .... little personal BTC related gear and not the already usual shit with BTC logo that everybody got....

this kind of +points of my personal crypto sphere are good to fight my personal bitterness of the current DIP's and keeping my mind on the end goal

mass useage of BTC and green everywhere Grin

The only way that you could actually do all of this stuff that you proclaim is to have a micgoosen marketing team, so maybe you should discontinue acting as if you are merely one person and what you do and say are from just one person (implying a real person).   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes    Tongue Tongue
haha LoL nice you say that cause i'm ALL alone
and took 15minutes so not so much of time .... i would like a micg team Roll Eyes
but got all the possible minds and back up in THE WO Wink

WHAT of a team would XhomerX be working with Smiley

I was making my new tentative conclusion about you... not XhomerX.

Currently in my thinking, XhomerX has very decent odds of being a real and regular kind of peep, and I recall that about less than a year ago, he became more creative with his memes, and recently moved on to hats.  

Surely, anyone in these here forums might not be a real peep, so I cannot say anything with certainty... but my tentative conclusion about you has become.. micpeep is not the one real peep that s/he/it portrays himself/herself/itself to be.   Cheesy Cheesy   Tongue

If you think that... it's because you don't have any idea how bad micgoosen's OPSEC is. Even worse than jbreher. Seriously.

That's what the team of micpeep wants you to think... Good luck with those kinds of presumptions regarding micpeep being an actual real peep, in any kind of close approximation of what s/he/it presents.   Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Such a panic selling with only good news for Bitcoin. It is a pity... that I don't have available fiat to buy this dip. I am just curious who made profit today - certainly not the traders that sold, nor the miners. The trio scammers Vu, Ver and Wright are rekt the most. The only winners are those who endure this torture and continue to hold without being too greedy. To sell with the hope of buying lower is a catching knife game. You may succeed once or twice but in the end you will cut your fingers.
Trying to find a good side in every corner is an excellent sport.

I consolidated and rebalanced. Recent profits cashed out and turned into harm reduction for the opposing hurting position.

Opening the new short before this shitshower feels almost like winning anyway. Almost.

My play assets will stay approximately flat from here up to ~6k-ish. Down from here it's all gravy. You whales wanna take it down to 4k? Go ahead, I'm on it.

(Never mind my stash, sometimes a hodler's got to find distractions is the point I'm making.)



How much would you say you have made with your shorts in comparison to the losses of your hodled stash?
I don't know. I DON'T WANT TO KNOW! THAT WAS NOT THE POINT!  Angry I won't think of that OK???

Uh, sorry, it's in the 10%-15% ballpark. Joking apart, I had to perform some paper napkin arithmetic to answer your question: I really (try to) avoid fiat accounting for long term btc.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Merit drop complete and paid.
i guess lately i'm one of the most active @WO but seems to always mis your DRILL things Roll Eyes

luckely binaryreign got it CAUSE he could actually use all 60 and wear his damned HAT

maybe with getting close to it
there is another generous HATcarrier to help out .... i sit pretty low myself  Sad
A legend in spirit already anyway. You sit a tiny bit higher right now  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
Such a panic selling with only good news for Bitcoin. It is a pity... that I don't have available fiat to buy this dip. I am just curious who made profit today - certainly not the traders that sold, nor the miners. The trio scammers Vu, Ver and Wright are rekt the most. The only winners are those who endure this torture and continue to hold without being too greedy. To sell with the hope of buying lower is a catching knife game. You may succeed once or twice but in the end you will cut your fingers.
Trying to find a good side in every corner is an excellent sport.

I consolidated and rebalanced. Recent profits cashed out and turned into harm reduction for the opposing hurting position.

Opening the new short before this shitshower feels almost like winning anyway. Almost.

My play assets will stay approximately flat from here up to ~6k-ish. Down from here it's all gravy. You whales wanna take it down to 4k? Go ahead, I'm on it.

(Never mind my stash, sometimes a hodler's got to find distractions is the point I'm making.)



How much would you say you have made with your shorts in comparison to the losses of your hodled stash?
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Such a panic selling with only good news for Bitcoin. It is a pity... that I don't have available fiat to buy this dip. I am just curious who made profit today - certainly not the traders that sold, nor the miners. The trio scammers Vu, Ver and Wright are rekt the most. The only winners are those who endure this torture and continue to hold without being too greedy. To sell with the hope of buying lower is a catching knife game. You may succeed once or twice but in the end you will cut your fingers.
Trying to find a good side in every corner is an excellent sport.

I consolidated and rebalanced. Recent profits cashed out and turned into harm reduction for the opposing hurting position.

Opening the new short before this shitshower feels almost like winning anyway. Almost.

My play assets will stay approximately flat from here up to ~6k-ish. Down from here it's all gravy. You whales wanna take it down to 4k? Go ahead, I'm on it.

(Never mind my stash, sometimes a hodler's got to find distractions is the point I'm making.)

legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
A link to a big picture of the crest should be in your inbox now.

Going to bed now, thank you for my new cool hat, looking forward to proudly using it.

 

Avatar-sized

 

 and I touched up the scan of the family crest a little



legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
Gimme that hat !  Grin

EDIT: Thanks man  Smiley .

Let's get this shit done with some good old fashioned merit abuse.

 Thank you kind sir!  You are a gentlemand and a scholard!
sr. member
Activity: 437
Merit: 250
hero member
Activity: 1848
Merit: 640
*Brute force will solve any Bitcoin problem*
just came home to see this was another crypto carnage day. Undecided
many bottoms fell out again..
but theres still some satisfaction in seeing B-forks being among fastest falling shitcoins  Cheesy



 Cool

weeeee
Beautiful. I cry every time.



 Grin Cheesy Cool

 weeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
I have no pants or hat...wtf am I supposed to do now?


Step back and look at the bigger picture once again I suppose..

Pulling a fib retracement from September 2017 would have painted a decent picture for the last 12 months. *shrugs*  Who wudda thunk.

There is not any new information here I dont think..but I am intrigued with how support and resistance levels coincided quite well with the .618





I was making my new tentative conclusion about you... not XhomerX.

Currently in my thinking, XhomerX has very decent odds of being a real and regular kind of peep, and I recall that about less than a year ago, he became more creative with his memes, and recently moved on to hats. 

Surely, anyone in these here forums might not be a real peep, so I cannot say anything with certainty... but my tentative conclusion about you has become.. micpeep is not the one real peep that s/he/it portrays himself/herself/itself to be.  Shocked Shocked   In other words, peeps reading and participating in this forum should take your supposed personal information with a considerable grain of salt.  Cheesy Cheesy   Tongue   (and maybe more reasonably consider it as a team rather than a real peep....  Embarrassed  ). 
jjg..you've lost it..I personally think the Goose is the "realist" character on the Wall.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓

I was making my new tentative conclusion about you... not XhomerX.

Currently in my thinking, XhomerX has very decent odds of being a real and regular kind of peep, and I recall that about less than a year ago, he became more creative with his memes, and recently moved on to hats.  

Surely, anyone in these here forums might not be a real peep, so I cannot say anything with certainty... but my tentative conclusion about you has become.. micpeep is not the one real peep that s/he/it portrays himself/herself/itself to be.   Cheesy Cheesy   Tongue

If you think that... it's because you don't have any idea how incredibly bad micgoossen's OPSEC is. Even worse than jbreher. Seriously.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
In the end it looks like that Kobayashi mothafucka didn't do that bad when he sold part of the MtGox stash in december.

It would have been fun if he had sold everything at the top and rebought now to refund us fully in BTC.
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