Im probably leaving the market within a week in my final distribution. AMA
Exchange risk was always rightly a huge factor in evaluating the return on trading the during the 11 and 13 cycles. How much risk are you assigning to Gemini, Coinbase, Kraken type of exchanges now?
A crash to 5k seems like the most certain trade you are advocating right now. Since you will have money tied up on exchanges anyway why not short on Kraken?
Your bitphysics model predicts the price will mimic 2014, like a bouncing ball? It so this next bounce would be like the current glade, with a high volume spike somewhere around <5k showing the reversal, a failed climb back to 10k, and then final bleed out to 3k (ideally)?
Do you expect your trading strategy (buying volume breakouts from dips) to continue working if another cycle appears in 202x?
What % of traders have the ability to derive alpha from first principles in crypto? How does this compare to stocks?
Is your ideal play for the next 3 years to find promising blocktree (radix?) projects and load in during strong overall crypto cynicism?
What signals will give clues about whether another BTC cycle in line with the past is starting vs BTC being finished and any pumps being limited?
