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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 1493. (Read 26731770 times)

legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 8114
https://mempool.space/block/000000000000000000008ed27e5d18709c450b78367df4bfbf37dd7b9a1fb6ec

Fees are more than block rewards! mempool cost is crazy at the moment!

Is this a way to artificially suppress the price…

I don't know. This is madness. There is a second-layer shitcoin market that's currently all the rage on bitcoin, but the bubble has to pop at some point. Its gonna be brutal for them, good for everyone else.
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
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legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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hero member
Activity: 758
Merit: 1844
https://mempool.space/block/000000000000000000008ed27e5d18709c450b78367df4bfbf37dd7b9a1fb6ec

Fees are more than block rewards! mempool cost is crazy at the moment!

Is this a way to artificially suppress the price…
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
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legendary
Activity: 3402
Merit: 9199
icarus-cards.eu
to all hat-avatar wearers... maybe you are interested in being part of the next edition Wink Cool
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sale-icarus-bitcointalk-hat-edition-10-designs-5478136
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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jr. member
Activity: 49
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legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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sr. member
Activity: 114
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Fly free sweet Mango.
ChartBuddy's 24 hour Wall Observation recap
..
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
More immediately, if we look at this week's candle, we would have to get above $43,786 for it to close in the green, so I am not sure how great the odds are, because we ONLY have right around 24 hours before this week's candle closes, so the price would need to rise by more than $1,500 as I type this post.
Well, I am also confused but others think is, If for some reason the market rises above $45k and remains stable for a while, everything has to be rearranged. But I hope we're going to see something range good.

I doubt that "we" are in "ranging" territory.  Bitcoin does not work like that... We don't just go to the top of the price point and start to "range," so either we go up further and then correct back down to here and then we range, or we correct back down from here. and then range somewhere down in the $30ks.. it seems that we are set up for more UPplity.. prior to ranging .. but who knows when the UPpity is going to stop.. and sure if we go down from here and end up ranging somewhere in the $30ks that might be possible too..

yet, in any event, I am not personally going to get into any of those kinds of attempts at short-term predictions and just suggest that it seems that we are currently in a don't wake me up zone that is about $35k to $55k, and, so yeah, it is still pretty large, so I am not really going to get too excited within that range, but I still am not going to proclaim that we are actually "ranging" because that does not seem like the correct way of describing what seems to be our current status.

Some hopium to "balance" out my own prediction of post-ETF trajectory:
https://cointelegraph.com/news/spot-bitcoin-etf-approval-propel-btc-1-million-days-to-weeks-samson-mow
I am not sure what is his predictive record (definitely better than Balaji's  Cheesy), but, here we are.

It does sound good, though, even though it does not seem to have very high odds if suggesting that the exponential would go up 20x in a short period.. such as 6-9 months as he suggested to be possible (but then he also said that the price could go up 20x in days to week seems a bit much).  It was a decent interview, and ONLY 11 minutes long.

By the way, the Cointelegraph interviewer (was it Marco Castrovilli?) was trying to see if he could get Samson to agree to equate ethereum to bitcoin in some kinds of ways, but Samson was not having any of that.. so gotta respect Samson for not getting trapped in either the shitcoiner nonsense and also Samson did not really back off of his prediction since Castrovilli seemed to be trying to suggest that Samson was a bit delerious with the exponential angle that he was taking in regards to bitcoin's UPpity potential.
legendary
Activity: 4004
Merit: 4656
Some hopium to "balance" out my own prediction of post-ETF trajectory:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/spot-bitcoin-etf-approval-propel-btc-1-million-days-to-weeks-samson-mow

I am not sure what is his predictive record (definitely better than Balaji's  Cheesy), but, here we are.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
@JJG - you crack me up sometimes but, also amaze me at the amount of thought and analyzing you perform.
No problem... I cannot really help myself, anyhow, and as you might realize, I have been just chomping at the bit to revisit my HypoPhil model, while at the same time potentially adding to it by showing some buy back ideas.

Here's a couple of charts that summarizes the HypoPhil matter.**
Hey JJG.
I tried to reconstruct your spreadsheet and encountered some difficulties matching it.
HypoMyth's BTC sell ladder Plan
In particular I saw the raking formula (column D) is not accurate, and also it changes somehow on the hypothesis of the reinvestments...But it's not specified how.
Upon receiving more direction, I can provide you with the usual spreadsheet to share.

Oh Thanks.  You are right that I had a twist in my formula, and I had not remembered that I had put an additional 0.2% deduction in the amounts for the rakes and also into the reinvestment amounts in order to roughly account for exchange fees.. yet ultimately that part of the formula is likely not necessary in order to attempt to focus on the overall ideas rather than getting caught up in the weeds...so once i remove my the additional 0.2% from mine, then our base numbers match up.... even though I see that you had not yet placed the projected reinvestment success of 41.67% in your Column A numbers. 

I'm wondering also if you want to keep all this in the WO or if you want to move it to your specific thread.

That is probably a good idea, because it does kind of relate to the sustainable withdrawal idea.. but more of a price-based angle, as compared to my motivation of that that other thread was a monthly withdrawal limit.. which kind of becomes a time-based system that also just withdraws every month but also takes into account of the location of the spot price in relation to the 200-week moving average.. whereas this one is more of a pure price based approach... maybe I can put this chart into that thread since it is kind of related, and maye it wouldn't confuse people too much if I provide a bit of a descriptor regarding how it relates and how it differs..
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

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full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 106
come on satoshi 50k Cry
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