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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 15597. (Read 26619964 times)

legendary
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sr. member
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This one if for You Jamie Dimon:  Shocked Shocked



I wouldn't worry to much about Jamie Dimon.

I'm sure he stocked up quite nicely during the dip he created with his FUD.

I wonder how many thousands of coins he owns now. He must have made a killing since mid-September.

Pity the fools who sold cheap coins to him
.

Ironical.
sr. member
Activity: 1400
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Quote

My guess is that these hedge funds might be buying bitcoin themselves, and hence the pumping, with so many green candles and no correction. Then they short it, using leverage to bet on a fall in CME, and thus making more money than a whale might do (due to the margin applied, and the ammount of money, as these hedge funds have millions at their disposal).

The question is: how low could it go, if they succeed? Where should we put buying orders? What would be the dip? And how can we instruct people who are buying now to hold it?

Also, how much would they affect the price, if most bitcoins are not on the exchanges?

Futures will also let large funds go long with ease and not have to worry about the holding and storage of bitcoin.  A big positive many have waited for.  Shorting is possible as well.  CME though limits the variance per day to 20% +/- the previous days close (reference value).  Thus it could go down max or up max 20% in one day for the contracts.  If they manipulated spot bitcoin value more than that it necessarily wouldn't benefit them.

Futures will be interesting to see.  Overall in time it should help here for a while increase price, and then allow for ETFs probably as early as Q1 finally now.  ETFs will then flood $$$ directly into the market directly as they will hold proportionally Bitcoin (and need to buy more, etc.).





Another question is how this manipulation will affect the altcoins.

The futures are only for bitcoin, but not for litecoin, dash, monero, etc. There might be one for ethereum in due time, but most altcoins will benefit if those hedge funds short bitcoin using leverage in cash. But as I say, they need to actually buy the coins and dump it in crypto exchanges to have a real effect on prices. Most bitcoins, however, are being hodled in cold wallets, so they cant buy all of them. Its not the same situation with gold, which is already controlled by governments and banks. So it is a diverse situation we should analyze carefully.
full member
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newbie
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Quote

My guess is that these hedge funds might be buying bitcoin themselves, and hence the pumping, with so many green candles and no correction. Then they short it, using leverage to bet on a fall in CME, and thus making more money than a whale might do (due to the margin applied, and the ammount of money, as these hedge funds have millions at their disposal).

The question is: how low could it go, if they succeed? Where should we put buying orders? What would be the dip? And how can we instruct people who are buying now to hold it?

Also, how much would they affect the price, if most bitcoins are not on the exchanges?

Futures will also let large funds go long with ease and not have to worry about the holding and storage of bitcoin.  A big positive many have waited for.  Shorting is possible as well.  CME though limits the variance per day to 20% +/- the previous days close (reference value).  Thus it could go down max or up max 20% in one day for the contracts.  If they manipulated spot bitcoin value more than that it necessarily wouldn't benefit them.

Futures will be interesting to see.  Overall in time it should help here for a while increase price, and then allow for ETFs probably as early as Q1 finally now.  ETFs will then flood $$$ directly into the market directly as they will hold proportionally Bitcoin (and need to buy more, etc.).

legendary
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sr. member
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Of course. Extreme case: with everyone keeping their bitcoins and never selling, the Wall Street sharks can't buy "real" bitcoin, so their profits can only come on the derivatives side. For example, when they short massively, they can gain on cash-settled futures if the price goes down - provided there's a sucker who's longing those futures. If no hodler engages in derivatives trading, the sucker would be some trader - possibly another Wall street shark on the other side.

The logical question then is: what can a minnow do apart from hodling? Is there a way to benefit from swings in the derivatives market without touching one's btc stash?

The thing is, in the gold market the derivatives price leads the physical price. Whatever the derivative sells for, thats the price dictated to the metal sellers.

We sure as hell do not want to end up like that and it might be wise to start understanding the priorities and dynamics of derivatives markets and how they can potentially impact BTC.

Bitcoin has one huge advantage over gold in that respect because it's liquid. Gold bars do not travel through wires so it cannot be traded electronically in its physical form. That basically hands the entire market over to the derivitaves. Bitcoin on the other hand can be so there's a big damper effect on the futures "tail wagging the dog" scenario.




My guess is that these hedge funds might be buying bitcoin themselves, and hence the pumping, with so many green candles and no correction. Then they short it, using leverage to bet on a fall in CME, and thus making more money than a whale might do (due to the margin applied, and the ammount of money, as these hedge funds have millions at their disposal).

The question is: how low could it go, if they succeed? Where should we put buying orders? What would be the dip? And how can we instruct people who are buying now to hold it?

Also, how much would they affect the price, if most bitcoins are not on the exchanges?
full member
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Deb Rah Von Doom
BOOM Another 1%. Finally. NOW were rich.
legendary
Activity: 3374
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diamond-handed zealot
thanks explorer, that's them
legendary
Activity: 2842
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It takes a little work, but it's the most secure way to hold bitcoins.

If you use BIP-38 or otherwise encrypt it. Having plaintext private keys on a sheet of paper reduces your security to that of physical protection.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
whelp...I guess that wedge has resolved itself


anyone have a link to that bitcoin retirement calculator?

You mean that here:

https://retireonbitcoin.net/

god no

this was a divestment calculator, you entered some basic parameters like how much you start with and how much you want to end up with by when and it spits out a structured sell plan

http://bitcoinsavingsplan.com/

http://xzist.org/amazing-bitcoin-retirement-fund-calculator/
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
whelp...I guess that wedge has resolved itself


anyone have a link to that bitcoin retirement calculator?

You mean that here:

https://retireonbitcoin.net/
Nope, that looks and smells like a Ponzi scheme.

Meantime, 12140? Bit better for the day, bit better.....
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
whelp...I guess that wedge has resolved itself


anyone have a link to that bitcoin retirement calculator?

You mean that here:

https://retireonbitcoin.net/

god no

this was a divestment calculator, you entered some basic parameters like how much you start with and how much you want to end up with by when and it spits out a structured sell plan
Vin
legendary
Activity: 1166
Merit: 1015
whelp...I guess that wedge has resolved itself


anyone have a link to that bitcoin retirement calculator?

You mean that here:

https://retireonbitcoin.net/
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
whelp...I guess that wedge has resolved itself


anyone have a link to that bitcoin retirement calculator?
legendary
Activity: 4200
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You're never too old to think young.
This one if for You Jamie Dimon:  Shocked Shocked



I wouldn't worry to much about Jamie Dimon.

I'm sure he stocked up quite nicely during the dip he created with his FUD.

I wonder how many thousands of coins he owns now. He must have made a killing since mid-September.

Pity the fools who sold cheap coins to him.
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1008
well, that climbed quick...

come on now, dip baby dip!
legendary
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Addicted to HoDLing!
Kraken Euro-ATH (again)!

10200 €
legendary
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Merit: 1001
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