Ah Ha... ..We have a concession folks!!!!!!
Hey, I didn't say I was wrong. I just nipped over to the dark side to checkout the vista for a while
I do appreciate that you have consistently been engaged in a level of bitcoin assessment that incorporates technical analysis, so in that regard, I cannot really accuse you of such inconsistency as losing (or selling) your BCT account; however, your recent level of extreme seems to either be talking your book (while asserting that you are not) or just pure fantasy doom and gloom.
If you are saying: "some people are saying $200, but I don't really believe it," then that is one thing, yet it seems that you are saying: "some people are saying $200, yet even though I don't really believe it, surely such a thing is quite realistic, if you really think about it."
I think that you are just way the fuck out there with such prognosis.
Yeah, of course, anything is possible, and sure, of course, bitcoin has gone through extreme upside growth; however, if you compare this particular growth cycle from $250 to $4980, as compared with the two cycles in 2013 that brought us from $15 to $1163, they are quite different, and this particular time around has been much more gradual in terms of percentage and in terms of slope... .. so yeah, it is possible that we could go from $3900 to $7k and then have a BIG fucking correction, but it is nearly a snowball's chance in hell that we are going down to $200, and it would be quite the stretch to bring us below $1500, even though it is quite possible that we could have some spikes below into the three digits, maybe as low as $900..
but really, what the fuck does it even matter... right now we are $3900, and we continue to have upwards price pressures and you are kind of conceding that there are decent chances of UP before DOWN, so therefore, what the fuck we focusing on DOWN, when it seems pretty decent to achieve UP, first?
In any event, there is no exact road map for where we are going to go, how far we are going to go and how long it is going to take to get there. Sure we can concede that there are cycles and waves and all of that, but it makes little sense to be harping on only one side of the ledger (especially the negative side of the ledger in this kind of thread that attempts to teach us about bitcoin and to learn about two of the better BTC-related strategies: 1) accumulate and 2) HODL)