Hi,
I am an absolute newby to this forum, this is my first post. On the other hand, I have been trading financial assets for quite some time.
I expected today's BTC dip, whatever the supposed reason for it would come out to be (i.e. fake news from China) on the basis of :
1. a simple analysis of trading volumes analyzed on various time frames
2. the application of Fibonacci retracement levels to the previous leg up
3. the application of Eliot's wave count to the previous leg up (impulse wave) and to the current leg down (correction wave)
Technical analysis is not science and its various tools are not always churning out foolproof answers. Some tools work better ( = more often and on more type of financial assets) than others, but even those can fail ( = give false signals). In my experience, Eliot and Fibonacci have the best predictive power because they are not based on averages of past datas but on eternal or, at least, recurrent human behavioural patterns.
This said, I put out my 5 cents of wisdom to say that the market will find its way to correct lower before it resumes its way up. I have set a number of buying orders at decreasing price levels between 4000 and 3000 USD so, to put my mouth where my money is, this is what I can recommend to others as well.
Good trades everybody !
Sure your post sounds reasonable newbie; however, you need to account for s-curve adoption, metcalfe networking principles and that bitcoin is an immature technology that is also going through fundamental extreme attacks and even weirdness in the cryptospace on a broader level with a variety of random and extreme performances of ICOs and alt coins, and that is where the fucktard over reliance on technical analysis frequently screws up with their assertions about supposed inevitable needs for correction in a kind of false equivalency about bitcoin being a supposed mature market.
Sure you could be correct this time (a stopped clock is correct twice a day), but please present your technical analysis with a bit more grains of salt and accounting for both the immature price finding aspect of bitcoin and the s-curve analysis which are important factors to not leave out when you are arriving at your supposed "reasonable" technical analysis conclusions and advices.