give blocksize to the free market and you'll have the best fucking blocksize there ever was.
If you ever figure out that bitcoin is a
currency and not money, you'll know that it's market cap has to be floated by sheer transaction volume and not as a store of value. Unlike what Hal Finney thought might happen, bitcoin does not have value as a settlement layer in a free market without coercion. Bitcoin can never compete with metals on Exter's pyramid because gold and silver demolish it as a store of value due to being more anti-fragile (colloquial use of the word, FU jbreher).
As soon as the bitcoin market cap topped out, people would immediately dump them all for metals instead. There is no point in attempting to store generational wealth in an inferior medium for no reason that can be gone with the wind at random. Bitcoin can be destroyed by all kinds of things while it takes something like a black hole hitting the earth to black swan metals. The only way bitcoin has any hopes of competing with gold and silver is in
utility, not trying to replicate what gold and silver already do and doing so in a worse manner.
The point is, current on-chain scaling will all result in bitcoin still being a settlement layer. If you try to design bitcoin as a settlement layer, I believe it will fail because it can't compete with gold and silver in that regard. You'd need to be getting into the thousands of TPS for it not to be a settlement layer, then people aren't required to store huge sums of money in it (as governed by what's economical due to transaction fees) where you'd basically be forced to use bitcoin as your savings account if you wish to use it at all with on-chain scaling.
The only way out of that conundrum is transaction bundling in some type of LN-like system. Whether an LN-type system can be made to work in a decentralized manner is a different story. It seems like it would also require buffering transactions in a centralized que to avoid closing out too many channels at once and overflowing the system. Another inconvenient fact is that bitcoin's endgame security when block reward hits 0 and LN both might require inflation to work. Bitcoin still has a lot of extremely complicated issues to work through that most people simply talking about block size don't understand. Who knows, maybe the issues such as decentralization can't be worked through and it's just a Rube Goldberg machine.