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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 17703. (Read 26715535 times)

legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
You forget the chinese withdrawals that start tomorrow. When the chinese people see that the price is dropping they always panic and sell. So this means that wee can expect a drop tommorrow, and when ETF is not approved, what is likely to happen, will cause in an another drop. We are going to test 950 usd

Chinese are already trading on other places, such as localbitcoins and other exchanges in the world, they haven't just stayed out sleeping in their home waiting around for their exchanges to open or not!

and when Chinese exchanges open tomorrow (if that is the date) Chinese will start buying the dip as they always do to catch up to the rest of the world and catch up with their cheap coin accumulation.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
You forget the chinese withdrawals that start tomorrow. When the chinese people see that the price is dropping they always panic and sell. So this means that wee can expect a drop tommorrow, and when ETF is not approved, what is likely to happen, will cause in an another drop. We are going to test 950 usd
sr. member
Activity: 854
Merit: 262
Some of the potential  drop is already priced in so if it's not approved it won't go down that much more.
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
Bottom in ?


HAHAHA, you are funny today. This is going nowhere but down.

this is most definitely bottom if ETF is approved tomorrow.


I think that, personally, I am only putting Seg Wit at about 40% for passage.

I don't really have any insider knowledge, and maybe I am just going with overall sentiment - following the polls.


Regarding timing, your guess of tomorrow doesn't really seem likely to me, but what the fuck do I know?  I was thinking either Friday or Monday, but do we really know the past practice?  Monday is the do or die date, correct?  So a few days before that would seem to make more sense than the actual final day, so maybe I am undermining my own hypothesis.. and maybe Thursday is a good date for the announcement?

i'm giving the ETF a 75% chance of approval.

They dont necessarily have to wait till the very last second to approve it or not ( or delay it futher!? ).
The fact that we are nearing the ( rumoured ) deadline, the 11th, is a positive sign IMO.
each day that its not denied it feels more likely to be approved.
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
If ETF is denied, price will probably tank to 999$ and have a hard time staying above 1000$ for a while.


legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
I came here because I was interested to read the stories of many of you fellas in respect to bitcoin price analysis and predictions.

Instead, I see lot's of BU nonsense.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Tongue


We see a dip yesterday from nearly upper $1200s to mid $1100s and then a return to mid $1200s.. and now a drop to upper $1100s.  This all seems to be related to uncertainty either way regarding the direction of any possible ETF announcement, and folks seem to be kinda raring to go, no?

Of course, some have pre-emptively struck in one direction or another with their belief about what the outcome is going to be.

lol ya, Me too, seems that when price drops, we all come here, some poeple post a link or 2 explaining why price is acting the way it is ( the ETF thing coming soon) and then we proceed to discuss the all the other forking shit.  




Antpool mined a few BU blocks and this subforum went nuts with threads about an imminent fork Roll Eyes.  Naturally, this thread got caught up in it.
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Bottom in ?


HAHAHA, you are funny today. This is going nowhere but down.

this is most definitely bottom if ETF is approved tomorrow.


I think that, personally, I am only putting Seg Wit at about 40% for passage.

I don't really have any insider knowledge, and maybe I am just going with overall sentiment - following the polls.


Regarding timing, your guess of tomorrow doesn't really seem likely to me, but what the fuck do I know?  I was thinking either Friday or Monday, but do we really know the past practice?  Monday is the do or die date, correct?  So a few days before that would seem to make more sense than the actual final day, so maybe I am undermining my own hypothesis.. and maybe Thursday is a good date for the announcement?
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
if ETF is approved we should rally to 1800$ ASAP.

with any luck the media will paint bitcoin as "a safe bet" and the ETF will catch fire.

then what KABOOM 32K? idk.. maybe?

then what?

1 million / coin by the time the world is ready for it?

 Grin

...

sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
Bottom in ?


HAHAHA, you are funny today. This is going nowhere but down.

this is most definitely bottom if ETF is approved tomorrow.
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
I came here because I was interested to read the stories of many of you fellas in respect to bitcoin price analysis and predictions.

Instead, I see lot's of BU nonsense.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Tongue


We see a dip yesterday from nearly upper $1200s to mid $1100s and then a return to mid $1200s.. and now a drop to upper $1100s.  This all seems to be related to uncertainty either way regarding the direction of any possible ETF announcement, and folks seem to be kinda raring to go, no?

Of course, some have pre-emptively struck in one direction or another with their belief about what the outcome is going to be.

lol ya, Me too, seems that when price drops, we all come here, some poeple post a link or 2 explaining why price is acting the way it is ( the ETF thing coming soon) and then we proceed to discuss the all the other forking shit.  

sr. member
Activity: 756
Merit: 250
Bottom in ?


HAHAHA, you are funny today. This is going nowhere but down.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
Quote
Emergent consensus is not elimination of block size restriction.  Miners will always restrict size because there is a cost to increasing it.

When BU forms a chain, it will take one, and only one, 'valid' malicious block to ruin that chain forever.  Any BUcoin will exist forever with that Sword of Damocles hanging over it. On that one fatal security flaw alone it is not a serious contender for solving capacity expansion for bitcoin.


WTF are you talking about?  Can you please go into detail about how a single malicious block can cause any harm to anyone other than the miner who produced it?
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
Quote
Emergent consensus is not elimination of block size restriction.  Miners will always restrict size because there is a cost to increasing it.

This is just pure wishful thinking totally unsupported by any analysis, experimental or calculable proof.

When BU forms a chain, it will take one, and only one, 'valid' malicious block to ruin that chain forever.  Any BUcoin will exist forever with that Sword of Damocles hanging over it. On that one fatal security flaw alone it is not a serious contender for solving capacity expansion for bitcoin.

Most Core developers understand this, it is not obstinacy that they will not 'compromise'. Any requests to 'compromise' is asking Core devs to acquiesce to the possible ruination of bitcoin, why would they sign off on opening bitcoin up to that? All they can do is put forward their solution and see if it is accepted. You cannot coerce or guilt-shame developers into writing code they know is risking the complete ruination of the project by opening it up to an obvious existential security flaw. If Core dev's proposed solution is maligned enough to be found unaccepted then all they can do is shrug and say, "we tried".

No security coder is going to write known compromised software voluntarily.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
Actually, pools control the blocksize.
minners are free to pick the pool they mine at.
Exactly, but who has the control over block size other than the pool operator. P2Pool?

the network as a whole?

nothing really changes, bitcoin is not free of its limits only more able to coordinate its limits without being less hindered by politics.

I would hope that if EC is to be successful, it's with >90%. and I Really hope all the small blocks stay, and provide adequate pressure to make sure blocks grow at a respectable comfortable rate.
 

Democracy is about compromise, SegWit was Core's compromise. It was up to the pool operators to accept the compromise. Please broaden your outlook, it is easier to point fingers than do critical thinking.

If SegWit was the compromise, what was the original position?  Besides, according the the hong kong agreement, the compromise was segwit + a can kick blocksize increase.  The latter part never materialized.  You can't "compromise", and then abandon the concessions you've made to achieve that agreement.
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I came here because I was interested to read the stories of many of you fellas in respect to bitcoin price analysis and predictions.

Instead, I see lot's of BU nonsense.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Tongue


We see a dip yesterday from nearly upper $1200s to mid $1100s and then a return to mid $1200s.. and now a drop to upper $1100s.  This all seems to be related to uncertainty either way regarding the direction of any possible ETF announcement, and folks seem to be kinda raring to go, no?

Of course, some have pre-emptively struck in one direction or another with their belief about what the outcome is going to be.

legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread
Actually, pools control the blocksize.
minners are free to pick the pool they mine at.
Exactly, but who has the control over block size other than the pool operator. P2Pool?

the network as a whole?

nothing really changes, bitcoin is not free of its limits only more able to coordinate its limits without being less hindered by politics.

I would hope that if EC is to be successful, it's with >90%. and I Really hope all the small blocks stay, and provide adequate pressure to make sure blocks grow at a respectable comfortable rate.
 

Democracy is about compromise, SegWit was Core's compromise. It was up to the pool operators to accept the compromise. Please broaden your outlook, it is easier to point fingers than do critical thinking.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
full member
Activity: 308
Merit: 100
Just bought the dip  Cool
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