Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 18591. (Read 26644447 times)

legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1016
We should see a new market cap ATH soon, was it around 13b?


I'm sure I remember seeing 17b in 2013
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
We should see a new market cap ATH soon, was it around 13b?

In Bitcoin, soon© is as variable in time as Microsoft minutes are.

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ (the blue line)
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
We should see a new market cap ATH soon, was it around 13b?
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Bear with me
Bitcoin Block Reward Halving Countdown:
Only 22 more days!

Reward drop ETA: Sun, 10 Jul 2016 10:44:06 GMT
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
There used to be so many bears in here. What happened to them? Identity crisis?
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045

1. 25%: This is a trap and a sort of double top before another serious bear market.
2. 50%: There is going to be a 6 month consolidation phase before ATH is broken.
3. 25%: ATH is broken now.

100%: this analysis is bullshit

actually i completely agree with this.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
once we hit

747

this thing is going to take off.

Passengers of the last (and doomed  Grin) flight please return to the lounge, takeoff is delayed by a couple of hours. Wink
hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!
It's funny how, when the price is going up, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going up eventually to $32,768, and then when the price is going down, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going down eventually to $1 after some grand plot is revealed (jaded penny stock investor), and the only difference changing my feelings... is the color of the candles.

you're the only person here i thought could trade somewhat rationally. this is depressing news.
It has nothing to do with trading. It's just the emotions I feel.

... It has nothing to do with trading. It's just the emotions I feel.

Yes ... but the emotion tells me that it will not go to 1$ as you said ...

it is like trying to bring back a rocket from space with no fuel left in the reservoir for the return.

The emotional value is the value that satisfies the perceived acceptable spending power of 1% that one has and considers it satisfying/minimum loss!
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 102


I've been trying to compare 2014-2016 to 2011-2013 under the assumption that it's time to break ATH now but it doesn't make any sense and the structure/symmetry just isn't the same (not to mention the different timescales). In the 2011 chart you can see that bottom being reached to the left only 33% of the way through the chart. However in the 2015 chart you see bottom not being reached until 50% of the way through the chart and dragging on all the way through 75% of the way through the chart at roughly the same level. The bottoming out was much weaker and the jump to now supposedly try to challenge ATH is extremely sudden. Therefore, odds are most likely that we need another midterm consolidation of 6 months of to make an even chart. I see the following possibilities:
1. 25%: This is a trap and a sort of double top before another serious bear market.
2. 50%: There is going to be a 6 month consolidation phase before ATH is broken.
3. 25%: ATH is broken now.

100%: this analysis is bullshit
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500


I've been trying to compare 2014-2016 to 2011-2013 under the assumption that it's time to break ATH now but it doesn't make any sense and the structure/symmetry just isn't the same (not to mention the different timescales). In the 2011 chart you can see that bottom being reached to the left only 33% of the way through the chart. However in the 2015 chart you see bottom not being reached until 50% of the way through the chart and dragging on all the way through 75% of the way through the chart at roughly the same level. The bottoming out was much weaker and the jump to now supposedly try to challenge ATH is extremely sudden. Therefore, odds are most likely that we need another midterm consolidation of 6 months of to make an even chart. I see the following possibilities:
1. 25%: This is a trap and a sort of double top before another serious bear market.
2. 50%: There is going to be a 6 month consolidation phase before ATH is broken.
3. 25%: ATH is broken now.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
It's funny how, when the price is going up, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going up eventually to $32,768, and then when the price is going down, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going down eventually to $1 after some grand plot is revealed (jaded penny stock investor), and the only difference changing my feelings... is the color of the candles.

you're the only person here i thought could trade somewhat rationally. this is depressing news.
It has nothing to do with trading. It's just the emotions I feel.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
i feel like the ethereum drama damaged the whole crypto space, despite everyone in the bitcoin community seeming so delighted.

maybe we're still in a rally idk. i hope so. though i would also be delighted to chill in the 700s for a few weeks Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
It's funny how, when the price is going up, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going up eventually to $32,768, and then when the price is going down, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going down eventually to $1 after some grand plot is revealed (jaded penny stock investor), and the only difference changing my feelings... is the color of the candles.

you're the only person here i thought could trade somewhat rationally. this is depressing news.
hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!
How much fiat will it take to get us to $3k?

somewhere around 47-48 billion dollars in market cap for 15.700.000 - 15.800.000 coins.

But you can find out by basically multiplying 3000$ x [number of coins] = market cap .... but that is not exactly necessarily! ... Because if the markets want 2000$ for 1BTC ... then they will keep that price with less money in the system or more money in the system. Meaning supply&demand rules do not always apply! ... Meaning someone will make someone else lose money or coins for the love of speculation.

Basically there can be 20 billion in the system but only 10 billion are accounted. Also the exchanges bleed an amount of the user's fiat with the transaction fees.

Mostly it is a very emotional process setting the price. And example would be if there are only 19 million BTC in the system and 17 million are not transactioned ... that created a limit of 2 million coins for that 20 billion $ in the system. So you will do that 20.000.000.000 $ (divided by) / 2.000.000 BTC (coins) = [value per coin] 10.000$ ... if only 2 million coins are used in a 20 billion $ market cap ..  Cheesy

Does this help you understand better in the future so you can calculate on your own?
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
No one wanted to buy @ 730 but they'll gladly buy at $25+ more here in a bit
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
It's funny how, when the price is going up, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going up eventually to $32,768, and then when the price is going down, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going down eventually to $1 after some grand plot is revealed (jaded penny stock investor), and the only difference changing my feelings... is the color of the candles.

It is only human nature, it is why opportunities are created in times of extreme greed as well as extreme fear.

I would gladly take trading on the OTC markets over Finex,Huobi and Okcoin  Roll Eyes at least the OTC is not working to manipulate the price like these exchanges probably are.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
It's funny how, when the price is going up, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going up eventually to $32,768, and then when the price is going down, I'm totally convinced the nature of Bitcoin is to keep going down eventually to $1 after some grand plot is revealed (jaded penny stock investor), and the only difference changing my feelings... is the color of the candles.
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
Our Chinese overlords may be trying to pump it here  Roll Eyes
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
is this upcoming auction going to have much of an effect?
i'm just curious as to what you guys think as i dont see it mentioned much in here...
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/30/australia-to-auction-115-million-confiscated-bitcoins.html

nice pump and dump the day of or after.
past auctions have pumped prices and then after price got dumped
but that was during a bear market.
This isn't a huge amount of coins ( its like half the size of the ?3? FBI auction ) so it might just lead to good press and not much else.



I actually think it is very positive news, beyond the actual auction. Australia basically gives Bitcoin it's stamp of approval by selling these confiscated bitcoins. Long term this can only be good for Bitcoin + it is a rather trivial amount of coins.

This is actually good for Bitcoion.

Well said, mate.

there was an auction of the shanyflakes bitcoins made some time this was also very sick Cheesy
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
is this upcoming auction going to have much of an effect?
i'm just curious as to what you guys think as i dont see it mentioned much in here...
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/30/australia-to-auction-115-million-confiscated-bitcoins.html

nice pump and dump the day of or after.
past auctions have pumped prices and then after price got dumped
but that was during a bear market.
This isn't a huge amount of coins ( its like half the size of the ?3? FBI auction ) so it might just lead to good press and not much else.



I actually think it is very positive news, beyond the actual auction. Australia basically gives Bitcoin it's stamp of approval by selling these confiscated bitcoins. Long term this can only be good for Bitcoin + it is a rather trivial amount of coins.

This is actually good for Bitcoion.

Well said, mate.
Jump to: