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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 18595. (Read 26656910 times)

legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
someone wants double top very badly. Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
Heavy resistance, especially in China. If this goes sideways for another hour, it will start looking corrective...

It did... and the dump triggered my stop loss... so just a tiny loss...
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188

wtf? new 2 year high then instadump?

It was the Borgan Quench out in force again.

Still plummeting.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
wtf? new 2 year high then instadump?
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188

That pump has done a quick 180 and turned into a dump.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500


I've been trying to compare 2014-2016 to 2011-2013 under the assumption that it's time to break ATH now but it doesn't make any sense and the structure/symmetry just isn't the same (not to mention the different timescales). In the 2011 chart you can see that bottom being reached to the left only 33% of the way through the chart. However in the 2015 chart you see bottom not being reached until 50% of the way through the chart and dragging on all the way through 75% of the way through the chart at roughly the same level. The bottoming out was much weaker and the jump to now supposedly try to challenge ATH is extremely sudden. Therefore, odds are most likely that we need another midterm consolidation of 6 months of to make an even chart. I see the following possibilities:
1. 25%: This is a trap and a sort of double top before another serious bear market.
2. 50%: There is going to be a 6 month consolidation phase before ATH is broken.
3. 25%: ATH is broken now.
I don't think we should worry if the top/bottom ratio or the timing (this cycle is a lot more drawn out) is different than in the 2011 bubble. I think what matter is that the structure is the same or similar enough, and the structure looks very similar to me.

I see two major possibilities, either this:






...or this:





In the first scenario price just continues up because the long period of consolidation has already happened.
In the second scenario this 4 month consolidation price has been in, represents the first long consolidation in the 2011 bubble, therefore price needs another long consolidation of several months before breaking ATH.

So in my opinion it's more something like this:

50%: Price just continues and breaks ATH
40%: Price goes into a big consolidation for several months before breaking ATH
10% It just dumps and continues dumping.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
sr. member
Activity: 326
Merit: 250
Atdhe Nuhiu
This weekend is so far different. The price in CNY is on par with USD. I hope the China push is coming now.
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
okcoin weekly futs $1 under 800
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
Heavy resistance, especially in China. If this goes sideways for another hour, it will start looking corrective...

One of these times you're bound to be right. until then... CCMF
legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
Finex trying for 800  Tongue
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
I am really scared to write here, because my posts were deleted as offtopic and irrelevant to Bitcoin price. But Argentina is not in good shape too, their  currency is in turmoil for longer time. Now they have allegedly right wing government, but nothing will change. Paraguay and Uruguay has decent policies and have no major problems.

I think the candidate can be Russia one day. They are hostile recently to cryptos, but this can change. They have good infrastructure, smart people and economy in bad shape.

You should probably post in the politics sub section if this is the type of stuff you like to discuss.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=34.0

sr. member
Activity: 326
Merit: 250
Atdhe Nuhiu
I am really scared to write here, because my posts were deleted as offtopic and irrelevant to Bitcoin price. But Argentina is not in good shape too, their  currency is in turmoil for longer time. Now they have allegedly right wing government, but nothing will change. Paraguay and Uruguay has decent policies and have no major problems.

I think the candidate can be Russia one day. They are hostile recently to cryptos, but this can change. They have good infrastructure, smart people and economy in bad shape.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
We should see a new market cap ATH soon, was it around 13b?
Does any ever do a TA analysis involving market cap in any kind of security? I thought it was always price.

Price is what grabs attention, affects people's trade profits, triggers stop orders, etc.
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
Seeing that something similar is happening in brazil is interesting. Their inflation rate has been climbing over the years and is about 9% right now. Not yet a real target for bitcoin, but it will come in time if things move forward as they do. And they usually do when it comes to inflation.
Hopefully Bitcoin will be ready by then.

Any other targets we should know of?
sr. member
Activity: 326
Merit: 250
Atdhe Nuhiu
Yeah, whole South America now is blaming leaders. But it is the people who choose them or who choose not to overthrow them. Venezuela is not a dictatorship, they elected their leaders.

We will see, but I am pretty sure that it will not be South America who will adopt btc first. It is really sad, because it makes perfect sense. But only in theory. The max what btc can do it that the digital elites in Venezuela will use btc as reserve currency (which is what is happening right now and also in Brazil that goes to shit as well [Brazilian turnover now is over 1K btc/day in local exchanges and much of those coins are I believe for hodling]).
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