Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 20544. (Read 26607344 times)

legendary
Activity: 889
Merit: 1013
only 6000 coins to $1k on Bitstamp. Just sayin'.

So, should we buy all of it now? Smiley

Nah, no rush, just pick 'em up slowly and hopefully they'll stay this cheap for a while =)
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1049
Average blocksize is roughly about half a MB already. Do the math. am I being hyperbolic?  

Half a megabyte which is full of dust / spam transactions.

The blockchain is extremely valuable to be used in this way.

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
-snip-
All of this extra activity related to the Mavrodi pyramid is likely to increase the number of xactions on the network.  If this leads to a backlog,  no fee xactions will probably never get confirmed and fees will go up for anyone who needs their bitcoin transferred in a timely manner, possibly up substantially.  

The power of exponential growth can be truly awesome.  possibly faster. A ponzi scheme needs an ever-expanding pool of suckers to continue.  A collapse is inevitable regardless of the block size outcome. This pump can last for a long time, but if the goddamn blocksize cap isn't raised (or preferably eliminated entirely), it's going to collapse when the network crashes which may be even before Mavrodi runs out of suckers.

Leveraged shorts are going up substantially on BFX, as well as longs.  If I had to guess, there will be a short squeeze before a long squeeze.  Liquidity providers have been caught unprepared for the short term demand of the ponzi.  It cannot last but can go on for months.  When this thing unwinds, we may find ourselves in a new Nash equilibrium below $200.  The fallout will damage Bitcoin possibly even worse than Gox.  Expect more bans and heavier regulation.  

Do you really think MMM victims in china would throw this much money at the exchanges? Is Mr. Mavrodi hodling the coins vs liquidating them as they come in? As they are basically tx's transferring between the off chain chinese exchanges to the off chain MMM database... do you really see an explosion in tx growth?... (not seeing it here https://tradeblock.com/bitcoin/)

Listen, I agree that increasing the max_block_size is getting critical, and we likely couldn't handle the volumes of a repeat of 2013... I'm just trying to avoid getting hyperbolic on both of these issues. Perhaps that's a mistake... but I'm awaiting more evidence.

People associated with MMM have already had their bank accounts seized. "Why "cash out" when it's safer to stay in BTC? It's not just the exchanges. I have sold many coins to people in India via purse.io at >20% over market rates.  Look, when you try to extrapolate out a trend, you look to see what factors could prevent that extrapolation from being an accurate prediction.  I am considering the max size of the Mavrodi Pyramid, and it could be possibly far larger than our small community.  Once a critical mass has been reached, a chain reaction continues until each fission creates <1 additional fission on average.  Chain reactions feed on themselves. China and India by themselves make up more than a third of the world's population. The pool of potential suckers will not be exhausted anytime soon. What's more,  Bitcoin was designed to prevent  restrictions on trade. If the exchanges stop or restrict payments to Mavrodi, traffic may go up instead of down. It's only the main chain that's censorship resistant. Look at what has happened already. MMM only has to double in size four or five times before the network crashes for certain. Average blocksize is roughly about half a MB already. Do the math. am I being hyperbolic?  
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
only 6000 coins to $1k on Bitstamp. Just sayin'.

So, should we buy all of it now? Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
ponzis and pyramids are uniquely different animals although share many of the same features and incentive structures. A ponzi normally has a single actor or small group coordinating the scheme and profiting directly from the administration and the pyramiding effect of value flowing to the top. A pyramid is like a wave that does not necessarily have a central figure or figures that perpetuate the scheme but can take a life of its own until it burns out.

Most monetary systems have features and incentive structures not unlike pyramids with very long life time scales relative to the earning life time of a human. In some sense they are like life and fire, they will be in existence until they have served their useful purpose, consume all available resources or burn themselves out. And just like fire, small ponzis can start and feed into bigger pyramids that in turn even set ablaze, new long-lived monetary systems.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001
This prop is going up and that's that. Deal with it and make more from it/
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 2267
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
OK, I'm going to bed. Don't disappoint me tonight, people.

legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
no money left on bfx to squeeze shorts.
hero member
Activity: 611
Merit: 500
Anglo Saxon Crypto Enthusiast
Damn!  USD is running 0.06% daily on BFX. more than 10X the interest rate on BTC.

EDIT: now >0.08!


In the past 30 days, we have had a return of nearly 30%, and I calculate that to be approximately 1% per day, on average.  The past month as been a good time to have been in BTC.
By my estimation, we're in a 45 day-ish run that has been reasonable enough to suggest that this isn't a pump and way different than the last few. That's quite some time and likely shouts that we're into something way apart from the last runs. No one can doubt that the halving is or will be having an effect in a large way now or in the short term. Moon? That's right I said it!

I'm gonna pee in you pool a little. If you investment goes down 50% and then goes up 50%, you still have only 75% of what you started with. If BTC was $100, then went down to $50, then back up to $75, that's what I mean.

All of this extra activity related to the Mavrodi pyramid is likely to increase the number of xactions on the network.  If this leads to a backlog,  no fee xactions will probably never get confirmed and fees will go up for anyone who needs their bitcoin transferred in a timely manner, possibly up substantially. 

The power of exponential growth can be truly awesome.  possibly faster. A ponzi scheme needs an ever-expanding pool of suckers to continue.  A collapse is inevitable regardless of the block size outcome. This pump can last for a long time, but if the goddamn blocksize cap isn't raised (or preferably eliminated entirely), it's going to collapse when the network crashes which may be even before Mavrodi runs out of suckers.

Leveraged shorts are going up substantially on BFX, as well as longs.  If I had to guess, there will be a short squeeze before a long squeeze.  Liquidity providers have been caught unprepared for the short term demand of the ponzi.  It cannot last but can go on for months.  When this thing unwinds, we may find ourselves in a new Nash equilibrium below $200.  The fallout will damage Bitcoin possibly even worse than Gox.  Expect more bans and heavier regulation. 

So you've sold coins during this rally and you'd rather it doesn't continue - big surprise. The threat of an XT fork caused uncertainty and drove the price down, but now that's dead in the water, and smart money is moving into Bitcoin rather than fiat as a crisis looms over the broader financial market.  As technical issue scaling can be solved in a less divisive fashion down the road, when it actually matters. In the meantime, Bitcoin is looking better and better as a store of value so go piss in someone else's pool.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
-snip-
All of this extra activity related to the Mavrodi pyramid is likely to increase the number of xactions on the network.  If this leads to a backlog,  no fee xactions will probably never get confirmed and fees will go up for anyone who needs their bitcoin transferred in a timely manner, possibly up substantially. 

The power of exponential growth can be truly awesome.  possibly faster. A ponzi scheme needs an ever-expanding pool of suckers to continue.  A collapse is inevitable regardless of the block size outcome. This pump can last for a long time, but if the goddamn blocksize cap isn't raised (or preferably eliminated entirely), it's going to collapse when the network crashes which may be even before Mavrodi runs out of suckers.

Leveraged shorts are going up substantially on BFX, as well as longs.  If I had to guess, there will be a short squeeze before a long squeeze.  Liquidity providers have been caught unprepared for the short term demand of the ponzi.  It cannot last but can go on for months.  When this thing unwinds, we may find ourselves in a new Nash equilibrium below $200.  The fallout will damage Bitcoin possibly even worse than Gox.  Expect more bans and heavier regulation. 

Do you really think MMM victims in china would throw this much money at the exchanges? Is Mr. Mavrodi hodling the coins vs liquidating them as they come in? As they are basically tx's transferring between the off chain chinese exchanges to the off chain MMM database... do you really see an explosion in tx growth?... (not seeing it here https://tradeblock.com/bitcoin/)

Listen, I agree that increasing the max_block_size is getting critical, and we likely couldn't handle the volumes of a repeat of 2013... I'm just trying to avoid getting hyperbolic on both of these issues. Perhaps that's a mistake... but I'm awaiting more evidence.
legendary
Activity: 889
Merit: 1013
only 6000 coins to $1k on Bitstamp. Just sayin'.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Chartbuddy you finally show a 300 Chart
Congratulations ^^
Ha-ha in a good mood.
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
As long as China currency control is in place, btc price will continue to move upward.


I'm NOT sure if these are directly correlated, but it seems possible that there could be some connection.

There is always a connection to China and the large pushes in price. A big portion of the volume in the markets comes from China.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
Damn!  USD is running 0.06% daily on BFX. more than 10X the interest rate on BTC.

EDIT: now >0.08!


In the past 30 days, we have had a return of nearly 30%, and I calculate that to be approximately 1% per day, on average.  The past month as been a good time to have been in BTC.
By my estimation, we're in a 45 day-ish run that has been reasonable enough to suggest that this isn't a pump and way different than the last few. That's quite some time and likely shouts that we're into something way apart from the last runs. No one can doubt that the halving is or will be having an effect in a large way now or in the short term. Moon? That's right I said it!

I'm gonna pee in you pool a little. If you investment goes down 50% and then goes up 50%, you still have only 75% of what you started with. If BTC was $100, then went down to $50, then back up to $75, that's what I mean.

All of this extra activity related to the Mavrodi pyramid is likely to increase the number of xactions on the network.  If this leads to a backlog,  no fee xactions will probably never get confirmed and fees will go up for anyone who needs their bitcoin transferred in a timely manner, possibly up substantially. 

The power of exponential growth can be truly awesome.  possibly faster. A ponzi scheme needs an ever-expanding pool of suckers to continue.  A collapse is inevitable regardless of the block size outcome. This pump can last for a long time, but if the goddamn blocksize cap isn't raised (or preferably eliminated entirely), it's going to collapse when the network crashes which may be even before Mavrodi runs out of suckers.

Leveraged shorts are going up substantially on BFX, as well as longs.  If I had to guess, there will be a short squeeze before a long squeeze.  Liquidity providers have been caught unprepared for the short term demand of the ponzi.  It cannot last but can go on for months.  When this thing unwinds, we may find ourselves in a new Nash equilibrium below $200.  The fallout will damage Bitcoin possibly even worse than Gox.  Expect more bans and heavier regulation. 
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1005

Finally!! Official confirmation that BTC has broken $300... waited for so long! Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 503
Legendary trader
Will tarmi make it? Not everybody can survive.
Jump to: