Still going sideways I see. 2015 is definitely reminding me of 2012.
Actually, that could signify fairly decent possibilities of two bubbles in the 2016 - 2017 time-frame, no?
Maybe bubble 1 would go 10 to 12x from the mid $200s price arena (that's $2,500 to $3,000), and maybe bubble 2 (after BTC crashes down to $1,500-ish would go 9 to 11x from that mid $1,500s price arena (that's $13,500 to $16,500)?
Call me a bear, or a pessimist, because the above projections do NOT quite make it to Adam's $32k prediction.
What are the odds of something like the above happening? 5% or greater? It's certainly NOT in the realm of the impossible.
i don't think we'll see an exact repeat of the past.
What i see happening is bitcoin becoming increasingly useful and the price rising based on that fact rather than speculation, and then exploding to 32,000 after leaching some of gold's speculative/safe haven value.
so this time next year we'll see a solid rise to ~2,000$ and sustain that value, will take millions bought or sold to move price up or down, we'll see counrty A making a deal with country B using BTC, OIL for BTC or something, then Billions of grams of gold will start buying bitcoin KABOOM 32,000$ maybe 320,000$
I think the next rise or "bubble" will be like nothing we've seen before because this time it will be different, this time it we wont be speculating bitcoin is the future of money, we'll be pricing that fact in.
we may see a bit of a dip on the second run up as bitcoin mining / full nodes become more institutionalized people will be crying out "bitcoin is being centralized by big corporation! this is the end bla bla bla " but infact this is the natural evolution of the tech, early adopters will not like the idea that bitcoin has grown so big that individual nodes / miners are ran by countries and large institutions, and so they will leave to join dogecoin or some shit that will never grow past the "home users form consensus" model. this will all happen so fast, in 2-3years time, there will be much confusion, its important to remember that bigger is better! and bitcoin isn't "centralized" simply because it requires a large amount of capital ( 3000$ computer + high end internet connection ) to participate in its consensus layer.
the big question is how will have more power, China or US.