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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 21808. (Read 26608255 times)

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
so? where my GBTC pump?

Where are your shorting colleagues?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
so? where my GBTC pump?
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
Aww, what's happening now... Let's just hope that we'll form a double-bottom on the short-term support line that's been established over the last few days and bounce right back into the $240s... I don't feel comfortable leaving this uptrend-channel Cheesy

It's a probing bot that pushes the market down on low volume to absorb selling, catch stops, etc. It puts big hidden orders right above the market so the price can't move up, market sells a bit to make the amateur traders nervous, catches what it can of the selling, then reverses. Very clever.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
Lets see what happens.

Either bitcoin is very underpriced or GBTC users are happy to pay a heavy premium.

Dumping into the opening on a Chinese exchange shows the degree of desperation from bears - yes you will have to cover your positions Smiley

Both are true.  GBTC is the only option for some classes of funds (so heavy premium), and bitcoin is underpriced.  This is a decent arbitrage opportunity.

If someone is really serious about buying BTC, I bet they would be able to buy them on a regular exchange or from some mining company in bulk, even if they preferred an ETF. I know about the advantages and ease of use for people who are already active in that sector, but I don't know if this really warrants a markup of over 55%... This is quite steep!

There's a weird chicken-and-egg thing here. Could be wrong, buuuut:

a) Assessed market value without publicly tradable funds: $238.82.
b) Assessed market value WITH publicly tradable funds: $420.00 ($42 sale price of GBTC x 10 shares = 1 BTC)

As soon as the orders placed COULD become filled, the market shifted from a) to b), revaluating it.

That is the most optimistic explanation.

We're in one of those rare instances where supply or demand is severely pinched. Most actors don't know how to respond...until a trend emerges.
Success is far from guaranteed here, but this day ACTUALLY coming can't hurt the bullish scenario in my view.


The key IMHO is on the red lined text. I consider the GBTC the first "crystal clear" way for someone to get BTCs and not worrying about losing their money. This would take others to imitate or get passed by by businesses/initiatives like this. I've yelled much too long about the "dark" non-ledgered bitcoin transactions on almost ALL of the exchanges.

This has to end. The price will definitely find its way - thats how free market works. For the 1st time, I'm happy an "exchange" is starting its business.

The BIT skipped the lengthy SEC registration process by taking a shortcut approved by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

Without SEC registration, the BIT can’t formally be considered as an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), but other funds are seeking SEC approval for listing on the NYSE or Nasdaq.

The Winklevoss twins are planning a Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust ETF, which will be available to investors on NASDAQ with the ticker COIN.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/19760/bitcoin-investment-trust-bit-goes-live-ticker-gbtc/
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
Lets see what happens.

Either bitcoin is very underpriced or GBTC users are happy to pay a heavy premium.

Dumping into the opening on a Chinese exchange shows the degree of desperation from bears - yes you will have to cover your positions Smiley

Both are true.  GBTC is the only option for some classes of funds (so heavy premium), and bitcoin is underpriced.  This is a decent arbitrage opportunity.

If someone is really serious about buying BTC, I bet they would be able to buy them on a regular exchange or from some mining company in bulk, even if they preferred an ETF. I know about the advantages and ease of use for people who are already active in that sector, but I don't know if this really warrants a markup of over 55%... This is quite steep!

There's a weird chicken-and-egg thing here. Could be wrong, buuuut:

a) Assessed market value without publicly tradable funds: $238.82.
b) Assessed market value WITH publicly tradable funds: $420.00 ($42 sale price of GBTC x 10 shares = 1 BTC)

As soon as the orders placed COULD become filled, the market shifted from a) to b), revaluating it.

That is the most optimistic explanation.

We're in one of those rare instances where supply or demand is severely pinched. Most actors don't know how to respond...until a trend emerges.
Success is far from guaranteed here, but this day ACTUALLY coming can't hurt the bullish scenario in my view.


The key IMHO is on the red lined text. I consider the GBTC the first "crystal clear" way for someone to get BTCs and not worrying about losing their money. This would take others to imitate or get passed by by businesses/initiatives like this. I've yelled much too long about the "dark" non-ledgered bitcoin transactions on almost ALL of the exchanges.

This has to end. The price will definitely find its way - thats how free market works. For the 1st time, I'm happy an "exchange" is starting its business.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Aww, what's happening now... Let's just hope that we'll form a double-bottom on the short-term support line that's been established over the last few days and bounce right back into the $240s... I don't feel comfortable leaving this uptrend-channel Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
Lets see what happens.

Either bitcoin is very underpriced or GBTC users are happy to pay a heavy premium.

Dumping into the opening on a Chinese exchange shows the degree of desperation from bears - yes you will have to cover your positions Smiley

Both are true.  GBTC is the only option for some classes of funds (so heavy premium), and bitcoin is underpriced.  This is a decent arbitrage opportunity.

If someone is really serious about buying BTC, I bet they would be able to buy them on a regular exchange or from some mining company in bulk, even if they preferred an ETF. I know about the advantages and ease of use for people who are already active in that sector, but I don't know if this really warrants a markup of over 55%... This is quite steep!

There's a weird chicken-and-egg thing here. Could be wrong, buuuut:

a) Assessed market value without publicly tradable funds: $238.82.
b) Assessed market value WITH publicly tradable funds: $420.00 ($42 sale price of GBTC x 10 shares = 1 BTC)

As soon as the orders placed COULD become filled, the market shifted from a) to b), revaluating it.

That is the most optimistic explanation.

We're in one of those rare instances where supply or demand is severely pinched. Most actors don't know how to respond...until a trend emerges.
Success is far from guaranteed here, but this day ACTUALLY coming can't hurt the bullish scenario in my view.
hero member
Activity: 824
Merit: 712
First trade is showing up on http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/quote now

I now hold Bitcoin in my Roth IRA, purchased from Ameritrade.
No different than buying any other stock. (OK, pink sheets, so you must use limit orders, but you get the idea.)

I've waited years for this day! Can't wait to see what happens next.
I miiiiight have a bit of a bullish bias here ;-)

Is this with or rather through a self-funded roth ira? Sorry, I'm not overly familiar and just wanted to pick your brains a bit. This seems, well frankly, like an amazing vehicle for preserving growth.
So, if I understand correctly, you would have deposited up to $5500 for the year of contributions or how ever little; then you just bought the individual shares.

The money you've spent on this has already been taxed. So, assuming it is a qualified withdrawal; if you bought basically a coin at $420, if at the time it is withdrawn, the coin/share is now worth $1,000; you do not pay taxes on that $580 increase in value? And likewise; if the coin is worth say $32,000... you wouldn't pay tax on that additionally $31,000 in appreciation assuming it's a valid withdrawal?

That seems almost to good to be true lol. How is this not amazing!? lol?

To my knowledge, that is correct. (Consult your own accountant, blahblahblah disclaimer).

It is why I have been waiting for this day for years.
Anyone with retirement funds can now buy Bitcoin.

The faucet JUST opened, and the supply is not yet even a dribble.

It is simply unbelievable that $133.7 could be used to set an all time high.
I so badly wish it was represented on the charts.

Maybe it will show on the charts once the other 93 shares sell (and they will).

hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
First trade is showing up on http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/quote now

I now hold Bitcoin in my Roth IRA, purchased from Ameritrade.
No different than buying any other stock. (OK, pink sheets, so you must use limit orders, but you get the idea.)

I've waited years for this day! Can't wait to see what happens next.
I miiiiight have a bit of a bullish bias here ;-)

Is this with or rather through a self-funded roth ira? Sorry, I'm not overly familiar and just wanted to pick your brains a bit. This seems, well frankly, like an amazing vehicle for preserving growth.
So, if I understand correctly, you would have deposited up to $5500 for the year of contributions or how ever little; then you just bought the individual shares.

The money you've spent on this has already been taxed. So, assuming it is a qualified withdrawal; if you bought basically a coin at $420, if at the time it is withdrawn, the coin/share is now worth $1,000; you do not pay taxes on that $580 increase in value? And likewise; if the coin is worth say $32,000... you wouldn't pay tax on that additionally $31,000 in appreciation assuming it's a valid withdrawal?

That seems almost to good to be true lol. How is this not amazing!? lol?

To my knowledge, that is correct. (Consult your own accountant, blahblahblah disclaimer).

It is why I have been waiting for this day for years.
Anyone with retirement funds can now buy Bitcoin.

The faucet JUST opened, and the supply is not yet even a dribble.

It is simply unbelievable that $133.7 could be used to set an all time high.
I so badly wish it was represented on the charts.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
I dumped all of my Roth IRAs years ago. The promise is that any earnings on the Roth will be tax free when you retire.

I do not see that being case in a few decades when I retire.

I doubt we will even have the same government in a few decades when I retire.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
Lets see what happens.

Either bitcoin is very underpriced or GBTC users are happy to pay a heavy premium.

Dumping into the opening on a Chinese exchange shows the degree of desperation from bears - yes you will have to cover your positions Smiley

Both are true.  GBTC is the only option for some classes of funds (so heavy premium), and bitcoin is underpriced.  This is a decent arbitrage opportunity.

If someone is really serious about buying BTC, I bet they would be able to buy them on a regular exchange or from some mining company in bulk, even if they preferred an ETF. I know about the advantages and ease of use for people who are already active in that sector, but I don't know if this really warrants a markup of over 55%... This is quite steep!
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
I have three data points to support this now, but I am still not certain.

I bought 1 share of GBTC at $46. That is not represented on the price chart (Ameritrade).
I then bought 100 at $42. That appears as the ATH.

A few minutes ago, I sold 1 share at $69.
I also sold 7 more at $133.7

I was so excited, sure it would now appear on the chart.
I received the cash - the transaction is done - and I believe it is the ATH ever set in a market.
But it does not show on the price chart. The GBTC listing still shows 100 for sale, even though my order is now for 93 shares (7 sold).

I think there is something about 100 share limits (maybe somewhere in between 1 and 100) causing them to not get pushed through or updated, or some minimum order filter for charts.

I'm surprised BTCS (the only other Bitcoin stock) has not really moved in either direction yet.


For now the volume is low and the hopefull anticipation may be reflected in the price.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
A few minutes ago, I sold 1 share at $69.
I also sold 7 more at $133.7

Haha, awesome.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Very low volume on GBTC, but its somewhat of a relief that they havent dumped down below the regular exchanges (yet?)

What did you expect? The asks begin at about 150% of the regular spot price and there aren't many people willing to sell. I think the volume really is higher than what I expected. How would they dump down the regular exchanges!? I don't really see what you're implying with that and how this could work?
I'm saying it's good news? Not sure why people are dumping considering no one has dumped at all on GBTC yet.
sr. member
Activity: 258
Merit: 250
First trade is showing up on http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/GBTC/quote now

I now hold Bitcoin in my Roth IRA, purchased from Ameritrade.
No different than buying any other stock. (OK, pink sheets, so you must use limit orders, but you get the idea.)

I've waited years for this day! Can't wait to see what happens next.
I miiiiight have a bit of a bullish bias here ;-)

Is this with or rather through a self-funded roth ira? Sorry, I'm not overly familiar and just wanted to pick your brains a bit. This seems, well frankly, like an amazing vehicle for preserving growth.
So, if I understand correctly, you would have deposited up to $5500 for the year of contributions or how ever little; then you just bought the individual shares.

The money you've spent on this has already been taxed. So, assuming it is a qualified withdrawal; if you bought basically a coin at $420, if at the time it is withdrawn, the coin/share is now worth $1,000; you do not pay taxes on that $580 increase in value? And likewise; if the coin is worth say $32,000... you wouldn't pay tax on that additionally $31,000 in appreciation assuming it's a valid withdrawal?

That seems almost to good to be true lol. How is this not amazing!? lol?
legendary
Activity: 1066
Merit: 1098
I corrected Fatman3001 by pointing out that, at least technically, nazis *were* socialist. So yeah, I'm with you there.

You appear to be defining 'socialism' very narrowly.  They were NOT *technically* socialist - they were socialist, period.  Fascism is just as much a form of Socialism as, say, the Mutualism espoused by Proudhon.  Mutualism is vastly different than Fascism - and both are very different than so-called "marxist socialism", but they are all examples of socialist political/economic philosophy.
hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
I have three data points to support this now, but I am still not certain.

I bought 1 share of GBTC at $46. That is not represented on the price chart (Ameritrade).
I then bought 100 at $42. That appears as the ATH.

A few minutes ago, I sold 1 share at $69.
I also sold 7 more at $133.7

I was so excited, sure it would now appear on the chart.
I received the cash - the transaction is done - and I believe it is the ATH ever set in a market.
But it does not show on the price chart. The GBTC listing still shows 100 for sale, even though my order is now for 93 shares (7 sold).

I think there is something about 100 share limits (maybe somewhere in between 1 and 100) causing them to not get pushed through or updated, or some minimum order filter for charts.

I'm surprised BTCS (the only other Bitcoin stock) has not really moved in either direction yet.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Trust me!
Very low volume on GBTC, but its somewhat of a relief that they havent dumped down below the regular exchanges (yet?)

What did you expect? The asks begin at about 150% of the regular spot price and there aren't many people willing to sell. I think the volume really is higher than what I expected. How would they dump down the regular exchanges!? I don't really see what you're implying with that and how this could work?
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
...
A great many people DO think that there is something inherently wrong with socialism.

You bet. Some also think that Ron Paul is perfectly sane & even believe in Austrian school economics. I know all about it.

Quote
It is an unnecessary and detrimental bundling of services into too-big-to-fail geographic monopolies.

Dog eat dog world out there, brother, not sure what to tell you. Write to your congressman, I guess. Or start a revolution, I dunno Undecided

I take it that by "out there" you mean outside the government sector?
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