Big money has always been able to get coins easily, even withoit any ETF. For example, back in late 2013, the Fortress investment group (>60 billion USD in managed assets, >300 million USD/year of revenue) bought 13 million USD worth of bitcoins (which
they later disposed of). Basically anyone with a fair income and a million dollars in hand could buy BIT shares, since Sep/2013. The last USMS auction got no big buyers, not even Tim Draper.
Obviously, "big money" is not buying bitcoins because they are not interested.
First of, the "
"big money" is not buying bitcoins because they are not interested." part is utterly wrong. They do care, but as I said they have no
EASY way in. It's different than ie: I want to buy 200,000 Apple stocks today. This has to change.
What ETFs want to do is to provide easy access to BTCs for the masses. Small money or big money doesn't matter. If I want to go on and buy in,
NOW, because I think it's a nice thing to do, then I'll be able to do it, so will everybody else. If I want to sell, then it will be feasible too.
I gave above a couple examples showing that "big money"
did in fact buy bitcoins, and therefore
could buy; but then did not buy more, even though it had the opportunity to do so. Not for regulation problems, but just because "big money" does not like to lose money.
PLUS: It's gonna be TRANSPARENT!
Not sending money to some Polish bank account named after John Doe & Co.
Big money did not have to interact with the exchanges directly. Intermediaries could easily buy 200'000 bitcoins for them, on or off the exchanges, for a modest fee to compensate for their risk. Second Market bought at least 120'000 over 8 months, and surely what made them stop was not lack of bitcoins, but lack of investors.
Not without every transaction is recorded and be visible to EVERYBODY.
Bitcoin ownership is not easily identifiable. Even if you could identify my 660'000 BTC in the blockchain, if you saw them being moved to another address, can you tell whether I sold them, or they are still mine?
On the other hand, although ownership and trades of fund shares are not public, they are known to the brokers and are recorded in a centralized share registry. ("Bearer bonds" have been outlawed decades ago.)
Not without knowing FOR SURE, what's real and what's not.
Not with a Willy Bot that buys in virtual BTCs with virtual money.
If you have the private keys, you know that you have the bitcoins. I you own BIT or COIN shares, you have to trust that the fund management company did not lose their coins by hacking, embezzlement, accident, or incompetence. (Yes, they are audited -- like Enron was. No, they are not insured against those things.)
Great thesis... but, can you deny, that "big money" would be put off by a lack of clarity regulation-wise? Sure "big money" could buy into anything at anytime, your assertion that they could have bought in, and chose not to, is kinda limp, as you have implied yourself, and I can attest to from personal experience, in actual fact, serious money IS put off by regulatory issues, more than ANYTHING else!! businesses and investors do not like uncertainty (unless they are in a privileged position to profit from it) and there is a definite correlation between lack of regulation, and lack of backing by "serious" or "institutional" investors. To claim that is not the case is plain daft imo (and again, I am not guessing here.. I am talking from experience)
The thing is , and what I disagree with you on Jorge, is you seem to have this picture that investors, who are in a position to make meaningful investments in BTC, only do so essentially "to make money from the greater fools " and I put it to you, that actually, if all they wanted to do is earn a "few bucks" by scamming a few newbies, then in actual fact they have
many MANY FAR less riskier ventures that they could be involved with that could earn them a decent, and
far far less riskier and easier return from far larger and more understood markets, than being involved with BTC. So ergo, most investors that are involved in BTC are not just involved to make a few bucks in a "risky" as fuck and uncertain market.. sure you could argue that they saw an opportunity and leveraged funds to make a quick and "easy" profit , but if they have the money to enter the BTC market, then they have the money to enter all sorts of other ventures, with a fraction of the risk, and perfectly decent returns. Go figure.