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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 22687. (Read 26710226 times)

legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
Moreover, no one really knows how hard it is to compute a valid block.  The trial-and-error method used by miners is just the most efficient method that we know; but there is no proof or other evidence that there is no better way.

Would you consider the fact that nobody has ever found a collision of sha256 function an evidence? There's no mathematical proof, but there's more then enough evidence that any other method is not even on the horizon. It's not only a Bitcoin issue, if any of modern hash algorithms would be compromised the whole cryptography would be hammered.

meh... why let a little something like that get in the way?   Grin
hero member
Activity: 513
Merit: 511

(Before you scream "21 million": that bitcoin limit is "guaranteed" only by  fuzzy arguments about a complicated economic game, not "by math", and could be changed if the right players agreed to it.  Moreover, any kid can duplicate the amount of bitcoins in existence by creating a hard fork of the blockchain and starting to mine it on his laptotp.  Anyone who has bitcoins will gain an equal amount of those "series B" bitcoins, accessible through the same private keys, and could trade them independently of his old bitcoins by duplicating his wallet and downloading the kids's client software. Whether those "series B" bitcoins will get a significant market value is a market(ing) question, not a technical one.  And, of course, there are the altcoins.)


You're describing a double spend attack, right? Ether that, or something completely idiotic.
Imma go ahead and call bullshit. There's no way you can pre-mine a blockchain, you're racing against the entire network to solve the hash. The hash of the previous block is included into the hashing process of the next. You'd have to start out solving the latest block on the chain, and the consecutively solve... how many blocks do propose, exactly? Not only that, but pre-mine ahead of the network. The most consecutive blocks mined are six, by the largest pool in the entire network. This isnt a "any kid can do it at home with his laptop" scenario.
Then, just copy over the wallet to some other computer and spend the coins twice... What?
You obviously have not idea what you're talking about.

I'll bet you all my coins (0.107) that you (you consider yourself superior to "any kid with a laptop", right) definitely CANNOT duplicate any bitcoin through the method you described.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
263$ and increasing, to the moon

first test, 267.

Edit: screw the CNY exchanges, finex lead us higher
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
263$ and increasing, to the moon
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
for carps sake somebody just flash a wall at finex and get this over with.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
...
Anyone knows how many joules are tipically consumed today to create 1 valid block (25 BTC)?  
...

Assuming current market price is very close to electrical energy spent on mining, and price for that is a low 10 cents / kwh, I'm getting a guesstimate of ~227 GJ.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1077
Honey badger just does not care
Moreover, no one really knows how hard it is to compute a valid block.  The trial-and-error method used by miners is just the most efficient method that we know; but there is no proof or other evidence that there is no better way.

Would you consider the fact that nobody has ever found a collision of sha256 function an evidence? There's no mathematical proof, but there's more then enough evidence that any other method is not even on the horizon. It's not only a Bitcoin issue, if any of modern hash algorithms would be compromised the whole cryptography would be hammered.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
Wait for the little crash before buying
Don't wait, you'll be late.

I waited and still I'm not late. Wink

like your name. i once invented a brand name which looks similar to yours....    Wink

Woop!
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
bitcoin it is worth its weight in gold.
You're being facetious of course

Well, yes and no.  An immaterial currency can be issued at will; it is the ultimate "fiat money".

(Before you scream "21 million": that bitcoin limit is "guaranteed" only by  fuzzy arguments about a complicated economic game, not "by math", and could be changed if the right players agreed to it.  Moreover, any kid can duplicate the amount of bitcoins in existence by creating a hard fork of the blockchain and starting to mine it on his laptotp.  Anyone who has bitcoins will gain an equal amount of those "series B" bitcoins, accessible through the same private keys, and could trade them independently of his old bitcoins by duplicating his wallet and downloading the kids's client software. Whether those "series B" bitcoins will get a significant market value is a market(ing) question, not a technical one.  And, of course, there are the altcoins.)

Quote
We can in principle associate some minimum weight to abstract units that are the result of computation, right?

Yes, with current technology there is in theory a minimum amount of useful energy that needs to be disspated (turned into waste heat) in order to perorm any logical operation.  That energy can be expressed as mass by Einstein's equation m  = E/c^2.   For example, a 10 watt lamp in one second burns 10 joules, which is equivalent to (10 kg m^2/s^2)/(300'000'000 m/s)^2 = 0.00000000000000011 kg, or 0.1 picogram of matter, if I didn't miss some zeros.  (Quantum computing may get around this limit somehow, but it is not known whether it will ever be usable for problems like this.)

The theoretical minimum energy cost of computations is quite small, much less than the cost that can be achieved with current technology.  But even if we use the actual cost, the mass equivalent of the cost of creating 1 bitcoin will be fairly small. Anyone knows how many joules are tipically consumed today to create 1 valid block (25 BTC)?  

However, the cost of creating something in the first place is only an upper bound to its "intrinsic value".  There are examples of huge civil engineering works that cost billions to build, were never used, and cost millions to demolish -- that is, had negative value.  (The dams built by Saddam Hussein to drain the marshes in Southern Iraq may be one example.  The Iridium communications infrastructure may be another.)  The computing the nonces of orphaned blocks costs as much as computing  those of surviving blocks, but those nonces are worthless (except perhaps to cryptographers, who may have a use for them).

Another upper bound for the "intrinsic value" of something could be the cost of duplicating it.  The cost of duplicating a bar of gold is the same as creating the first one.  For a banknote, printing an extra copy is much cheaper than printing the first one because all the plates and equipment are reused.  For information, the cost of duplication (theoretical and in practice) is extremely small.  

It can be argued that duplicating information in the bitcoin system does not produce extra bitcoins.  But that is not a physical constraint, it is a property of the whole bitcoin system -- not just the protocols and the algorithms, but also of the internet, and, mainly, how people use and react to those things.  So, the allegedly valuable properties of the bitcoin system -- single spending, authentication, limited supply, irreversibility, global reach, etc. -- do not define the "intrinsic value" of a bitcoin; they contribute only to its market value.

Moreover, no one really knows how hard it is to compute a valid block.  The trial-and-error method used by miners is just the most efficient method that we know; but there is no proof or other evidence that there is no better way.  There may well exist an agorithm that finds the right nonce for a block header in a few microseconds.  Or, worse, finds a block that has the same hash of another block but a different contents, including a specific transaction that is not in the first block.  Or finds the private key for any given address.  So, the theoretical "mass cost" of computing a valid block may be orders of magnitude lower than the trial-and-error cost.
newbie
Activity: 54
Merit: 0
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
Wait for the little crash before buying
Don't wait, you'll be late.

I waited and still I'm not late. Wink

like your name. i once invented a brand name which looks similar to yours....    Wink
hero member
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000

"Everything about Bitbet.us has so far been a drag. Creating an account takes forever and they take their sweet time approving your ID information. "

i stopped reading there.

there are no accounts and there is no id information.

still havnt read the faq i can tell.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
geez buying the dips is a tough strategy, blink and they are gone!



i have done well buying dips, i caught the lows twice on last three coin buys:


2x 180 (near the bottom before coinbase pump)
1x 250 (was chasing coinbase pump)
2x 218 (near bottom after coinbase pump)


as can see chasing the price doesn't work as well as waiting for the dips.

all those coins got accidentally tied up someplace so i will have to wait that out ...

this month i will try to buy MOAR coins to play with ......
legendary
Activity: 1281
Merit: 1046
"Wordpress received only slightly over 100 BTC payments in 2014

Commenting on the recent removal of the Bitcoin payment option from the Wordpress subscription screen, founder Matt Mullenweg revealed the site received only two payments a week in Bitcoin during 2014, but plans to reinstate the payment option for “philosophical” reasons.

"The volume has been dropping since launch, in 2014 it was only used about twice a week, which is vanishingly small compared to other methods of payment we offer. […] We supported Bitcoin for philosophical reasons, not commercial ones."

       Cheesy
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