The price has been stuck between the denial and fear phase for too long. I'm still waiting for desperation and fear..
This, my buys are in the $310-$320 range. Usually before a big climb there is a crazy crash right before. And if I miss it...meh, that's all good too.
Though we have been through so many different reasons why Bitcoin is going to fail and reasons why Bitcoin is going to the moon that I'm not sure what sort of news could do either.
I don't believe there will be any "news" that will spark a rally or crash. Except for the ETF. I'm not sure why this is put on hold but I'm sure they have their reasons. Anyway, long-term I'd say it's far more sane to keep your coins than to sell them. If you're a day-trader you may find yourself with good profits or huge loss within this situation, so move cautiously.
Well, while bitcoin adoptoin is growing fast, it still has several problems that need to be fixed until it can easily start going up:
- 94k bitcoin will be auctioned in the next months by US Marshalls.
- 30k extra bitcoins also auctioned by Australia soon.
- 200k recovered frozen bitcoins from MtGox could be returned to their owners at any time.
- Less bidders in the recently 50k auction, was also really bearish sign.
- Localbitcoin closing their services in Germany.
- Bitstamp running out of liquidity and with an extremely thin orderbook.
- Big bottleneck in the fiat entries. Won't be resolved until proper regulated bitcoin exchanges or ETFs hit the market.
- Finally, 2 month support was strongly broken yesterday night, just until Microsoft news stopped it.
And of course, miners and merchants will keep dumping their bitcoins 24/7 as always.
With all this big bear flags... I'm sorry but I can't be bullish about bitcoin price in the short/mid term. It is probably going to retest lower levels again.
Right now there is more downside potential than upside, unless an ETF hits the market.