People seem to have forgotten how badly bitcoin tanked last time there was an auction. It was only shortly after the auction completed that the bitcoin price went up a bit.
Yet, this time the price did not decrease because of the news of an auction. A sell order like this should move down the market, but it hasn't really so far, which means we may be having a little bit of a correction here. I do not expect much positive movement between now and when the auction is over, as positive movement as a direct result of a sell order is a complete nonsequitur. I also don't expect much positive movement right after the auction, as there is no ground to make up - bitcoiners are treating this auction like some big investor will just buy them all up like last time, so a good result is already priced in right now.
It's a bad week to be long, with one exception: if you think the price is being artificially deflated so that someone can buy the coins at auction for a lower price.
Yes, here is an example in which the exception swallows the rule. There may be a dip down to $350; however, likely BTC prices will be allowed to rise after the auction bid times are completed. Surely some other shoe could drop by December 4 or December 5 to affect BTC prices - yet is seems fairly highly unlikely that BTC prices are going to get any meaningful price rally prior to the majority of the auction bids being in (which it seems likely that most of the bidders are to wait until the last couple of hours of the auction to submit their bids)..
Also, it seems highly likely that BTC prices will get some kind of rally after the auction, and thereafter, it is possible that BTC prices will never again return to the $300s - but never say never in bitcoinlandia.