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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 2492. (Read 26710955 times)

legendary
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legendary
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It's amazing to me how the Average Joe public doesn't see how neatly controlled and managed our world markets are.

After the amazing up year in markets during 2021, this year the Fed flipped into rate hike mode precisely starting in January (supposedly to "tame inflation"), and now inflation looks tamed...precisely by end of December.

All neatly within the same calendar year.

Gee, how precise. Much managed.  Roll Eyes

I imagine that Jerome Powell has a sign hanging in his office. On one side it says "Up year" and on the other it says "Down year".

He flips the sign over every new year on January 1st when needed. And sends a photo snap to all the Wall Street insiders.  Roll Eyes   Tongue

With all the bullish MSM sentiment lately just 17 days into the new year, it looks like Powell flipped his sign this year to "Up Year".  Roll Eyes

I guess that's good for all markets though, including bitcoin.

"A rising tide lifts all boats."
legendary
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legendary
Activity: 2380
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legendary
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Ok now is starting to look like bull flag on short-term time-frame, after failing ascending triangle break-out. Still expecting a fake-out to higher levels above $21.5K but this ain't no shorting range.

if that's not a good price point to short what is?
this has been one hell of a pop, I fully expect a strong pull back, maybe even retesting 15.5k.

When it breaks down from the bull flag. Not within it, unless you're scalping resistance to support that is, as it's a bullish continuation pattern until proven otherwise.

If we go back down to $15.5K, you can expect much lower than that though.

either way if it breaks up sell because the move is way over extended, or if it breaks down short cuz its going down.

[edited]

thanks this was helpful. but I personally will continuing to sell into this rally. I really don't think we will see a repeat of April 2019, the capitulation this time didn't push price That far under fair value. and for the record, i'm not shorting, just spot trading, so i cannot be liquidated.

Ok well that makes my point about shorting redundant then. If you're looking for a fair price to sell from the past 6+ months of trading at the lows then you certainly found it, can't argue with that. DCA would have got you an average price of around $19.5K, so hopefully you're selling a profit. And as the old saying goes, nobody ever went broke selling at a profit. I just hope you aren't banking on pricing falling lower after this, because right now it looks like a coin flip to me as well as others, until there is further confirmation to the upside or downside. Not sure what your "fair price" is, but right now realized price is sub $20K.

Personally I think Bitcoin is due a 10% correction to around $19K, which is bottom of the previous accumulation zone, that'd also be my short-term shorting target (as well as a target for longs). If price instead continued onto around $25K then I'd expect a deeper correction of around 20%, but therefore this'd be a higher price around $19.5K / 200 DMA. Likewise if for some crazy reason price went further parabolic to $30K, I'd expect a 30% correction to around $21K / current prices. The irony being that price continuing to the upside would deserve a deeper correction for sure, but these prices would still likely be higher.

legendary
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hero member
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Merit: 1891
bitcoin retard

That graph lacks the most important thing : do these people own the keys ?

Absolutely. They should do the survey with that question instead of "do you own Bitcoin"
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 1891
bitcoin retard

Posting almost the same joke shahzadafzal posted 2 hours ago...  good work buddy...

would you do me a favor:
if you don't really read this thread, please stop posting here... have a little respect for this place


@sirazimuth ...I'm really giving my best to not sound condescending in cases like this... but it's hard man...
hero member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 961
fly or die
Quote
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has now allowed banks to now hold 2% of their reserves in cryptocurrencies as per its recently released Prudential Treatment of Crypto Asset exposure report for December 2022. In June, the BIS had allowed only a few banks to hold not more than 1% of their reserves in cryptos.
https://www.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/bis-allows-banks-to-hold-2-of-their-reserves-in-cryptocurrencies-2966647
Don't shoot the messenger, I didn't pick the wording

There is an exponential aspect to doubling.

In regards to bitcoin specifically, I would suggest anywhere between 1% and 25% for someone who is a responsible grownup.. so yeah, maybe banks have to work their lil selfies up towards the higher end of the range... .. but if they are actually contemplating shitcoins or "crypto" then fuck that nonsense, I am not even sure if 1% would be tolerable for that.. maybe 0.25% at most?... or maybe up to 1% of the bitcoin amount.

Been having a hard time finding particulars such as what banks are under their purview and exactly what the term "cryptocurrencies" means to them.

Hopefully shitcoins are not on that list but even if they were I don't see institutional banks receiving capitol from national treasuries as foolish enough to do a  full retard coinbase.

2% in ape NFTs and memecoins :d

For reference:

Baby boomers: 1946 to 1964.
Generation X: 1965 to 1980.
Millennials: 1981 to 1996.. <——— Most of us fall here, Am i right?
Gen Z - aka Zoomers - mid-to-late 1990s to early 2010s

This data is for US but I guess can be generalized for other places too.


https://twitter.com/documentingbtc/status/1615082440510373911



(Tbh, the gen z roasts are way funnier than the other reply that she really wanted... but then again, jmho and I maybe bias...)

The gen Z ones hurt more, too. Making them look really dumb and useless.

23% Gen Z adults owns bitcoin. Are we underestimating them?

That graph lacks the most important thing : do these people own the keys ?
sr. member
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Pakistan Local Board Request
legendary
Activity: 2380
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
copper member
Activity: 1526
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Guys did you see tits this... If you look closely, there's a W... W for Win ... W for Wall observer

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/10du9y2/if_you_look_closely_theres_a_w_so_this_means_a/
legendary
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sr. member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 270
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
I won't mind ranking you up.
But, Follow some basic ethics.
Make sure your post doesn't look like you are desperate for merits.
Congratulations on your new Rank.
I hope you do not support Bitcoin cash anymore

Yeah Mate also thanks helping hand for rangking up.


I hope you do not support Bitcoin cash anymore

I strongly never support "Bitcoin cash", when I made that post was I a new member and had no idea about anything. I misplaced the post for my apology.
legendary
Activity: 2380
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legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
[edited out]
thanks this was helpful. but I personally will continuing to sell into this rally. I really don't think we will see a repeat of April 2019, the capitulation this time didn't push price That far under fair value. and for the record, i'm not shorting, just spot trading, so i cannot be liquidated.

Wow!!!!  You are even more amazing than I originally had thought TrustedBitcoiner, especially since you are not using leverage..

That's good.. I think.





It's like being dumb, but less dumb.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy




What else would we do in this thread if we did not have actual real world examples to share their experiences (of what not to do) herein?


legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Ok now is starting to look like bull flag on short-term time-frame, after failing ascending triangle break-out. Still expecting a fake-out to higher levels above $21.5K but this ain't no shorting range.
if that's not a good price point to short what is?
this has been one hell of a pop, I fully expect a strong pull back, maybe even retesting 15.5k.
Yeah right my guess is we do 22,222.22 before we hit your number.

edit: What do you think JJG?

22.2k or 15.5k which comes first?

I don't play those kinds of games... From my perspective, it is not even bettable hardly... including that I have systems in place in which I never have to try to guess about which one comes first because I have orders to buy that go down (starting at about $19.5k - ish - and I have a few play buy orders higher than that).  Currently, my BTC buy orders are about in $500 increments, and currently they go down to $10k.. but of course, I would prefer that NONE of them execute.. especially anything at or near $15.5k or even below that.  

In regards to me BTC sell orders the next one starts at $21,600-ish.. and those are becoming increasingly larger price increments.. and really relatively small amounts, historically speaking.  I had previously calculated that I had sell orders that sold about 1.3% of my BTC stash all the way up to doubling of the BTC price from about $17.5k to $35k, so that is pretty historically low amount for me and somehow it worked out like that when I have had the ability to sell up to 10% of my BTC stash for every 2x.. but it seems that I have not been close to those sell limits for years and years and years... and until I did the quickie calculation a week ago or so, I had not realized how low my BTC sell amounts had become. and I think that it has to do with how historically low our recent BTC prices have been.. especially since after about June 2022 when we got close to the 200-week MA and then dropped below the 200-week MA and had a lot of difficulties getting back above it.. which surely seems to have somewhat subconsciously inspired my towards biasing my system pretty heavily in favor of BTC buy orders that I would prefer NOT to have executed, but they are there.. just in case.. just in case..

but who knows?  who the fuck knows?  and really it just seems over the long run we are inclining up.. but not even that is guaranteed so I am not going to fuck around with trying to figure it out.. just keep my system in place protect myself for either direction while at the same time maintaining the preference for UP.. so in that regard, it feels way better to be bouncing around in the lower $20ks (even though we are still below the 200-week moving average that is currently slightly above $24.5k than it felt just a week ago when we were were bouncing around in the $16ks, and diptwats like TrustedBitcoiner was telling us how he was shorting at $17k and expecting down before up and at first he was saying $16.7k but then he upped it to $16.9k.. so cannot really rely on losers like that who are fucking around for change and also failing/refusing to pee pare his lil selfie for up because he is too busy trying to pick up pennies in front of a steamroller and imaginging his lil selfie to be the steamroller rather than the one who is getting smushed like a bug.

I don't think people understand how bullish the crypto sphere is right now. BTC 100k and ETH 10k are incoming and people are sleeping on it. If you have dry powder on the side lines waiting to move in, now is the time. You'll be kicking yourself in 2 years if you don't move in today.

Fuck shitcoins and crypto.

[edited out]
either way if it breaks up sell because the move is way over extended, or if it breaks down short cuz its going down.
IMO most of this move is based on a short squeeze , and some mofo buying, but now the shorts are liquidated only mofo is left, and its going to be hard to mofo buy when it suddenly drops sub 20K. I guess it all depends on how much money is on the sidelines right now.

all we can do is  draw lines, watch price, and speculate

Wow!

You sound new here.  There is a lot more that we can do than what you are describing.

Have you ever heard about time in the market is more important than timing the market?  If so, do you know what it means?

Largely it means that you spend years and years and years establishing your BTC position, so that you don't need to fuck around trying to guess about if you are sufficiently and adequately prepared for UP.  

In udder words, you should already be sufficiently and adequately prepared for up..


but I suppose if you be a newbie, you have to work on establishing your position, so hopefully you won't lose too much while you are fucking around hoping for (and betting on) DOWNity that may or may not end up happening either in the direction or the degree that you are anticipating in terms of "has to happen."

While doing a tiny bit of wallet maintenance today I discovered something strange
 I did a little digging and some searching and I found that disgraced user naim027 had a short stint running a lending service; the repayment address was: 18HfvLNNsZdMZeXmyKg59AfG7n4d1ibKRU (as posted here)
which on 9/14/2022 @ 12:24:14 transferred a small amount of bitcoin to this address: bc1qw0qsvzuxgmyqvc6mcaqw77v3sd9jt0lppcxkn6
which on 9/23/2022 @ 24:14:25 transferred most of that amount to this adress: bc1qy4ta9wtwufm3d56tqrys3wh50q7fmd7p0g0z6n
which on 9/23/2022 @ 24:28:50 dispersed ~0.00005 BTC to each of the following users at their publicly posted addresses -

 fillippone: bc1qd7rqlrw5h4q3g2x45xacd72zshcm2dht2ztclh
  Chartbuddy: 1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
    Gachapin: 1L1KknC9sGqr6CUuZzEME3V8YPSfLqLRoM
       Ivonm: 38s6Ku7BMThahWcSQQLwnM9K1U5GWF5Rkk
  JayJuanGee: 35EVP8EePt8dyvKHaB7bXaRmKLm22YgRCA
 OutOfMemory: bc1qhy8gjn9klgmtlx08a2cpruq9dkv0tvqhv5x5lk
     OgNasty: 168WXhArv7Fasqvi2xm5MQMfLhG18jifMe
     Richy_T: 1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
El duderino_: 19X5vZE8KGZ6YgtSkJmZEryDgX24tg6amR
   xhomerx10: 1RoMaNiAjSGeGsYJzPjsLUGogbDEsK4TZ


 I'm not sure what naim027 is up to nor would I trust any answer from him but I did not request his dust.  This dust can be used to track future transactions and potentially deanonymize you.  It's probably a good idea to freeze the UTXO associated with this tx to make sure it never gets spent.  Hopefully the rest of you either caught it already or have not yet transacted using that UTXO.
FYI: I am naim027
Are you freaking crazy broh!
That was part of my first earned money from a Bitcointalk campaign and I just wanted to celebrate by sharing a few sats with WO Bros. I even posted it publicly and then JayJuanGee Sent a DM to delete the post. To respect everyone's privacy, I deleted the post from WO and posted the quoted post below. Now you guys accusing me of something I never heard of and never know how it works.

Claps WO Bros!
I have nothing to lose but, I didn't cheat on anyone.
Let's See how much does it worth after 10 Years!
It's Just a Dollar Today ($0.97).

Yep.. I recall that we had some back and forth DMs around that time (with you as Crypt0S0ul, and I think that I found out that you were AnotherAlt and then somewhere later down the road a couple other alts, including naim027.. so yeah, not exactly inspiring confidence regarding what you were up to), and our DMs were somewhat weird, and I did suggest that you delete the post that had described that you, as Crypt0S0ul, had sent dust amounts to various members that you had named (which I think were the same ones referenced in Homer's post) - which you did delete that post.  

Anyhow, all strange to me, and I am not even sure why you did any of that in the first place, even though you do have the story that you as Crypt0S0ul were excited about receiving some extra money blah blah blah.. so yes.. that was your seemingly weird story back in September, too.. including I recall that you were trying to shirk some of the responsibility onto me for what you had done.  Again, not exactly clear what you were up to in that whole sending of uninvited dust amounts, as Crypt0S0ul.

I have nothing to lose but, I didn't cheat on anyone.
It's not like you've ever lied so it must be true.

He doesn't really inspire much confidence (including the multiple alt accounts that were hidden and then revealed and even barely getting unbanned and some weird stuff like that) that's for sure.
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