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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 24982. (Read 26711016 times)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
...
assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?

If the currency is inflating @ 10% a year, and its dollar exchange rate has fallen by more than 50% in 2014?  Let's just say "not very smart."

the dollar exchange rate has increased by around 150 times in the last one and a half years - very smart investment Cheesy

induction as an indicator over time is stupid.

you can argue that my assumptions are wrong or that the niche is very small but arguing over charts is beyond stupid

if these assumptions are true and the niche is big enough you can say that investing in this "currency" is sane.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
People who try to sell bitcoin as a way to protect one's investment from inflation should be jailed, IMHO.
Surely everybody who has a different economic opinion than yours deserves to rot in jail.....

No, just those who try to swindle others by selling them shares of dry oil wells, water-powered cars, ponzi schemes, etc..

And people who recommend bitcoin fall into that category?


Real estate, and stocks of large, established and diversified companies are usually a safe investment.  Even if they are overpriced at some point, and may crash eventually, there is a limit to how much they can go down before hitting their fair price.  Since they are material property, their real value will not be affected by inflation.  For those who are too lazy or small to use those investments, there are many bonds and investment funds that are somewhat riskier and offer smaller returns, but will still protect from inflation.
There is no limit to how low established companies can go in price (unless you count 0 as the hard limit  Smiley )
Stocks are not material property.
Real estate will indeed never be worthless, but in certain political environments it might be confiscated, so it's not a zero risk investment either, you could lose all.

No one can honestly predict the future of bitcoin.  It may rise again to thousands of dollars, or it may be superseded by something else and go down to zero.   It is a big gamble, a lottery ticket with unknown odds.  People should be free to gamble, but must know that it is gambling and not investment.
Investment implies risk.  
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
...
assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?

If the currency is inflating @ 10% a year, and its dollar exchange rate has fallen by more than 50% in 2014?  Let's just say "not very smart."
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.

LOL  This just reinforces my decision not to use or own credit cards.

I'll never understand why people put up with the inconvenience, hassle, expense and security risk of credit cards.

Cash is so much easier, safer and faster. I've never had cash refused, frozen, put on hold or charged a fee.

Bitcoin however has the potential of being even better than cash.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
People who try to sell bitcoin as a way to protect one's investment from inflation should be jailed, IMHO.
Surely everybody who has a different economic opinion than yours deserves to rot in jail.....

No, just those who try to swindle others by selling them shares of dry oil wells, water-powered cars, ponzi schemes, etc..

No sane person would invest in cash, unless the money came from some illegal activity, or one is trying to evade taxes.

Real estate, and stocks of large, established and diversified companies are usually a safe investment.  Even if they are overpriced at some point, and may crash eventually, there is a limit to how much they can go down before hitting their fair price.  Since they are material property, their real value will not be affected by inflation.  For those who are too lazy or small to use those investments, there are many bonds and investment funds that are somewhat riskier and offer smaller returns, but will still protect from inflation.

I don't have much to say about gold, except that it seems to be vastly overpriced, and its price charts are not nice at all.

No one can honestly predict the future of bitcoin.  It may rise again to thousands of dollars, or it may be superseded by something else and go down to zero.   It is a big gamble, a lottery ticket with unknown odds.  People should be free to gamble, but must know that it is gambling and not investment.



assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
Nice buy wall there holy cow biggest I have seen in a while.

It seems to have accomplished its purpose over the 9-10 hours it's been there. The price has risen from 2300 to around 2400.
I bet he's a buyer and not a let me send over $3 million to an exchange to pump the price...guy

We should know by tomorrow morning China time anyways..if he begins to chase, pulls it, or leaves it as is

My thoughts exactly. It seems strange that such a large order would sit there untouched that long without being moved.

If indeed whoever placed it is sleeping, it probably is real. If it was set to be pulled if sold into past a point, one might think that it would also be set to be moved up if it got left too far behind.

I guess we'll find out in a few hours. If it were to be pulled and used for a market buy, it would seriously bump the price up.

I think it illustrates that a few million dollars can push and hold the price in any direction with ease.
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
Nice buy wall there holy cow biggest I have seen in a while.

It seems to have accomplished its purpose over the 9-10 hours it's been there. The price has risen from 2300 to around 2400.
I bet he's a buyer and not a let me send over $3 million to an exchange to pump the price...guy

We should know by tomorrow morning China time anyways..if he begins to chase, pulls it, or leaves it as is

My thoughts exactly. It seems strange that such a large order would sit there untouched that long without being moved.

If indeed whoever placed it is sleeping, it probably is real. If it was set to be pulled if sold into past a point, one might think that it would also be set to be moved up if it got left too far behind.

I guess we'll find out in a few hours. If it were to be pulled and used for a market buy, it would seriously bump the price up.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
eurch jorge is back. It's been lovely without him.

A well-mannered, erudite and enlightening comment.  Thanks for contributing.

hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
People who try to sell bitcoin as a way to protect one's investment from inflation should be jailed, IMHO.
Surely everybody who has a different economic opinion than yours deserves to rot in jail.....

No, just those who try to swindle others by selling them shares of dry oil wells, water-powered cars, ponzi schemes, etc..

No sane person would invest in cash, unless the money came from some illegal activity, or one is trying to evade taxes.

Real estate, and stocks of large, established and diversified companies are usually a safe investment.  Even if they are overpriced at some point, and may crash eventually, there is a limit to how much they can go down before hitting their fair price.  Since they are material property, their real value will not be affected by inflation.  For those who are too lazy or small to use those investments, there are many bonds and investment funds that are somewhat riskier and offer smaller returns, but will still protect from inflation.

I don't have much to say about gold, except that it seems to be vastly overpriced, and its price charts are not nice at all.

No one can honestly predict the future of bitcoin.  It may rise again to thousands of dollars, or it may be superseded by something else and go down to zero.   It is a big gamble, a lottery ticket with unknown odds.  People should be free to gamble, but must know that it is gambling and not investment.

legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
eurch jorge is back. It's been lovely without him.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
As long as it's not Bitcoin, or...

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
FNG
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Nice buy wall there holy cow biggest I have seen in a while.

It seems to have accomplished its purpose over the 9-10 hours it's been there. The price has risen from 2300 to around 2400.
I bet he's a buyer and not a let me send over $3 million to an exchange to pump the price...guy

We should know by tomorrow morning China time anyways..if he begins to chase, pulls it, or leaves it as is
hero member
Activity: 722
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Jorge,

Ive been reading your posts since last year, your summaries with volume etc.  I think you have a lot of valid points, in retrospect China was a huge influence back then, perhaps even now as you say.  Although I don't agree with everything you write its great to have another opinion to take under consideration.  Your outlook on Bitcoin is rather pessimistic but could you sum up your thoughts as to what you predict will happen with Bitcoin?  

Do you think it will fail in the long run and crash in price?

Do you foresee it ever passing its ATH ?

Have you ever looked at Monero (XMR)?  If so any thoughts you would like to share?

Best Regards,

W.


you do nothing but criticize and offer nothing constructive. Your criticisms are weak and add little to the discussion. If you can't contribute something constructive, then you aren't putting in much effort and are resting on your laurels.

It is hard to be "constructive" in a field that is chock full of wishful thinking, sales hype, and outright fraud.

When I started looking into bitcoin, last December, at first I tried to be helpful.  If you were around, you may have seen the daily tabulations of exchange volumes, and various analyses, and some attempts at predicting the price.  But eventually I stopped because I realized that (a) the little data that exists is incomplete, censored, and impossible to interpret, and (b) no one here wants to know the truth, they only want to hear that bitcoin is wonderful and growing and everything is going well.  

For example, my tabulations of exchange volume were scoffed at because I insisted on including the volume of Huobi and OKCoin, that everybody claimed was "fake".  There was no evidence of that (and no one asked how much of bitstamp's volume was just arbitrage), but folks just didn't like the notion that China was in control of the price.  Even to this day, many bitcoiners talk and trade as if China does not exist (and are mystified when Western "great news" do not make a blip in the charts).  And then I learned that there were other large exchanges in China besides those two, not shown in any Western site; so my percentages were all wrong -- in the "wrong" direction.

Most bitcoin entrepreneurs (like Sielbert, Matonis, the Winkles, etc.) will never admit that China exists.  Can you imagine them saying: "By investing in our fund, you will tie the fate your lifetime savings to the collective mood of a few thousand amateur Chinese speculators.  But don't worry, even if you lose all you money, we the fund managers will get to keep about 5% of what you invested."
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
you do nothing but criticize and offer nothing constructive. Your criticisms are weak and add little to the discussion. If you can't contribute something constructive, then you aren't putting in much effort and are resting on your laurels.

It is hard to be "constructive" in a field that is chock full of wishful thinking, sales hype, and outright fraud.

When I started looking into bitcoin, last December, at first I tried to be helpful.  If you were around, you may have seen the daily tabulations of exchange volumes, and various analyses, and some attempts at predicting the price.  But eventually I stopped because I realized that (a) the little data that exists is incomplete, censored, and impossible to interpret, and (b) no one here wants to know the truth, they only want to hear that bitcoin is wonderful and growing and everything is going well.  

For example, my tabulations of exchange volume were scoffed at because I insisted on including the volume of Huobi and OKCoin, that everybody claimed was "fake".  There was no evidence of that (and no one asked how much of bitstamp's volume was just arbitrage), but folks just didn't like the notion that China was in control of the price.  Even to this day, many bitcoiners talk and trade as if China does not exist (and are mystified when Western "great news" do not make a blip in the charts).  And then I learned that there were other large exchanges in China besides those two, not shown in any Western site; so my percentages were all wrong -- in the "wrong" direction.

Most bitcoin entrepreneurs (like Sielbert, Matonis, the Winkles, etc.) will never admit that China exists.  Can you imagine them saying: "By investing in our fund, you will tie the fate your lifetime savings to the collective mood of a few thousand amateur Chinese speculators.  But don't worry, even if you lose all you money, we the fund managers will get to keep about 5% of what you invested."

+1
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
Solid inverse H&S forming Screenshot image


Use the standard windows7 software called Snipping Tool to take a screenshot, saves you some trouble.
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I voted for 370$, dammit!
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