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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 25952. (Read 26608330 times)

legendary
Activity: 1066
Merit: 1098
But the verdict obviously did not say that stolen cash ceases to be the property of the victim just because "cash is fungible".  Police routinely seize money from cash thieves and return it to the victims.  If the thief exchanged the cash for other valuables, without the merchant's knowledge, the cash then is "clean", but the valuables are still seized, as being conceptually the victim's property.

I didn't suggest that it said that.  I am emphasizing fungibility specifically because most (maybe all) schemes I have seen that would add to bitcoin some kind of 'consumer protection' against theft would also make bitcoin non-fungibile, and useless as a currency.  Additionally, NO currency that I am aware of has built-in consumer protections, and very likely cannot have such without giving up fungibility, and therefore utility as a currency - and that is the specific issue dealt with by the decision in this case.

However, catching a bitcoin thief will be quite hard in general.  The transaction that stole your bitcoins may have been issued from your own computer, automatically, by some self-erasing malware, while the hacker was not even online.  You can point to the stolen coins in the blockchain, but the thief may leave the coins there for years, and no one can take them from him. Or he can hack into an old PC in Mongolia, and from there tumble the coins so thoroughly that it will be practically impossible to trace them to his person when he finally spends them.

This is true, but I don't think the bitcoin theft situation is in any meaningful way different than theft of cash in the form of any currency.  Do you really think it would be easier to get your money back from some random thief that steals your wallet?  I don't see the huge risk associated with bitcoin that doesn't exist with any other kind of cash, and that seems to be your thesis.  I'm sure you will correct me if I am misinterpreting you.

AFAIK no theft of bitcoins by outside hackers has been solved, by the police or anyone else.  In several cases of insider theft, the culprit was identified with high probability, but I don't know of any case where the evidence was sufficient to get a conviction.

As far as I know, this is true also - but bitcoin is still very new.  I'm sure that you can find similar cases where cash money was stolen, and although there was a suspect who's guilt in the theft was deemed highly likely, sufficient legal proof for prosecution/recovery was not found.


legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Are you so confident though that bitcoin will continue to increase in value/price? The price over the past few months makes me have doubts (especially with the downtrend), but I'd love to hear your thoughts on why the btc price will increase.

Everyone in BitcoinTalk know Bitcoin's price will only rise in long term for obvious (world adoption, limited supply, new tech, S-curve) reasons. Smiley

I think so but there are many users who don't, some are really sure that bitcoin will fail.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
Personally i hope BTC stays where it is for another 2 months, then goes bananas


PS. When will @theymos fix the image truncation bug? 



I think that truncation bug requires another round of donations.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Personally i hope BTC stays where it is for another 2 months, then goes bananas

Are you sure that that's what you want?



PS. When will @theymos fix the image truncation bug?  
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
BILIBIT.IO -1st Decentralized Token in Philippines

I know what "fungibility" means, But note the boldfaces in my post.  That is exactly what I wrote.  The court ruled that that physical  banknote was not the victim's property any more.  But of course the 20£ (as abstract amount) that the thief stole remained the victim's property, and the government would take 20£ from the thief and return then to the victim, if they were to identify him and found that he had that much money in his possession or in his bank account.

EDIT: quote markup

Same principle applies to a bitcoin theft. A bitcoin thief, if caught, will have his property gets seized and returned to the victim.

There is just no guarantee that the police would catch a banknote thief or a bitcoin thief. However, this is a matter of the police's competency, not whether bitcoin is better or worse than banknote.

whatever got stolen from me(money, mobile phones, smaller items that have value...) i never got anything back...if anything i had to do a lot of work because something got stolen from me (go to the police, make a protocol, check insurance...)...once i even caught one of the  (3) thieves and called the police...still got nothing back...
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
playing pasta and eating mandolinos
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111

I know what "fungibility" means, But note the boldfaces in my post.  That is exactly what I wrote.  The court ruled that that physical  banknote was not the victim's property any more.  But of course the 20£ (as abstract amount) that the thief stole remained the victim's property, and the government would take 20£ from the thief and return then to the victim, if they were to identify him and found that he had that much money in his possession or in his bank account.

EDIT: quote markup

Same principle applies to a bitcoin theft. A bitcoin thief, if caught, will have his property gets seized and returned to the victim.

There is just no guarantee that the police would catch a banknote thief or a bitcoin thief. However, this is a matter of the police's competency, not whether bitcoin is better or worse than banknote.
EFS
staff
Activity: 3934
Merit: 2224
Crypto Swap Exchange
Are you so confident though that bitcoin will continue to increase in value/price? The price over the past few months makes me have doubts (especially with the downtrend), but I'd love to hear your thoughts on why the btc price will increase.

Everyone in BitcoinTalk know Bitcoin's price will only rise in long term for obvious (world adoption, limited supply, new tech, S-curve) reasons. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
World Class Cryptonaire
Personally i hope BTC stays where it is for another 2 months, then goes bananas

I wish the similar pattern. I don't feel I have enough BTC for next bubble.

Are you so confident though that bitcoin will continue to increase in value/price? The price over the past few months makes me have doubts (especially with the downtrend), but I'd love to hear your thoughts on why the btc price will increase.
EFS
staff
Activity: 3934
Merit: 2224
Crypto Swap Exchange
Personally i hope BTC stays where it is for another 2 months, then goes bananas

I wish the similar pattern. I don't feel I have enough BTC for next bubble.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 541
Merit: 362
Rules not Rulers
Personally i hope BTC stays where it is for another 2 months, then goes bananas
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000
Ok, here's a prediction.
BTC will steadily start to rise on the next week. Volume will rise steeply and the price will slowly follow. It will rise till the start of January 2015 and will top around 3000-4000$ per coin.


Mervyn_Pumpkinhead is sadistic, wants maximum pain for bulls..  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
Ok, here's a prediction.
BTC will steadily start to rise on the next week. Volume will rise steeply and the price will slowly follow. It will rise till the start of January 2015 and will top around 3000-4000$ per coin.

PPC will rapidly start to rise during the start of next month. NuBits, coming of v0.5 and the overheating of SHA256 mining, will cause a quick bull-run similar to the one that was experienced with LTC. PPC will probably top at around 25$-30$ this year.

The rest of the cryptos is harder to predict, but here are some thoughts. LTC lost it's position with the popularity of scrypt mining and will probably be quite slow. DOGE will also probably rise, because of the active community and aggressive marketing strategies, but it's hard to tell how much will they actually invest for future marketing. Ripple will be the most unstable coin that will experience the highest and the deepest waves. Only recommended to play Ripple if you have professional experience with speculative trading.

In this new seasonal bubble, there will be more of corporate mentality, and technical innovations will be valued over the habits of early adopters.
Cryptos will get organized marketing of better quality. Cryptos won't be the oddballs of the financial world, where respected financial advisers consider them as taboo. The subject of cryptos will be publicly discussed with serious analysis. Till then, there were mostly only articles that were radically pro or against cryptos, now we will see more neutrality in public discussions. This in turn will start to raise the subjects of the future perspective of PoW mining, and the practical usability of fixed coin creation.

This post was created on intent to be quoted in the future.

Here is some inspirational music if needed: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVP6uaiJvSQ

Have fun and good luck!

Interesting. Any particular trigger you think is likely to start off the upwards momentum?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
in august we had in btc a google trend of 22, now in september its 25. could this be a signal for the next bubble?



It could drop back if the price and activity don't follow soon.

But the activity is nearing the  previous high, and once it surpasses previous highs we should also start to see new highs in value.

That will also increase the amount of google searches on bitcoin.

Now blend in bitcointalk Alexa results, spice to taste, and serve!

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1005
in august we had in btc a google trend of 22, now in september its 25. could this be a signal for the next bubble?



It could drop back if the price and activity don't follow soon.

But the activity is nearing the  previous high, and once it surpasses previous highs we should also start to see new highs in value.

That will also increase the amount of google searches on bitcoin.
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