Im actually buying some coins, but I wonder if I should sell a few (over a 100) and buy them back since I can almost guarantee that sometime tonight well test 400 and then rebuy.. Ive been burned in the passed doing this, but i think this may be a fairly good bet..
Thoughts?
I am a holder and dont plan on selling, I just think this downward spiral isn't over with and this may be a good time to take advantage of a for sure bear market as this isn't a trap (I think). I know im taking a chance.. but either way, Id buy them back even if I had to take a loss.
Ill probably chicken out and just hold, but im thinking about it..
Only you should answer that question... and if you are going to ask it... here is probably not the place tbh... headless chickens comes to mind.
my two pence for what it is worth... there is a very good probablility of a retest and possible further dip at this point...new day dawning in China right about now... and the market is friskey... is it worth trading as you suggest? depends on how risk adverse you are and how much pain you are willing to endure... personally I would go with sitting it out..
Ideally you would wait for a clearer signal, but then
if you are going to "short" as you suggest... then you are better off doing so now, catch the less risker $467 down to $435/20 and then rebuy or re-evaluate (personally I would keep my coins though!) But back to your scenario if you sold your 100 coins now and rebought at $400 you would make 16.5 coins approx.. so I guess the answer is how much pain in BTC are you willing to risk if it swings against you? then if you have a figure you can decide if the x amount risk is worth the 16.5 coins you will gain if you trade.
If you sold now ($467) with a view to buy back in at $400 , and it drops but we bounce $415- $435 .. when would you buy back in ? $450? or $500? if it swings against you now to $505 say then you will shave 8 ish coins off your stash... or at $525 you would shave 12 coins approx... so there is the trade. How much do you wan the extra 16.5 coins vs how much do you not want to shave 8-12 coins... of course you could get back in before $505 but then it could just snap round on you...
I think it may be a good moment to buy some fresh coins though, if you still believe in the long term prospects and you have fiat to hand.
Personally I will take note if we go past 435 on stamp, and will look to buy
some $380-$420, whilst keeping some powder dry for other possible scenarios.
Needless to say , staying well away from leverage too, and for me away from shorting in any way with the market waking up like it is.. not worth the dent in your BTC holdings in
my view... sure you may look back in hindsight and paint a perfect trade that you missed, but your 100BTC will be with you still... the swing is tradable for sure, but with a risk, the market is starting to chop, and stops hunted... at somepoint this is going to turn, so it depends on how confident you are the moment is not now.... You could have a few days of swings, in the range you suggest, even a week... or more but you just do not know...
I wonder what GABI will bring in 12 days...