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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 26400. (Read 26628513 times)

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
2000BTC wall got added @ 600$ on Stamp.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
nice little jump to 545, whales be shoppin' yo!

The green walls on Bitstamp are weak, you don't need much for such a move.

Still nothing impressive and that reveals any reversal tendencies yet.

gotta try to focus on something to stay positive in these tough times Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1000
nice little jump to 545, whales be shoppin' yo!

The green walls on Bitstamp are weak, you don't need much for such a move.

Still nothing impressive and that reveals any reversal tendencies yet.
member
Activity: 74
Merit: 10
For the first time, short term poll shows bears and neutrals heavily outnumbering bulls by 2:1.

Contrarian indicator!  Time to buy!  Cheesy

i don't think that necessarily means reversal RIGHT away.... more like when all the bulls have turned bear. Tongue
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
nice little jump to 545, whales be shoppin' yo!
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 1001
A lot of people here probably don't even trade and just hodl cold storage coins.

Probably the majority.
Some of are using Bitcoin as it was intended - as a way to secede from the USD.

When your income is delivered via btc, and your expenses can increasingly be paid directly in btc, you gain independence from fiat currencies.

Does a dip matter to traders? Maybe.

Does a dip matter to people with a steady income? Not really. Low prices just mean you can accumulate more coins.

Bitcoin's real value is independence - income independent of location, savings independent of imaginary lines on maps, financial autonomy.

Have I made some good trades absolutely. Have I made some bad trades, of course. I think you hit it on the head with this post. Days will go by when I don't even check the price. If it goes low enough buy more. When it goes to low does it concern me in the short term, yes it does. The fact is there is so much behind bitcoin, the technology, the investments, it's far from a Ponzi scheme, this isn't the end, etc etc. 
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Nice market buy@ Stamp

Ask side is non-existent. 3200BTC to 600$. At least volatility is back!  Smiley Kiss

legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
For the first time, short term poll shows bears and neutrals heavily outnumbering bulls by 2:1.

Contrarian indicator!  Time to buy!  Cheesy
member
Activity: 74
Merit: 10
I would love to know what the aminorex´s monkey thinks of the lasts swings.

i thought he said something like if 540 fell, then 440 or 460 would be the reversal zone. something like that anyway.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
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legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007

What's happening is people are taking profits and cutting their losses after a breakdown? Or is that too realistic?

Surely anyone can only take so much of living in their parents' basement while they're holding tens of thousands of bitcoins however much they believe in it. It's not a bad time to take some profits.

I would say it is actually a terrible time to take profits.  Should have done it weeks ago if one wanted to maximize that profit.  That, or hold on until the next run up.  And make no mistake, there will be one.  

Why? There are two obvious candidate scenarios to take profits, i.e. exit a long position: early on after a rally, at a suspected peak (which requires a certain amount of predictive analysis), and comparably late, when it looks like the only way to go from here is down (momentum based analysis). To me it looks like the current move is driven mainly by the second factor.

You're right...if you're exiting now, you're saying that the only way to go is down.  And you'd likely be looking at a reasonably long time horizon, because if it is a profitable long position, you've been in it at least three months.

If you really see nothing but down  you cost yourself quite a bit by not realizing that 24 hours ago.  If you think it might rebound, hell, you've already been in it a while.  

Keep in mind, I'm just trying to give an explanation on why I don't see the swing of the last days as driven by "panic selling". Sure, if your trading horizon is daily, then selling today at $530 was a miss probably. And if your assumptions about Bitcoin are such that, in a year from now, you think it'll be worthless anyway, you should have sold long ago.

But if you, like a number of speculators/semi-holders/traders/whatever in here, are mostly opportunistic, and don't subscribe to the mantra that any price below the ATH (or some uber-optimistic regression trendline) is "cheap", then what's so irrational about selling now, expecting that you'll be able to buy back cheaper in a week (or a month) from now, when and if the market turns around again.

Time will show if it was indeed "panic selling" or not. If price goes further down from here, it wasn't. If we recover and never touch the mid-500s again, it was.
hero member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 597
i can now just wait and watch for a strong bull reversal.

That's the sprit we need, dude! We need more buyers for this bull trap. C'mon dude, buy more! Give yourself a push, you surely have some fiat on the sidelines!

read over what i said. i am waiting in fiat and not bottom fishing. i'll let others catch the knives, i don't need to catch the bottom.

Oh dear, sorry for the mistake! But we need more uber-bulls! C'mon bulls buy more cheap coins from the stupid sellers! For sure, after buying you can boast here, humiliating retard sellers! Buy! Buy! 525,00 was the bottom!
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1000
FUU, we broke the 540's while I was sleeping Sad
At least I was expecting something like that to happen, now the next strong resistence will the find only at the 400's.

But I see clear signals of manipulation(really big bull walls), so its more how far away the manipulators are willing togo than where is the next resist the graph show we must find


===========
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 253
And once again, the only winner here is the US government, for offloading all those Silk Road coins on that poor schmuck. I'm sure a lot of bidders from June are thanking their lucky stars right now that their bids were defeated.

we don't know for how much the coins went...

True, but is was widely speculated that they went for approximate market price or slightly over.

I think ~600,00$ was a pretty reasonable guess.
legendary
Activity: 981
Merit: 1005
No maps for these territories
I would love to know what the aminorex´s monkey thinks of the lasts swings.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
i can now just wait and watch for a strong bull reversal.

That's the sprit we need, dude! We need more buyers for this bull trap. C'mon dude, buy more! Give yourself a push, you surely have some fiat on the sidelines!

read over what i said. i am waiting in fiat and not bottom fishing. i'll let others catch the knives, i don't need to catch the bottom.
hero member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 597
[q i can now just wait and watch for a strong bull reversal.

That's the sprit we need, dude! We need more buyers for this bull trap. C'mon dude, buy more! Give yourself a push, you surely have some fiat on the sidelines!
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
things you own end up owning you
And once again, the only winner here is the US government, for offloading all those Silk Road coins on that poor schmuck. I'm sure a lot of bidders from June are thanking their lucky stars right now that their bids were defeated.

we don't know for how much the coins went...
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250

What's happening is people are taking profits and cutting their losses after a breakdown? Or is that too realistic?

Surely anyone can only take so much of living in their parents' basement while they're holding tens of thousands of bitcoins however much they believe in it. It's not a bad time to take some profits.

I would say it is actually a terrible time to take profits.  Should have done it weeks ago if one wanted to maximize that profit.  That, or hold on until the next run up.  And make no mistake, there will be one.  

Why? There are two obvious candidate scenarios to take profits, i.e. exit a long position: early on after a rally, at a suspected peak (which requires a certain amount of predictive analysis), and comparably late, when it looks like the only way to go from here is down (momentum based analysis). To me it looks like the current move is driven mainly by the second factor.

You're right...if you're exiting now, you're saying that the only way to go is down.  And you'd likely be looking at a reasonably long time horizon, because if it is a profitable long position, you've been in it at least three months.

If you really see nothing but down  you cost yourself quite a bit by not realizing that 24 hours ago.  If you think it might rebound, hell, you've already been in it a while.  
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 253
And once again, the only winner here is the US government, for offloading all those Silk Road coins on that poor schmuck. I'm sure a lot of bidders from June are thanking their lucky stars right now that their bids were defeated.
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