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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 26701. (Read 26610090 times)

legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
Amusement

Fib retracement of ATH (MtGox)  

0%         1,242
23.6%    949.124
38.2%    767.938
50%    621.5
61.8%    475.062
76.4%    293.876
100%     1

Slap bang

Also just for fun.
extensions
261.8%    4,493.556
200%    3,726
161.8%    3,251.556
138.2%    2,958.444
100%    2,484
61.8%    2,009.556




Can you enlighten my chromosomal rich gnome and let me laugh too?
In other words, can you explain the numbers?

Hi I am merely amused that we are slap bang in the middle of the move from 1-1242 and sticky at a moment of seeming indecision and at a time when the market is consolidating/trading sideways - literally slap bang in the middle of the 1-1242 "move" - and so I thought I would check out the fib levels- which is more why I added them (the 50% fib is not overly important) or did you want me to rant about golden ratio and fibonancci/explain how I got the rest of the numbers? I happen to be rather fond of fibs and the golden ratio so happy to do so.

Edit The other reason it is an amusement is that I do not think using fib retracements retracing this whole move from 1 is that useful per se (perhaphs only if there is a fractalised beautiful sacred geometry occuring within BTC (or is that a sacred geometry within us as natural beings of the universe that is important here?? hmm then again as a creation of humans BTC is essentially human too... which would make it a product of nature... so maybe...  Wink)  and of course in the case others humans and non humans using the same retracement calcs to trade from-  in this case I do not think it is overly useful to describe 1 as the origin of the move up to 1242, as I am not sure it was a "move" at all in the early days... I tend to disregard the first few years when looking at the charts for TA - and start from $5 upwards, and even then....  although with longer term outlooks, starting from 1- 5 - 10 as in terms of BTC , for me it is just to give me a visualisation of the action.

I started out from the 621.5 figure.. and was curious to see if 621 had any "signifigance" as we had been sticking around it , when I played with the numbers I noticed that it was 50% of 1242 which I recalled was the prevoius ath for MT GOx an I thought I wonder what thr erest of the retracement figures show... and so I posted them ohhhhhhhhhhmmmmm and I have taken an housr ago a rarher powerful sleepngpill as I have to
go away and clappse now early flight . ..woo whoo it has really hskicked in and I can not see sriaght or where the keys are on th laptop
yeah a n I cannot tpe so nigt

keep btc safe for evrone ha ha this is hilarious........might try work like this everyday meh g


legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
while Bitcoin is not moving anywhere, the best way to make profits is to start looking at alts, and I dont mean the pumps and dumps coins.... I started doing this the last couple of days...

how can you really distinguish what is a pump and dump though? any new altcoin that is being released is probably pre-mined a good deal.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
vendors using Bitpay et al are essentially just accepting fiat and perhaphs an unknown % of BTC too (most companies would keep this % to themselves for obvious reasons)
Hm, what would be those reasons?  For tax evasion?  It would be quite risky, since Bitpay knows how much the vendor received, and even a traditional audit of his books by the IRS could easily reveal the evasion.

By the way, I am aware that this discussion is old and my observations have been made by others before.  However, there still seem to be people who expect the price to rise whenever such news come out, or claiming that the route USD-->BTC-->USD-->Goods saves money compared USD-->Goods.
[/quote]

You make a lot of assumptions, and then you continue to argue those assumptions in spite of contrary facts.    People can weigh the costs, and determine which route saves more money.  Ultimately, BTC is going to be cheaper for transactions as liquidity increases.  Dell creates additional liquidity for BTC transactions and potential snowballing of adoption.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
things you own end up owning you
while Bitcoin is not moving anywhere, the best way to make profits is to start looking at alts, and I dont mean the pumps and dumps coins.... I started doing this the last couple of days...
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
One more, about the new "international" Chinese exchanges:

Caleb Chen, Cryptocoins News, 21/07/2014
Chinese Bitcoin Exchanges BTC China And OKCoin Start Accepting USD
http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/chinese-bitcoin-exchanges-btc-china-okcoin-start-accepting-usd/2014/07/21

There is also BitVC, created by Huobi and also based in Hong Kong https://www.bitvc.com/

The BitVC page says "volume: 12296 BTC".  If that is is for the last 24 hours, then, added to ~12 kBTC of "old Huobi" for today gives ~25 kBTC/day -- nos spectacular, but not extremely low either. 
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
Most importantly also the magical unicorn method for sending USD- I think this is the answer Jorge deserved for this simple question- hence that is why I gave that answer to start with.... y'know what they say "ask a stupid question, expect a stupid answer"
But, have you checked how expensive is to rent a magical unicorn these days?   Cheesy

why even respond to such comment? you seem to have a lot of time to waste for an academic attention seeker. hum.

Think the word is banter... and I generally have time for everyone, that is just how I am... and I am not sure if you noticed... but my answer was hardly
serious.....

As for too much time to waste... maybe you are right there...  true for most who post  Grin

(edit)  Sorry if your post was asking Jorge why he bothered to answer my statement- my bad if so... at a guess since I would be answering for Jorge  I would guess the answer would be banter, or he wanted to give a reciprocal stupid answer.

Also I must say it is a little bit of a pot kettle black situaiton for you to spend the time posting asking someone else why they wasted time posting in response to something someone else posted which you think is daft? surely that is just compounding the situation? sounds like you may have a fair bit of spare time also Smiley  (Banter)

All the best.

 

ahah yes, no i was just bantering our academic fellow here. sure i have plenty of time for this, not that i do it that often tho. just a once in a while teasing pike to keep fit and clear head Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
3d MACD divergence turned red on all exchanges, for the first time since May.

Good. I'm still waiting for a 1W to be red.

Is that because you are short BTC/bearish or because you are looking for the MACD to uncross the otherway again, before a bump up?  Wink

Going to buy with some newly arrived fiat and wait for the uncrossing.

So if we do get a cross and an uncrossing, do you think that the uncrossing will be in approx 25-35 weeks time? (give or take)  just outta interest, or do you see the 1 week MACD going on a total bender

If you look back before the previous bubbles the 1W MACD went green for a week or two then flipped back red for at least one week. After that flip, it flopped back to green which initated a bubble. I just like to think of it as final capitulation. It will most likely be the last time I buy until the next bubble, however long that may be.

So option B for bender.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Some articles about the state of Chinese bitcoin exchanges, based on the Hong Kong conference last month:

Danny Lee, South China Morning Post, 2014-06-24
Bitcoin exchanges have struggled to survive on mainland
http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/article/1539601/bitcoin-firm-boss-says-ordinary-people-should-not-invest-digital
Quote
A dozen Chinese bitcoin exchanges have gone bankrupt or shut down in the past 12 months as they have struggled to be profitable or just disappeared. [... BTC-China's CEO Bobby ]  Lee, a former Walmart China executive, said on Monday "ordinary people should not buy bitcoin" and warned price volatility would continue for a decade as the currency tried to grow on a stable footing. [ ... ] Leonhard Weese, president of the newly launched Bitcoin Association of Hong Kong [ said businesses should be ] "prepared for the day when Hong Kong does bring in regulation" [ ... ]

Euronews, 2014-06-26
Bitcoin struggles in China, but boosters insist it has a bright future
http://www.euronews.com/2014/06/26/bitcoin-struggles-in-china-but-boosters-insist-it-has-a-bright-future/

Conor Brennan, Inline, 2014-06-25
Virtual currency prospers in Asia: Will China follow?
http://inlinepolicy.com/2014/virtual-currency-prospers-in-asia-will-china-follow/
Quote
Hong Kong has attracted a high level of virtual currency activity due to its relatively laissez-faire approach  to regulating the practice. It has also attracted business from mainland China where regulators have stifled the growth of virtual currencies. Although a region of the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong remains largely autonomous with regards to monetary regulation.  The current climate for virtual currencies in Hong Kong is healthy, however there are potential future risks, including increased oversight from mainland China or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), due to virtual currencies causing financial instability. The city is now home to two large bitcoin exchanges, Bitfinex and ANXBTC, and numerous Bitcoin ATMs have launched in recent months.
[ Note:  Xu Nuojin is not "General Secretary" of the PBoC, but only Deputy Secretary of the Survey and Statistics Dept of the PBoC. ]
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
wake me up when we break 640

legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
To be honest, its beginning to be amazing that Bitcoin only has an $8 billion market cap given what is happening and getting ready to happen to legitimize it. And given the disruptive nature of the technology.

Imo, it is greatly under priced at the moment.

I would not have said this 1 year ago.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
vendors using Bitpay et al are essentially just accepting fiat and perhaphs an unknown % of BTC too (most companies would keep this % to themselves for obvious reasons)
Hm, what would be those reasons?  For tax evasion?  It would be quite risky, since Bitpay knows how much the vendor received, and even a traditional audit of his books by the IRS could easily reveal the evasion.

By the way, I am aware that this discussion is old and my observations have been made by others before.  However, there still seem to be people who expect the price to rise whenever such news come out, or claiming that the route USD-->BTC-->USD-->Goods saves money compared USD-->Goods.


I was thinking more prudence, privacy,security, shrewdness, speculation - than tax evasion - you slippery so and so you... if I was an investigator at the secretariat of federal revenue in your neck of the woods, never mind the doctors-  I would have a close eye on you  Cheesy Cheesy




full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
It looks like this narrowing range has to end in 30 hours.  Breakout heading up?

Or it'll ignore your "range" and continue trading sideways.  IMO, just because lines on charts cross at near arbitrary points does not mean that the price must necessarily do something at that crossing.

The Honey Badger is hungover and just decides to hibernate for a couple weeks or months more. But when it awakes it has to eat. And it likes to eat fresh FIAT, that's for sure!
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
It looks like this narrowing range has to end in 30 hours.  Breakout heading up?

How you can say, we are goings to breakout, there is no clear signal of breakout.

Well the range has gotten quite contracted. Often this means a powerful move is coming. But which direction is unclear.

I know powerful is coming but not clear it will upside, that is why I said we are not going to break upside, it's not clear at all.
i think its down...
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1010
ITSMYNE 🚀 Talk NFTs, Trade NFTs 🚀
It looks like this narrowing range has to end in 30 hours.  Breakout heading up?

How you can say, we are goings to breakout, there is no clear signal of breakout.

Well the range has gotten quite contracted. Often this means a powerful move is coming. But which direction is unclear.

I know powerful is coming but not clear it will upside, that is why I said we are not going to break upside, it's not clear at all.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
vendors using Bitpay et al are essentially just accepting fiat and perhaphs an unknown % of BTC too (most companies would keep this % to themselves for obvious reasons)
Hm, what would be those reasons?  For tax evasion?  It would be quite risky, since Bitpay knows how much the vendor received, and even a traditional audit of his books by the IRS could easily reveal the evasion.

By the way, I am aware that this discussion is old and my observations have been made by others before.  However, there still seem to be people who expect the price to rise whenever such news come out, or claiming that the route USD-->BTC-->USD-->Goods saves money compared USD-->Goods.
[/quote]
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
3d MACD divergence turned red on all exchanges, for the first time since May.

Good. I'm still waiting for a 1W to be red.

Is that because you are short BTC/bearish or because you are looking for the MACD to uncross the otherway again, before a bump up?  Wink

Going to buy with some newly arrived fiat and wait for the uncrossing.

So if we do get a cross and an uncrossing, do you think that the uncrossing will be in approx 25-35 weeks time? (give or take)  just outta interest, or do you see the 1 week MACD going on a total bender

If you look back before the previous bubbles the 1W MACD went green for a week or two then flipped back red for at least one week. After that flip, it flopped back to green which initated a bubble. I just like to think of it as final capitulation. It will most likely be the last time I buy until the next bubble, however long that may be.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
monkey likes it for at least 12 hours, probably 24.  day tradurz, you know what to do.
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