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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 26913. (Read 26720291 times)

legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
if you mark the last local top with a 3 you're implying the price is going down right?


We have already come down a little so I guess it depends where the minor wave ends  Wink

646/52
637   
632   

P 623

614
609
600

We have touched the top of a slightly narrowing bollinger band and come down

Would not surprise me if we go down to 614 - I will be paying attention if we go towards/past the 609 fib/SMA20

I am bullish from a daily, and even ore so on a weekly/monthly point of view though, not so sure on lower timeframes

Low volume.




"down" to 614. I would call that flat.

You were asking what I thought was going to happen in next count from the top of the minor count 3 at 656 ish

I do not know for sure and I am not claiming I do.... but that was the pivot 623 (or faint redline - 622.9 on earlier graph) and those are the next support levels as far as 600 and res levels up to 650 as I see them, and 614 was next on the list which is why I commented on it.  

I see major support 540 and 435
  
The other way I think if we break 650-670 on any decent volume then we are a go...


legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Solid buys, Huobi leading. Doesnt look quite over yet, might touch 3900..
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1038
Trusted Bitcoiner
Houbi wants to go up!?  Shocked
OKcoin too

China is buying up everything!  Shocked

  Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 250
Houbi wants to go up!?  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
if you mark the last local top with a 3 you're implying the price is going down right?


We have already come down a little so I guess it depends where the minor wave ends  Wink

646/52
637   
632   

623

614
609
600

We have touched the top of a slightly narrowing bollinger band and come down

Would not surprise me if we go down to 614 - I will be paying attention if we go towards/past the 609 fib/SMA20

I am bullish from a daily, and even ore so on a weekly/monthly point of view though, not so sure on lower timeframes

Low volume.




"down" to 614. I would call that flat.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
if you mark the last local top with a 3 you're implying the price is going down right?


We have already come down a little so I guess it depends where the minor wave ends  Wink

RS
646/52
637   
632   

623

614
609
600
SP

We have touched the top of a slightly narrowing bollinger band and come down

Would not surprise me if we go down to 614 - I will be paying attention if we go towards/past the 609 fib/SMA20

I am bullish from a daily, and even ore so on a weekly/monthly point of view though, not so sure on lower timeframes

Low volume.


legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
The goal of bitcoin as a technology is to be a global network allowing p2p payments between anonymous pseudonymous arbitrary parties without a trusted intermediary and without a central  controlling authority.  Take away any of those goals, and the solution described by "Satoshi" does not make any technical sense. But I don't see how it possible to achieve those goals, without also

allowing payments that governments cannot see, can see but not block, divert, or undo.
FTFY
The distinction between anonymous and pseudonymous, for this purpose, escapes me.  Either way, one goal of the technology was to allow a secure payment without the parties having to reveal their identities to anyone, not even to each other, at any time. 

That goal implies that governments will not being able to "see" the payments.  Sure, they can tell that someone paid 23.12 BTC to someone else, perhaps to him/herself; but that information is useless if they cannot tell who the parites are -- not even their nationalities or locations.

Without the anonymity goal, the other technical goals that cyptocoins are suppsoed to achieve would be rather pointless or meaningless.  If the Funnycoin protocol required each party in a transaction to reveal and prove his flesh-and-bone identity, how could people do that without having to trust centralized intermediaries, such as passport-issuing offices? (Perhaps there is a way, but I am not aware of any proposal for such a crypto.) If the government and everybody else can see exactly how much XFC you earn and where you spend it -- what would be the advantage of using FunnyCoin, instead of banks?

You begin to understand the technology of bitcoin. Now you have to understand that for money to work in the free market, anonymity has to be an option available to the traders. It is only the most recent decennium that governments have had the possibility to harvest information from the money system, and they use it to renounce the freedom of the of the people, making them serfs. And they run the productive capacity of world down the toilet as a consequence.

You can probably never understand this. Why am I telling you?



legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
Of the laundry list of things that Jorge listed, only "tax evasion" is a thing that government is really concerned about. And then only if you're the wrong kind of tax evader.
Granted, all those items (even financing domestic terrorism) can be fought selectively, by any government. Tongue

You have that backwards. Bitcoin is a super vehicle for governments to finance terrorims, domestic and foreign. They are only concerned with tax.

And of course the end of government funding should the fiat system go down. But that doesn't seem to have to do much with bitcoin,
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
chart

Very interesting - whose chart it is on TV?

One of mine but - I do not publish my charts on tradingview though normally.. or here
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
You confuse powers of a government with powers of random individuals.  Large governments have the power to snoop at the exchange level, identify the purchaser of Bitcoins, and then follow the blockchain to see where those funds are actually used.  Individuals don't usually have the power to snoop on exchanges.
Bitcoins aren't "created" on an exchange. They are just, well, exchanged on an exchange. Its just one more transaction. If one wants to permanently clean his or her coins then one simply send coins from A to B and receive coins from C to D.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
if you mark the last local top with a 3 you're implying the price is going down right?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
full member
Activity: 336
Merit: 100
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
The distinction between anonymous and pseudonymous, for this purpose, escapes me.  Either way, one goal of the technology was to allow a secure payment without the parties having to reveal their identities to anyone, not even to each other, at any time.

That goal implies that governments will not being able to "see" the payments.  Sure, they can tell that someone paid 23.12 BTC to someone else, perhaps to him/herself; but that information is useless if they cannot tell who the parites are -- not even their nationalities or locations.

You confuse powers of a government with powers of random individuals.  Large governments have the power to snoop at the exchange level, identify the purchaser of Bitcoins, and then follow the blockchain to see where those funds are actually used.  Individuals don't usually have the power to snoop on exchanges.

 
If the government and everybody else can see exactly how much XFC you earn and where you spend it -- what would be the advantage of using FunnyCoin, instead of banks?

One main advantage is inability to forever print more currency.  Monetization of debt is one way governments choose to pay for their onerous social programs.  With this change, governments will be forced to make their taxes completely visible rather than monetize it and collect through inflation.

hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
The goal of bitcoin as a technology is to be a global network allowing p2p payments between anonymous pseudonymous arbitrary parties without a trusted intermediary and without a central  controlling authority.  Take away any of those goals, and the solution described by "Satoshi" does not make any technical sense. But I don't see how it possible to achieve those goals, without also

allowing payments that governments cannot see, can see but not block, divert, or undo.
FTFY
The distinction between anonymous and pseudonymous, for this purpose, escapes me.  Either way, one goal of the technology was to allow a secure payment without the parties having to reveal their identities to anyone, not even to each other, at any time. 

That goal implies that governments will not being able to "see" the payments.  Sure, they can tell that someone paid 23.12 BTC to someone else, perhaps to him/herself; but that information is useless if they cannot tell who the parites are -- not even their nationalities or locations.

Without the anonymity goal, the other technical goals that cyptocoins are suppsoed to achieve would be rather pointless or meaningless.  If the Funnycoin protocol required each party in a transaction to reveal and prove his flesh-and-bone identity, how could people do that without having to trust centralized intermediaries, such as passport-issuing offices? (Perhaps there is a way, but I am not aware of any proposal for such a crypto.) If the government and everybody else can see exactly how much XFC you earn and where you spend it -- what would be the advantage of using FunnyCoin, instead of banks?
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
Regarding your other point; that BTC would still serve as a store of value, you're assuming the exchange of BTC to USD is the only thing that would be made illegal. That is naive. "Holding" BTC could be made illegal just as easily.

1) The blockchain is made of transactions.  There are no actual accounts holding anything.  Addresses simply have the power to spend outputs from prior transactions in the blockchain, or they do not.

2) Anyone can make a transaction with any address as an output.  This would be the equivalent of US bank accounts accepting deposits from any third party.  To make holding a balance illegal when funds can be deposited by any third party is not feasible.

3) All this would do is transfer control of most Bitcoins from law-abiding US citizens to others.  It wouldn't reduce the number of Bitcoins in circulation.

4) Even when it was made illegal for US citizens to hold gold, gold itself held onto its value.  Most citizens transferred their gold out of the country rather than comply with that unconstitutional law.  If this happened to Bitcoin, you could just transfer all your Bitcoins to an offline wallet.  There'd be no way to prove you still owned any of it.  You could then use it to buy gold outside the country.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
http://nakamotoinstitute.org/b-money/

Quote from: Wei Dai
I am fascinated by Tim May's crypto-anarchy. Unlike the communities traditionally associated with the word "anarchy", in a crypto-anarchy the government is not temporarily destroyed but permanently forbidden and permanently unnecessary. It's a community where the threat of violence is impotent because violence is impossible, and violence is impossible because its participants cannot be linked to their true names or physical locations.

Until now it's not clear, even theoretically, how such a community could operate. A community is defined by the cooperation of its participants, and efficient cooperation requires a medium of exchange (money) and a way to enforce contracts. Traditionally these services have been provided by the government or government sponsored institutions and only to legal entities. In this article I describe a protocol by which these services can be provided to and by untraceable entities.

http://nakamotoinstitute.org/bitcoin/

Quote from: Satoshi Nakamoto
References

1.    W. Dai, "b-money," http://www.weidai.com/bmoney.txt, 1998. ↩
(emphasis mine)
DNA, facial recognition, body mechanics, thermal patters, and any number of systems can identify people. We will never go back to the days where you could ride into town on a horse and leave that night without anyone knowing your identity. Information is a valuable commodity. If it could be coined, it would be more valuable than Bitcoin. As much as I empathize with the CA folks, it's too small a goal. We need to take away the incentive to monetize anything in order to be free.
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