Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking &amp; discussion - page 28001. (Read 26710350 times)

Quote from: Tzupy on April 26, 2014, 11:02:23 AM

windjc is wealthy?

not for long, if he takes the bet Cheesy

This is great bet

Maybe he can bet with me too?

I want $50 free money Cheesy

Before anything else happens, we must agree on escrow, and both send the bet money to him.

Then finish the rules of the bet, which may require changes if price changes now for example. Also the 2 days is important. (windjc can also transfer money if he wants). Typically it's just too difficult to agree on things, but this is quite promising

Joking aside, the bet is not fair to rpietila. Just look at the 1d charts (I've let 1 month of space ahead):

In 2014, only 8 days have hit $435.

If it hits both 435 and 500, it is a tie.

90 days is a long time, I would say it's near certain to hit 500 and about 80% certain to hit 435.

I don't think it is unfair to me.

uhoh

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

Circle gets the Square

BTC is at $460. None of us in our wildest dreams would have imagined that 2 years ago.

Seems bullish to me.

adamstgBit

legendary

Activity: 1904

Merit: 1037

Trusted Bitcoiner

sure but, if everyone registered to coinbase hits market buy with 12$ bears are DOOMED

Tzupy

legendary

Activity: 2170

Merit: 1094

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 26, 2014, 10:54:25 AM

why are so many poeple convinced bitcoin will drop?
bears.... they never learn.

Why are so many people convinced bitcoin will raise during the next months?
Bulls ... they never learn.

Joking aside, the bet is not fair to rpietila. Just look at the 1d charts (I've let 1 month of space ahead):

roslinpl

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 1199

Quote from: ChartBuddy on April 26, 2014, 11:00:35 AM

Explanation

Something is wrong with our automated charts Tongue

From few hours images don't show

roslinpl

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 1199

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 26, 2014, 10:59:56 AM

windjc is wealthy?

not for long, if he takes the bet Cheesy

This is great bet

Maybe he can bet with me too?

I want $50 free money Cheesy

rpietila

donator

Activity: 1722

Merit: 1036

windjc is wealthy?

I think so..

ChartBuddy

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Merit: 1823

1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation

adamstgBit

legendary

Activity: 1904

Merit: 1037

Trusted Bitcoiner

windjc is wealthy?

not for long, if he takes the bet Cheesy

podyx

legendary

Activity: 2338

Merit: 1035

windjc is wealthy?

adamstgBit

legendary

Activity: 1904

Merit: 1037

Trusted Bitcoiner

why are so many poeple convinced bitcoin will drop?
bears.... they never learn.

akujin

sr. member

Activity: 336

Merit: 250

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:20:44 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 08:41:28 AM

In 2014-3-30, the exponential trendline model gave a buy signal at $460 and the price has been unable to go below it for any extended time even after 4 weeks.

In 2013-11-23 it gave a sell signal at $872 (SlipperySlope's 0.40 confidence) or 2013-11-28 at $1,056 (my 0.45 confidence). It was also unable to stay above it for any extended time.

What odds do you want? As I would be betting to win less valuable coin, you shouldn't get much better than 50%.

I think you will offer an unreasonable bet so that you don't have to make one at all.

But let me know.

Unreasonable? It's $30 to the trigger line (was $20 when I first called it). Are you willing to give 1:1 odds to me that price will hit $495 some point in the future? Of course not, you would not take that even at 10:1. So don't expect the same of me.

Lol. You didn't even make an offer. Why am I not surprised?

Since you are too chicken s*** Wink

to make a bet, here's one for you.

Bet $50k with of btc
Duration 30 days

If we hit 435 on Stamp and don't hit 500 I win.
If we hit 500 and not 435 you win
If we hit both or neither its a draw. And we both donate $1000 worth of btc each to charity.

Hi, my name is charity. I'll gladly accept that donation. LOL! Grin

rpietila

donator

Activity: 1722

Merit: 1036

Quote from: ?? on ??

2 bank days?

thats in like 100hours

bitcoin will be at 520 by then!

Cheesy

That is because Bitstamp.

windjc need 1.1M to take it to 435.
I need 1.45M for 500.

If he has lots of money, he will catch my bid at 435.01, and I will lose the bet unless 30 days turns it back up. Buying slippage-free at such a good price is still ok, but losing a bet hurts my pretty face.

y3804

sr. member

Activity: 406

Merit: 250

Quote from: windjc on April 26, 2014, 10:40:54 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:39:37 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:20:44 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 08:41:28 AM

In 2014-3-30, the exponential trendline model gave a buy signal at $460 and the price has been unable to go below it for any extended time even after 4 weeks.

In 2013-11-23 it gave a sell signal at $872 (SlipperySlope's 0.40 confidence) or 2013-11-28 at $1,056 (my 0.45 confidence). It was also unable to stay above it for any extended time.

What odds do you want? As I would be betting to win less valuable coin, you shouldn't get much better than 50%.

I think you will offer an unreasonable bet so that you don't have to make one at all.

But let me know.

Unreasonable? It's $30 to the trigger line (was $20 when I first called it). Are you willing to give 1:1 odds to me that price will hit $495 some point in the future? Of course not, you would not take that even at 10:1. So don't expect the same of me.

Lol. You didn't even make an offer. Why am I not surprised?

Since you are too chicken s*** Wink

to make a bet, here's one for you.

Bet 100 btc
Duration 30 days

If we hit 435 on Stamp and don't hit 500 I win.
If we hit 500 and not 435 you win
If we hit both or neither its a draw. And we donate 1 btc each to charity.

- Mutually agreed escrow holds coins from both from the beginning to the end
- 90 days
- I propose NewLiberty
- (Since the bet amount is so large and therefore foul play possible, I will require 2 bank days to set up my defences)

I made a small edit. See above.

30 days not 90. 90 is stupid and isn't a bet at all. Don't be typical.

Lol. 90 days or not, windjc will win imo..
Be careful with your money, there are smarter ways to invest than bet for internet reputation

dreamspark

hero member

Activity: 798

Merit: 1000

90 days thats an eternity! Cheesy

windjc

legendary

Activity: 2156

Merit: 1070

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:39:37 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:20:44 AM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 08:41:28 AM

In 2014-3-30, the exponential trendline model gave a buy signal at $460 and the price has been unable to go below it for any extended time even after 4 weeks.

In 2013-11-23 it gave a sell signal at $872 (SlipperySlope's 0.40 confidence) or 2013-11-28 at $1,056 (my 0.45 confidence). It was also unable to stay above it for any extended time.

What odds do you want? As I would be betting to win less valuable coin, you shouldn't get much better than 50%.

I think you will offer an unreasonable bet so that you don't have to make one at all.

But let me know.

Unreasonable? It's $30 to the trigger line (was $20 when I first called it). Are you willing to give 1:1 odds to me that price will hit $495 some point in the future? Of course not, you would not take that even at 10:1. So don't expect the same of me.

Lol. You didn't even make an offer. Why am I not surprised?

Since you are too chicken s*** Wink

to make a bet, here's one for you.

Bet 100 btc
Duration 30 days

If we hit 435 on Stamp and don't hit 500 I win.
If we hit 500 and not 435 you win
If we hit both or neither its a draw. And we donate 1 btc each to charity.

- Mutually agreed escrow holds coins from both from the beginning to the end
- 90 days
- I propose NewLiberty
- (Since the bet amount is so large and therefore foul play possible, I will require 2 bank days to set up my defences)

I made a small edit. See above.

30 days not 90. 90 is stupid and isn't a bet at all. Don't be typical.

rpietila

donator

Activity: 1722

Merit: 1036

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2014, 10:20:44 AM