Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28311. (Read 26619944 times)
April 10, 2014, 04:10:33 PM
Hmmmm. No mad scramble to buy $375 coins on BTC-e and arb them. Could it be that they would lose money by the time they transferred them to Stamp?
April 10, 2014, 04:00:42 PM
389 is exactly 1/3 of the ath.
April 10, 2014, 04:00:25 PM
April 10, 2014, 04:00:02 PM
you are sooo full of shit! =) ^i'll sell you as many as you want@ $389!
I doubt you have BTC100 considering your posting history, but just in case I'm mistaken, send as many as you like here and PM your wire info. Price is the Bitstamp last trade for each of the transfers.
cash talks shit walks!!! =) it's me fucker, i'm calling you out on your bullshit(->just like the $700 BTC you re-nigged on)
SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!!
April 10, 2014, 03:57:47 PM
its pretty funny to see asia above stamp lool
It happened all the time with Gox. Huobi is dying. The light bulb burns brighter before going out.
April 10, 2014, 03:57:42 PM
your first prediction of flash crash to 400 was right but your second prediction on the reversal was and is wrong, you have been calling a reversal from 550 all the way down to $400, sadly we broke that 400.
now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...
now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...
My approach to predictions: If I make a 50/50 prediction, I aim to be "right" exactly 50% of the time. If I make 70/30 (that was perhaps my feeling after the Feb-25 crash) I still need to be "wrong" every third time, otherwise I am playing too safe. If you don't understand this, better not listen to me at all.
Rational investors discount the future to the present, and all information commonly available is already priced in. Now, Bitcoin is very far from an efficient market, and therefore there is a mispricing going on. I am moving funds to exchange if nothing else helps to correct/profit from the situation. I think this is the biggest reason why the reversal/recovery is sluggish: whales like me are scared as hell to send the million$ back to exchanges, no matter if they were originally earned by selling bitcoins or if it is new money. It is the shadow of Gox again.
Please somebody sell me bitcoins at $389, off-exchange, BTC100 minimum. Please.
you are sooo full of shit! =) ^i'll sell you as many as you want@ $389!
I'll buy 100BTC from you off exchange.
where are you located ~ i'm in California ! =)
April 10, 2014, 03:56:42 PM
you are sooo full of shit! =) ^i'll sell you as many as you want@ $389!
I doubt you have BTC100 considering your posting history, but just in case I'm mistaken, send as many as you like here and PM your wire info. Price is the Bitstamp last trade for each of the transfers.
April 10, 2014, 03:55:51 PM
weird to see huobi on 0 volume and btc-e deciding "fuck it, i am going yolo mode trading"
April 10, 2014, 03:54:06 PM
your first prediction of flash crash to 400 was right but your second prediction on the reversal was and is wrong, you have been calling a reversal from 550 all the way down to $400, sadly we broke that 400.
now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...
now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...
My approach to predictions: If I make a 50/50 prediction, I aim to be "right" exactly 50% of the time. If I make 70/30 (that was perhaps my feeling after the Feb-25 crash) I still need to be "wrong" every third time, otherwise I am playing too safe. If you don't understand this, better not listen to me at all.
Rational investors discount the future to the present, and all information commonly available is already priced in. Now, Bitcoin is very far from an efficient market, and therefore there is a mispricing going on. I am moving funds to exchange if nothing else helps to correct/profit from the situation. I think this is the biggest reason why the reversal/recovery is sluggish: whales like me are scared as hell to send the million$ back to exchanges, no matter if they were originally earned by selling bitcoins or if it is new money. It is the shadow of Gox again.
Please somebody sell me bitcoins at $389, off-exchange, BTC100 minimum. Please.
you are sooo full of shit! =) ^i'll sell you as many as you want@ $389!
I'll buy 100BTC from you off exchange.
April 10, 2014, 03:53:55 PM
Huobi is still £10 higher than it was last week.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
you all still don't get it? lolololll =) *think pennystocks!!!* ~ $100 BTC could happen easy!!!
April 10, 2014, 03:53:42 PM
You're awfully keen to revel in schadenfreude at the losses of others for someone who purports to be so concerned for the small investor. 
Perhaps I picked the wrong time to post that, sorry. However, sweet bogus theories cannot be good for anyone. Investors should be aware of the limitations (to put it mildly) of such extrapolations.
For Enron, OGX, MtGOX, and many other examples like Worldcom, the trends eventually changed because of external events that obviously could not be predicted by looking at the price history.
Same with Bitcoin. The major rallies and crashes were not generated by some mathematical property of bitcoin or of its price; they had obvious external causes whose timing and effect could not be predicted. One cannot assume that there will be a major negative event and a major positive one every so many months, or that they will affect the price always by X% over the next Y days/weeks/years.
Exponential growth can be due to "contagion" (including media attention), re-investment of profits into production capacity, etc.
There are some patterns in price charts that have a logical explanation, like the bounceback after an isolated "whale" sale or buy. Also rallies and crashes are usually followed by a few large oscillations until the price stabilizes, and in the absence of major external the price remains stable. In each of these cases, the market itself is reacting, without external inputs, to a singe major external event isolated in time. But it is not reasonable to expect that those external events will follow some pattern, too.
Since December, bitcoin has been in a phase of persistent gradual decline combined with some sudden negative steps, and a couple of positive ones. Each of these features has external causes. Some are known, some are less clear (such as the March/03 jump and the persistent decline). To guess what the price will do next requires guessing whether the external cause of the decline will continue, and what other events will happen next.
EDIT: exponential growth is not endogenous but exogenous of course.
April 10, 2014, 03:53:00 PM
I´m in a good mood the Price will soon rise again
April 10, 2014, 03:52:42 PM
Wait:
Just imagine that the owner of the stolen Gox coins would jump in right now and start his big dump.
It's a scenario, if you were to take into account that the Gox coins haven't been spent yet. Such a bazooka would sent us all the way back to the double digits.
Don't talk like that Just imagine that the owner of the stolen Gox coins would jump in right now and start his big dump.
It's a scenario, if you were to take into account that the Gox coins haven't been spent yet. Such a bazooka would sent us all the way back to the double digits.
lolPlease do, that would be quite awesome.
April 10, 2014, 03:52:02 PM
Wait:
Just imagine that the owner of the stolen Gox coins would jump in right now and start his big dump.
It's a scenario, if you were to take into account that the Gox coins haven't been spent yet. Such a bazooka would sent us all the way back to the double digits.
Don't talk like that Just imagine that the owner of the stolen Gox coins would jump in right now and start his big dump.
It's a scenario, if you were to take into account that the Gox coins haven't been spent yet. Such a bazooka would sent us all the way back to the double digits.
lol April 10, 2014, 03:49:43 PM
Huobi is still £10 higher than it was last week.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
you all still don't get it? lolololll =) *think pennystocks!!!* ~ $100 BTC could happen easy!!!
April 10, 2014, 03:49:01 PM
Guys really now, do you really think that all those investors which put millions of dollars into the infrastructure, hired developers and sponsored start ups will let bitcoin die and go to 0 just because China banned it ?
it's precisely them who are pulling the price down. need to stack more cheap cash
this is quite possible
April 10, 2014, 03:48:35 PM
hm why is btc-e going full retard
traders on btc-e are a little more emotional and have more happy trigger fingers than on bitstamp/bitfinex.
April 10, 2014, 03:48:24 PM
I bought 10 btc at Btc-e at 375. Couldn't resist 
April 10, 2014, 03:47:18 PM
dat btc-e action is fishy as hell
April 10, 2014, 03:47:11 PM
Huobi is still £10 higher than it was last week.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
2410 on 3rd April
2440 now
BTCe
410 on 3rd April
375 now
at the moment it's difficult to see this as a China only thing.
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