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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28312. (Read 26619951 times)

full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
BTC = FREEDOM IS OUR ONLY HOPE!
your first prediction of flash crash to 400 was right but your second prediction on the reversal was and is wrong, you have been calling a reversal from 550 all the way down to $400, sadly we broke that 400.

now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now  it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...

My approach to predictions: If I make a 50/50 prediction, I aim to be "right" exactly 50% of the time. If I make 70/30 (that was perhaps my feeling after the Feb-25 crash) I still need to be "wrong" every third time, otherwise I am playing too safe. If you don't understand this, better not listen to me at all.

Rational investors discount the future to the present, and all information commonly available is already priced in. Now, Bitcoin is very far from an efficient market, and therefore there is a mispricing going on. I am moving funds to exchange if nothing else helps to correct/profit from the situation. I think this is the biggest reason why the reversal/recovery is sluggish: whales like me are scared as hell to send the million$ back to exchanges, no matter if they were originally earned by selling bitcoins or if it is new money. It is the shadow of Gox again.

Please somebody sell me bitcoins at $389, off-exchange, BTC100 minimum. Please.


you are sooo full of shit! =) ^i'll sell you as many as you want@ $389!
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Stamp and co. are in dump mood but still waiting for the starting signal from China.
BTC-E looks like Gox in it´s last days.

I think there  won't be any further movements until, 8-10am ish in China!  (5 or so hours)

There is quite often a small rally in huobi / China at this time.  On all weekdays.  I noticed this, as a bear it really pissed me off.  No matter the mood there always seems to be this small rally at this time.

The dumping is BTC-e at the moment.  some bear / whale dumping and this death bot that has been popping up for the last few weeks.


 

I´m not sure Bitstamp/Finex and BTC-e are makin their own moves, normally they blindly follow Huobi. But it looks as they don´t want to wait today. Stamp 6$ below Huobi already.
Maybe a surprise dump.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
I think we see back over 400 by tonight, really everyone was fearing when the big China day came (and now its here) it would be the end of BTC for a while anyways.....and were only down 50 bux??? all day now......I guess make what ya want of it.... Ill just be glad when the China fears are flushed out so we can begin to move forward and focus on all the positives as of late for Crypto again Smiley

You think this was it? Watch out, as you might be proven very wrong. Nothing is certain at this stage.
Yes I agree, but we have had weeks of anticipation of what impact China would have,,, we all knew it was coming and yes we have suffered a 150ish drop since all the bad news started really sinking in,,, the previous drops can be attributed to MT Gox and alike and tons of fud  to boot. I still have some faith left that the underlying concept of BTC is strong, alive and well and will continue on and grow and we will recover robustly. Keep Hodling  Smiley

I'm not sure what you mean by this. We all knew any news coming out of China would lower BTC price. No one knew if China would ban BTC. As of this time, it's still not banned. If it is, the price will go down more.
Well if anyone at this point is still holding out hope that China wont'/hasn't banned BTC is just kidding themselves, In my mind it may as well be banned. I not going to buy or sell based on hope that its not already.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
your first prediction of flash crash to 400 was right but your second prediction on the reversal was and is wrong, you have been calling a reversal from 550 all the way down to $400, sadly we broke that 400.

now there is 2 scary facts, China is really closing accounts on the 15th of April and this is confirmed, now Australia will be closing all Bitcoin business related accounts on the 2nd of may; now  it is unclear for me how there is a chance of a reversal !! till then, I don't know if we reached the bottom yet...

My approach to predictions: If I make a 50/50 prediction, I aim to be "right" exactly 50% of the time. If I make 70/30 (that was perhaps my feeling after the Feb-25 crash) I still need to be "wrong" every third time, otherwise I am playing too safe. If you don't understand this, better not listen to me at all.

Rational investors discount the future to the present, and all information commonly available is already priced in. Now, Bitcoin is very far from an efficient market, and therefore there is a mispricing going on. I am moving funds to exchange if nothing else helps to correct/profit from the situation. I think this is the biggest reason why the reversal/recovery is sluggish: whales like me are scared as hell to send the million$ back to exchanges, no matter if they were originally earned by selling bitcoins or if it is new money. It is the shadow of Gox again.

Please somebody sell me bitcoins at $389, off-exchange, BTC100 minimum. Please.
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
its pretty funny to see asia above stamp lool
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Did Russia ban Bitcoin again?
hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 526
🐺Dogs for President🐺
Stamp and co. are in dump mood but still waiting for the starting signal from China.
BTC-E looks like Gox in it´s last days.

I think there  won't be any further movements until, 8-10am ish in China!  (5 or so hours)

There is quite often a small rally in huobi / China at this time.  On all weekdays.  I noticed this, as a bear it really pissed me off.  No matter the mood there always seems to be this small rally at this time.

The dumping is BTC-e at the moment.  some bear / whale dumping and this death bot that has been popping up for the last few weeks.


 
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
Guys really now, do you really think that all those investors which put millions of dollars into the infrastructure, hired developers and sponsored start ups will let bitcoin die and go to 0 just because China banned it ?

it's precisely them who are pulling the price down. need to stack more cheap cash Wink
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
lol, btc-e 15+ below Huobi. WTF  Grin
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
hm why is btc-e going full retard
hero member
Activity: 624
Merit: 502
Guys really now, do you really think that all those investors which put millions of dollars into the infrastructure, hired developers and sponsored start ups will let bitcoin die and go to 0 just because China banned it ?

+1
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1000
I think we see back over 400 by tonight, really everyone was fearing when the big China day came (and now its here) it would be the end of BTC for a while anyways.....and were only down 50 bux??? all day now......I guess make what ya want of it.... Ill just be glad when the China fears are flushed out so we can begin to move forward and focus on all the positives as of late for Crypto again Smiley

We have slowly descended from 710 to 390 over 5 weeks...
Believe me I know, but its been in segments and then levels off until the next event. I keep waiting for the next positive event to turn this ship around again. There has been some good things lately that I would have thought would encourage the market, but still tho we are in the shadow of Gox, fud and China,,, just trying to keep things in perspective  Wink
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Guys really now, do you really think that all those investors which put millions of dollars into the infrastructure, hired developers and sponsored start ups will let bitcoin die and go to 0 just because China banned it ?

Yes
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
I think we see back over 400 by tonight, really everyone was fearing when the big China day came (and now its here) it would be the end of BTC for a while anyways.....and were only down 50 bux??? all day now......I guess make what ya want of it.... Ill just be glad when the China fears are flushed out so we can begin to move forward and focus on all the positives as of late for Crypto again Smiley

You think this was it? Watch out, as you might be proven very wrong. Nothing is certain at this stage.
Yes I agree, but we have had weeks of anticipation of what impact China would have,,, we all knew it was coming and yes we have suffered a 150ish drop since all the bad news started really sinking in,,, the previous drops can be attributed to MT Gox and alike and tons of fud  to boot. I still have some faith left that the underlying concept of BTC is strong, alive and well and will continue on and grow and we will recover robustly. Keep Hodling  Smiley

I'm not sure what you mean by this. We all knew any news coming out of China would lower BTC price. No one knew if China would ban BTC. As of this time, it's still not banned. If it is, the price will go down more.

They won't ban it.

Just currency controls and stopping people from taking their wealth out of the country.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Byebye 380$ @BTC-E.  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
Guys really now, do you really think that all those investors which put millions of dollars into the infrastructure, hired developers and sponsored start ups will let bitcoin die and go to 0 just because China banned it ?
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
I think we see back over 400 by tonight, really everyone was fearing when the big China day came (and now its here) it would be the end of BTC for a while anyways.....and were only down 50 bux??? all day now......I guess make what ya want of it.... Ill just be glad when the China fears are flushed out so we can begin to move forward and focus on all the positives as of late for Crypto again Smiley

You think this was it? Watch out, as you might be proven very wrong. Nothing is certain at this stage.
Yes I agree, but we have had weeks of anticipation of what impact China would have,,, we all knew it was coming and yes we have suffered a 150ish drop since all the bad news started really sinking in,,, the previous drops can be attributed to MT Gox and alike and tons of fud  to boot. I still have some faith left that the underlying concept of BTC is strong, alive and well and will continue on and grow and we will recover robustly. Keep Hodling  Smiley

I'm not sure what you mean by this. We all knew any news coming out of China would lower BTC price. No one knew if China would ban BTC. As of this time, it's still not banned. If it is, the price will go down more.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
Stamp and co. are in dump mood but still waiting for the starting signal from China.
BTC-E looks like Gox in it´s last days.
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