Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28333. (Read 26610289 times)

legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
Is anyone active on chinese forums? What is the general conensus there?

Fuck it, I'll get the hell out of BTC.
Fuck it, I'll transfer my BTC to an exchange outside of China.

?

General consensus is 保持


Chinese for HODL?
I'm not sure that's what they're saying in China...

Trust me; my translation seems legit!  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Who knows its a mystery at this point, I beleive the oral communication part was between Huobi and their bank though not their bank and pboc?

For some strange reason, I tend to intimate the bold letters above with sex... it might just be that I've a long time to get laid.  Kiss Grin

Yeah... if we could get some decent choo choo mf... then decent appreciation of our BTC holdings, then can use some of those proceeds for recreating..... which helps to have some free time and a little extra cash.. and make recreating easier.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500

I'm saying that a change in cash flow due to something actually happening has a real and direct affect on the market regardless of what speculators think and is almost impossible to prepare for or 'price in'.

Okay, well I agree with you to a point but its not impossible to prepare for, if you anticipate based on the news that the price will drop due to exchanges bank accounts being closed then that is preparing for it, thus it gets priced in slightly.

Are you attempting to suggest that the price drop due to the confirmed news would have been the same amount even if people had not already heard it was likely and taken a position based on that.
I guess there is a difference but not as much as people think.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
it seems that might be all of the ammo the bears had.

if so, the moon is not far away.

I've been reading exactly this every other day for 3 months now.

The difference now is that China has actually got to a sustainable solution. Now they have found a solution which provides the capital control they desperately needed without completely banning a revolutional technology. Similar to the compromise that they came to with the internet as whole.

In other words, we have reached peak China-bear-ness, which was something that could not be said 3 months ago.

True but also theres still plenty of time for Chinese people to sell, people will speculate up until the last moment and any drop in price in China will drag the west down due to arbers, while they have so much coin this is far from over...
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1031

I'm saying that a change in cash flow due to something actually happening has a real and direct affect on the market regardless of what speculators think and is almost impossible to prepare for or 'price in'.

Okay, well I agree with you to a point but its not impossible to prepare for, if you anticipate based on the news that the price will drop due to exchanges bank accounts being closed then that is preparing for it, thus it gets priced in slightly.

Are you attempting to suggest that the price drop due to the confirmed news would have been the same amount even if people had not already heard it was likely and taken a position based on that.

I won't speak for TERA, but 'news' is 'priced in' on guesswork. When banking services are withdrawn, we'll see how accurate the guesswork was.
This happens all the time, hence xxx news report saying 'shares rose as earnings exceeded expectations' or whatever.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
it seems that might be all of the ammo the bears had.

if so, the moon is not far away.

I've been reading exactly this every other day for 3 months now.

The difference now is that China has actually got to a sustainable solution. Now they have found a solution which provides the capital control they desperately needed without completely banning a revolutional technology. Similar to the compromise that they came to with the internet as whole.

In other words, we have reached peak China-bear-ness, which was something that could not be said 3 months ago.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1031
Is anyone active on chinese forums? What is the general conensus there?

Fuck it, I'll get the hell out of BTC.
Fuck it, I'll transfer my BTC to an exchange outside of China.

?

General consensus is 保持


Chinese for HODL?
I'm not sure that's what they're saying in China...
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000

I'm saying that a change in cash flow due to something actually happening has a real and direct affect on the market regardless of what speculators think and is almost impossible to prepare for or 'price in'.

Okay, well I agree with you to a point but its not impossible to prepare for, if you anticipate based on the news that the price will drop due to exchanges bank accounts being closed then that is preparing for it, thus it gets priced in slightly.

Are you attempting to suggest that the price drop due to the confirmed news would have been the same amount even if people had not already heard it was likely and taken a position based on that.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
I could be wrong because i dont note exact numbers, but it feels that there is more buying compared to the last crash to 2410~
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
Is anyone active on chinese forums? What is the general conensus there?

Fuck it, I'll get the hell out of BTC.
Fuck it, I'll transfer my BTC to an exchange outside of China.

?

General consensus is 保持*



*http://translation.sensagent.com/%E4%BF%9D%E6%8C%81/zh-en/

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur



What is this "news" you keep talking about? China is a place, not a "news". There are real people, exchanges, coins, and fiat. If exchange banking goes down, the flow of fiat in decreases and the flow of coins being distributed increases.

The "news" that their banks were going to be closed, thus you can attempt to estimate the effect that those other things you mention will have. Not quiet sure what your trying to say.   Roll Eyes

Are you trying to tell me that the Chinese exchanges having their accounts closed is not news somehow?
I'm saying that a change in cash flow due to something actually happening has a real and direct affect on the market regardless of what speculators think and is almost impossible to prepare for or 'price in'.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
it seems that might be all of the ammo the bears had.

if so, the moon is not far away.

I've been reading exactly this every other day for 3 months now.
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
Who knows its a mystery at this point, I beleive the oral communication part was between Huobi and their bank though not their bank and pboc?

For some strange reason, I tend to intimate the bold letters above with sex... it might just be that I've a long time to get laid.  Kiss Grin
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
it seems that might be all of the ammo the bears had.

if so, the moon is not far away.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1031
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur


Who knows its a mystery at this point, I beleive the oral communication part was between Huobi and their bank though not their bank and pboc?

I believe it was in person. I wouldn't assume that because it's not in writing it's less significant. China doesn't work the same way as US/Europe.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur



What is this "news" you keep talking about? China is a place, not a "news". There are real people, exchanges, coins, and fiat. If exchange banking goes down, the flow of fiat in decreases and the flow of coins being distributed increases.

The "news" that their banks were going to be closed, thus you can attempt to estimate the effect that those other things you mention will have. Not quiet sure what your trying to say.   Roll Eyes

Are you trying to tell me that the Chinese exchanges having their accounts closed is not news somehow?
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur

Who knows its a mystery at this point, I beleive the oral communication part was between Huobi and their bank though not their bank and pboc?
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur

What is this "news" you keep talking about? China is a place, not a "news". There are real people, exchanges, coins, and fiat. If exchange banking goes down, the flow of fiat in decreases and the flow of coins being distributed increases.
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
People whats going on?

We are close to 400 and there is no volume at all! Do something!

To be honest I think most of the news was already priced in and people have been taking their positions over the last few days.

However this is just the announcement and the deadline is not for a few more days so no doubt theres people waiting to buy until after that...

it gets extended in the Reddit I read regarding huobi, to the 18th lol. However real question is some are saying this is a call, oral communication. It is possible a very successful social engineering hack to FUD us to death lol.

I can't imagine the pboc not putting this shit in writing lol .. or they really are just brake pumping till they can think of better controls, which will never occur
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
WARNING!!!

Legit TA follows:



Double bottom formed at $400

CCMF!!!!1

There seems to be problems with that TA. 

The double bottom may be forming but it is NOT formed in the chart.  IN that regard, I can see that the double bottom is on its way, and it appears to be a nice one, but at the moment, at best it is only  a 1 1/4 bottom.



This is a very good observation, indeed. The previous as... err... bottom has been formed at about Feb 24, thus it's not focused. I therefore sit on my desk patiently, grabbing some popcorn and waiting for the TRIPLE bottom forming.

PS1: Still CCMF stuff...
PS2: Feel free to contribute with your legit charts.
Jump to: