My point is I believe that the inpact of an actual shuwdown would be much greater than the impact of the mere information that such is a possibility. As long is it is not actually done yet, there are still people with hope, still people believing in "FUD", still Chinese buying bitcoins, and still Chinese not selling their bitcoins. The 'chinese ban' has happened so many times that people think of it like the boy who cried wolf now, but wait until it actually happens.
The FUD is certainly not chinese buying bitcoins, the FUD is chines banning bitcoins, which is not true in effect or in legislation.
The market has had many months to prepare for this. it's not a convincing theory.
if the chinese dont want to sell their bitcoins, maybe they wont?