Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28810. (Read 26708243 times)

hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
I'm getting flashbacks from last year's slow grind downwards and me losign 1000's trying to trade it...

fingers crossed this won't be the same...

I'm thinking a floor at 280-350 range this time if you look at the past bubble pops... but who knows right..

We were significantly lower than this two weeks ago..

When were we significantly lower than 280-350?
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
I seriously will move to the first country that embrace bitcoin.

Time to cut off the chain and free yourself from slavery.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
So what's the speculation on the price today Huh

I think we'll stay in this range for the day $590 to $610, if theres a breakout one way I think it will be downwards but not by much, we're in the same slow grind down since January and so far all the good news has not made much of an impact. Expect it to rip your face of when the train does leave the station.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
the dutch can pay their energy bills with bitcoin !


https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5796731


legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
I'm getting flashbacks from last year's slow grind downwards and me losign 1000's trying to trade it...

fingers crossed this won't be the same...

I'm thinking a floor at 280-350 range this time if you look at the past bubble pops... but who knows right..

We were significantly lower than this two weeks ago..
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Looking back, what an achievement so far for bitcoin.

Remember those days when we're all so excited to receive the first issue of Bitcoin magazine?

So much joy and enthusiasm....
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
I'm getting flashbacks from last year's slow grind downwards and me losign 1000's trying to trade it...

fingers crossed this won't be the same...

I'm thinking a floor at 280-350 range this time if you look at the past bubble pops... but who knows right..

I'd argue that its been quiet obvious to trade this downtrend, The run to 700 was obviously premature and whale driven. A big short near the top of that and you wouldn't of had to trade again until your sure the markets turning.

I would be surprised to see it go that low, I for one would be throwing all the savings at $350 coins if we were to stay there for more than a flash.
full member
Activity: 263
Merit: 101
So what's the speculation on the price today Huh
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
I'm getting flashbacks from last year's slow grind downwards and me losign 1000's trying to trade it...

fingers crossed this won't be the same...

I'm thinking a floor at 280-350 range this time if you look at the past bubble pops... but who knows right..
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
full member
Activity: 263
Merit: 101
Tonight glory is upon us!





Join me....



What are you talking about man ?
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Tonight glory is upon us!





Join me....

hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
Wish we could find Mark Karplese and send him a thank you note..
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
I expect ~600 to be a local tripple bottom for the time being unless some news will hit
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
DCA, hmm had I just thought buy and hold in sept .. I would have alot more btc Cheesy

Of course, if you know or have a strong inclination that the market is moving upward, then you would NOT necessarily employ DCA.. .you would front load... to the greatest extent that you could afford... and of course, the more confidence you have, maybe the more you may leverage other assets to really go balls to the walls....   I would rarely employ such a balls to the walls method, personally.

I am suggesting that DCA would likely work better when there is considerable volatility, and the investor doesn't really know which way the asset price is going to go.  Also, DCA works pretty well when the asset is trending downward.. but the investor doesn't really know how long or when that downward trend is going to end.. .but expects an upward movement at some future point... that is also unclear as to when, exactly.


Otherwise, I do NOT really claim to be any kind of expert on DCA, except that I generally tend to employ some version of DCA in my various investments.... Maybe b/c of my fairly conservative risk aversion and possibly due to lack of confidence in exactly how well I can predict on a day to day basis concerning the price direction of various assets?
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
DCA, hmm had I just thought buy and hold in sept .. I would have alot more btc Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Well this feels like a good buy spot. I have no sceince to back my claim. Probably going to get 1 bitcoin tomorrow.

Why wait until tomorrow?  OH yeah.. Thursdays are pump days, No?
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Yay...err, no. I can see we're heading for under 600. FML, I bought at 670.


I think that a lot of us are in a similar situation with average BTC buy-ins  in the upper 600s and even in the 700s or higher.   I am currently at $686 average BTC buy-in rate - which includes my transaction fees, and even though I find it a little bit frustrating to be at this seemingly low BTC price level, I am continuing to use these low BTC prices as buying opportunities to buy more BTC than I had expected to be able to buy on a fairly regular basis... and gambling that ultimately the BTC fundamentals have NOT changed in a negative way and if anything on an ongoing basis the BTC fundamentals are getting more and more solid with more and more big investors coming into the BTC arena and nearly daily basis good news pertaining to more and more ways to liquidate BTC. 

Surely, we have a ways to go in ease of use of BTC and inspiring public confidence regarding security of their coins, but if you are into BTC for an 18 month to 24 month period or possibly more, we are going to be looking pretty pretty at that point b/c I have only been willing and able to invest so much fiat into BTC at any one time in the front end of my investment....   Accordingly, my quantity of BTC is much larger than what I had expected it to be, at this time.

Average buy-in is also my buying policy. It seems USD 600 is fairly low but who knows to which area it will be heading down and how long it will last at that area?

 For example, if price goes down to area usd 300 and remain for 1 year, I will be very frustrated with my average buy-in policy, as my stock is already heavy, repeating last average shares compensate very little  to my cost, unless I increase average share by 3times or more. Regrettably my financial position does not allow 3x.

Does a simple average buy-in works on bitcoin?


Personally, I think that dollar cost averaging works on anything - so long as the price of the asset goes up at some point.  B/c even in the scenario that you describe of staying at $300 for a long period.. then just keep buying once a month or once a week or whatever is your time interval.... sooner or later your average buy in price will approach $300.

The problem would come if the price is on a never ending downward trajectory b/c even though your average buy in price continues to go down, the price of the asset never goes up.... .. but at least you would probably still be able to recover quite a bit, unless the asset suddenly goes to zero, before you recognize the need to cash out.




Jump to: