Rpietila, I am keen to hear what your predictions are for the next week or so ?
I cannot predict such short timespans.
The biggest market mover is the people who thought they had bitcoins in Mt.Gox. When they replace (which I believe is going on), the price can rise a lot. We are talking about 100,000s of coins of extra demand.
This is the key to the short term market and people ignore it. The majority of traders had their funds on Gox, a lot got out, we don't know exactly how many, but looking at the order book in the last few days, not that many.
These people are not going to give up bitcoin, or be happy with the handful of alts they have. They are entrenched in the bitcoin dream and trading is a way of life. Right now they will be securing loans, raiding savings accounts and that fiat is on it's way to an exchange right now.
It takes a few days to be verified at Stamp, then 2-3 more days for your funds to arrive in your account, we're on the brink. All we need is a few mini whales who NEED their bitcoin with only a limited amount available at the exchanges and ..... supply and demand.