Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29673. (Read 26709440 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Howeve, if the "oldest and most prestigious" exchange fails, it will probably be all over the mainstream news media, and will scare more potential investors away from bitcoin.  Since I believe that bitcoin is a terrible investment, I think that will be a good thing; but it will depress the price even further over the next few weeks.

So cheerful I love it.  
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
will gox go below former ath ? will she sink so low ?
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
We'll Gox'll be back at 266 pretty soon at this rate  Shocked
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
It's like someone is trying to take out Gox, 300btc at a time

Someone obviously has a good reason for those dumps. But the sheep following him. My god, what an idiots.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
oh ok so this 200k btc of dumping is just "a bot". its "willy"... no. we are talking an order of magnitude of difference from willy, and that guy who made a 10k buy  (rpietelia claims that was.him)

Do you not remember the 100s of k BTC regular buying sprees that seems to have kept Gox at least $100 higher than other exchanges? Willy. It looks like every single person on this forum and his dog noticed Willy the bull bot. What is happening now looks exactly the same but in reverse!
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Why are people still mass selling on Gox, really makes no sense at all

Just as dumb as people selling on Stamp because of Gox.
It's like when there is a crash on one side of the road and on the other site some idiots crash as well because they were watching the first crash.
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
It's like someone is trying to take out Gox, 300btc at a time
hero member
Activity: 583
Merit: 500
I'm really confused. Who the hell  has that many coins on gox wallets Huh?? All I see 150-350 coins sells. It is insane !


Somebody with a ton of coins believes that Gox is going dark never to be seen again...
legendary
Activity: 879
Merit: 1001
The sooner the Gox disappears up its own ass, the better for everyone.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
They have something else entirely NOW. I need to nail down what burden of proof exactly we're talking about because I don't want to waste my time if you are not even really open to the possibility that your belief is incorrect.

Don't waste your time.  I will believe when the facts show that I was wrong.

The issue is whether or not the network effects are strong enough to prevent that scenario.

The survival of altcoins kind of answers that, doesn't it?  

In fact we seem to be moving already away from a "bitcoin network" to a generic "cyptocoin network", whose members will devote their mining efforts to whatever cryptocoin their equipment can handle that provides the best return at that time.   In that case the "network effect" will no longer be a bitcoin advantage.

Quote
Quote
As I see it, right now the bitcoin price is sustained mainly by speculation

I don't entirely disagree, but why is this a problem?

If there is no external factor to sustain the price, speculation alone may take the price anywhere -- and will eventually take it to zero.

Common stock prices can be justified in terms of expected sales and profits, hence expected dividends and/or growth of assets.  But there is no logical argument that justifies why the BTC price now should be 600$ instead of 6$ or 60,000$.

It is 600$ basically because speculators think that it may go up to 650$ sometime next week. But why would it do that? Well, because next week perhaps the speculators may think that it may go up to 700$ in the following week.  Or perhaps they won't. And so on. The price now is basically holding itself up by its bootstraps...
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
oh ok so this 200k btc of dumping is just "a bot". its "willy"... no. we are talking an order of magnitude of difference from willy, and that guy who made a 10k buy  (rpietelia claims that was.him)
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
I'm really confused. Who the hell  has that many coins on gox wallets Huh?? All I see 150-350 coins sells. It is insane !
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 540
bull bot Willy, put in reverse.

Bear Aunt Milly, that is ?
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1014
Ok I bought at 646.  Time to go up.  Lets see if I get plastered on this one  Cheesy

Well that didn't go so well.  Wasn't watching the market the last hour or so then looked at the screen, got a surprise and got straight back off again at 646.  

Lol.  Thank god it's BFX so the fees are tiny.

You are in the wrong mindset. In a year's time it won't matter if you got on at 646, 570, 720, or even 850. It'll all look almost the same. Get on whenever you have fiat.

Take it from my experience, if you try to get on and off looking for the lowest price, you'll either be left behind when the next upward correction starts, or will slowly bleed away on fees.
hero member
Activity: 564
Merit: 508
and be poorly informed.

Less informed than us? It should be hard.
hero member
Activity: 583
Merit: 500
when bitstamp and btce disabled withdrawals, it wasnt an all out apocalypse like gox. i think someone knows something at gox that we don't


No, just whale flopping around in the dark. Just like the bot that drove up the price to a 25% disparity last week trying to get out the Coin exit... now same bot is making a run for the fiat exit at whatever cost. Must have a lot of coins, be risk averse, and be poorly informed.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
This makes NO sense. Something here is fishy. I have been mystified for days. To me it gox should be bullish. You can get money in, you can buy crazy cheap coins, you will be able to get them out again soon. (they're not fucking insolvent, Mark would be found and murdered straight away.)

Meanwhile, stamp is double the price?? At first I thought the "malleability issue" was a joke and entirely the fault of gox's poor heigene, then the other exchanges followed suit, and silk road 2. So if this is a legit issue with btc itself, and we are capable of understanding that that doesn't really matter as the protocol can and will be changed whenever it is required by enough of us, the only reason for the doom and gloom is....people just don't like gox, but the reason for that should be because of the FIAT withdrawal problem which they have had for months and months, yet it DOESN'T SEEM TO BE.

Huh
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
strongstamp saves it us again.


The difference between the two will prevent the market from developing. It is not sustainable at all. Pure madness. Until the difference is closed how can we go up?
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Ok I bought at 646.  Time to go up.  Lets see if I get plastered on this one  Cheesy

Well that didn't go so well.  Wasn't watching the market the last hour or so then looked at the screen, got a surprise and got straight back off again at 646.  

Lol.  Thank god it's BFX so the fees are tiny.
sr. member
Activity: 263
Merit: 250
Because they void the argument "one bitcoin will be worth a small fortune one day since there are only 21 million of them and umpteen trillion dollars of e-commerce per day".

There are many things wrong with that argument, but one of them is that there is an infinite number of cryptocoins, and they all are in principle as good as bitcoin for the purpose of low-fee payments via internet.

Umpteen trillion dollars divided by infinity is equal to zero...

There is something to be said about this however. The primary reason that Bitcoin caught on and didn't fizzle like all other virtual currencies or even other cryptocurrency proposals is the blockchain -- the center of trust for all similar cryptos. The older and larger the chain, the more trust there is. This means that all (most) the alt coins can quietly disappear into niche uses. This is the main reason I was excited about merged mining -- one chain to rule them all. [Namecoin, however, has its own problems]

Basically it's the same argument about Visa/MasterCard and the zillion other card companies.

[...] when lots of people really start using bitcoins for payments, not because they want to support the cause but because they are more convenient and cheap than other methods [...]

I was sceptical too until actually using BTC to pay for minor stuff online. For example Fiverr was a nice surprise. I made two orders and paid each with a different system (PayPal and Coinbase). And I've realised, PayPal is mad fugly. It is immensely bloated for what it's supposed to do. You probably have more menus than Amazon has for all your settings and preferences. In comparison, Coinbase's plugin was simple and easy to understand and use. According to comments on Fiverr's announcement to take BTC, many sellers appear to ask to receive BTC directly (to wallet or Coinbase account), simply because PayPal charges immense fees.

It can also be argued this is not the "true" way to use BTC, but does it really matter? I can easily visualize a unified crypto payment plugin. Select currency; select wallet or wallet provider; pay.

I believe cryptos are here to stay. Can't say about BTC, but it's a working proof of concept / minimal viable product.
Jump to: