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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29778. (Read 26712305 times)

hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
Well dayum, my fiat wont be on gox in time
hero member
Activity: 605
Merit: 500
I just had a vision of Chinese people in gambling dens betting bitcoin on cock fights.



There is a Bitcoin future in China, whether the government bans it or not. The fact that it's useful for evading capital controls and other State restrictions guarantees it.

Is it?  Basically the only way to convert Yuan to/from Bitcoin now is through a Chinese bank.  Both the bank and the exchange will want your ID. 

What do you mean exactly by "evading capital controls and State restrictions"?


There are many miners in China. The Chinese could buy or trade from them even if all the exchanges closed. One could buy from anyone in China who holds bitcoin and was willing to sell. Communist countries have always had black markets.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_control

The laws of economics cannot be repealed by legislative fiat. You could sooner repeal the Law of Gravity.


sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
Gox starting a rally, time to buy
Retesting 30 day lows is a rally? I'm so cornfused.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
Gox starting a rally, time to buy
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
Also... as a little side note.. this year everyone I know that is not already a BTC hodler when it comes to their birthdays or Christmas presents I will be setting them up wallets on their androids or PC and a paper wallet too, and I will chuck a $100 of BTC in their wallets and that will be them..  and then I will poke and prod them until they do likewise "have you set your gran up a wallet yet?"

Another plus, basically I just did all my Christmas shopping for 2014 the other day : )  

Have you set your granma up a wallet yet?  I did and they are both dead - but they have still got f'kin Bitcoin wallets with a few BTC in them

No excuses ! Wink not even death.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
There is a Bitcoin future in China, whether the government bans it or not. The fact that it's useful for evading capital controls and other State restrictions guarantees it.

Is it?  Basically the only way to convert Yuan to/from Bitcoin now is through a Chinese bank.  Both the bank and the exchange will want your ID. 

What do you mean exactly by "evading capital controls and State restrictions"?


There are many miners in China. The Chinese could buy or trade from them even if all the exchanges closed. One could buy from anyone in China who holds bitcoin and was willing to sell. Communist countries have always had black markets.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_control

The laws of economics cannot be repealed by legislative fiat. You could sooner repeal the Law of Gravity.

hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
PS. I think that the only really bad news for bitcoin iinvestors that I have seen in the last few months were these two lines in the recent interview of Huobi's CEO:

  "We’ll evaluate the virtual currencies’ general market value and its circulation to decide whether to include [other cryptocoins]. Litecoin is in our plan. We need more observation of the situation of Dogecoin."

http://forexmagnates.com/exclusive-interview-ceo-of-largest-bitcoin-exchange-in-the-world-huobi-responds-to-mt-gox-situation/
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
I have the feeling we'll see another dump on stamp soon which will take us to 600. And there people will completely poop their pants for a few days and finally panic sell to Gox levels.

And you turning bearish on the price , that's one bad sign.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
All this selling on gox doesnt make much sense to me

It's gonna take the other exchanges with it. Because that's how dumb the sheep are.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
I have the feeling we'll see another dump on stamp soon which will take us to 600. And there people will completely poop their pants for a few days and finally panic sell to Gox levels.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
All this selling on gox doesnt make much sense to me
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
There is a Bitcoin future in China, whether the government bans it or not. The fact that it's useful for evading capital controls and other State restrictions guarantees it.

Is it?  Basically the only way to convert Yuan to/from Bitcoin now is through a Chinese bank.  Both the bank and the exchange will want your ID. 

What do you mean exactly by "evading capital controls and State restrictions"?
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
The entire market wasted around two months on building illusions around the Chinese market.
When it was clear that soon there won't be much of Chinese market left, then religious zealots kept repeating otherwise. That created a lot of confusion on what will happen in the future and actually slowed down progress in the long run. The uptrend that started in January was fueled by pure stupidity.
The right thing would have been to drop the price and then plan another rise with opening new exchanges in new geographical locations. It would have been the normal life-cycle of bitcoin and the market would already be starting another uptrend. But with all these illusions and false hopes, we will probably see this downtrend last a lot longer then it should have been. The "get-rich-quick Choo Choo" people here have no vision or strategic thinking whatsoever.
And new payment options like overstock mean nothing to the price of bitcoin. If anyone buys bitcoin to buy from overstock, then it will be converted back to fiat right away. New payment options like this will more probably have an negative effect on the price, since more bitcoins will be converted to $ by older adopters.
New opening markets with the coming of new of gamblers are the only positive news that people should take into account when considering the price.

Do you own Bitcoin? (just outta interest)

I owned bitcoins till the start of December. After it got clear that there is no future in China, I sold. I bought back in about two weeks ago, partially because I was intoxicated and bored behind the computer. Luckly sold couple of hours later with 803$.
Right now, I don't see myself buying back anytime soon. When I'll buy back in, then It will probably be buying some altcoin, not bitcoin.
Right now the only thing that keeps the bitcoin price from an ugly collapse are the thousands of miners who have invested thousands of dollars in their ASIC equipment. They are the ones who are holding and keeping the supply tight, because selling with this price means no ROI. But they can only hold the price for so long, because the electric bills are piling and their wives or girlfriends are yelling at them on why aren't the noisy machines producing any money like promised.

My faith in bitcoin is in a downtrend while my faith in cryptos and privatized monetary systems in general keeps steady.

Fair enough...  I hear you... but the whole buying in and selling thing is not for me personally, as for me there is no point.. my strategy thus far negates the need

 I am not a miner never have been.. but I have been buying for a long while,  I buy dips and trade alts to increase my BTC, and I also have invested in an alt or two, and I actually now take most of my wages in BTC, and I spend it where I can... and I know a good group who are all doing the same... I am trying to get more and more local businesses to accept BTC and I am in the process of looking to intergrate taking payments in BTC for the business I currently manage. Most of my friends are now BTC hodlers and buyers and only one of them a miner-  though I am talking to my friends about setting up some nodes.   Also I do not think guys with angry girlfriends running a few little rigs in their little flats are propping up the market... there are guys with underground caves being powered by geothermal power right now with asic farms that would make your eyes water.. and I do not even think that is what is propping up the market... but assuming that they are... sure money is not endless but the players coming into the game with those set ups, and the ones already established in the game they gotz funding...  most of the players coming into the game (not just in mining) now have gots funding and deep deep wallets and are playing a long term game...  I am also playing a long term game... and the price movement of the past month, few months does not surprise me...  the market is going to decide for sure... I still see the fundamentals as strong... I guess we will have to wait and see .... for me the key is not price, not at all the key is adoption rate and user figures, can the network growth do its thing for a few more cycles? I think that the money coming into the ecosystem at this point is banking on YES, which is why they are coming into the game and coming with depe pockets and will do all they can to make it work, which gives me confidence... and if this remains true and we do get another few cycles of the network effect play out. then to me the long term fundamantals still look good.. not certain but good... and that would mean another set of parabolic price rises as time goes by.

I am mostly interested in adoption and use rates not the price.

One of the greatest failings of humanity is its failure to understand the exponential function.

(That being said BTC has in my mind over the next 1-3 years got a binary outcome)
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun

How can you see that? Because I don't own any bitcoin while bitcoin is in a stage on being an useless investment opportunity? Oh, please, tell me more....

I guess I should just buy in without any thinking and start chanting Choo Choo! Then I would really have a clue about bitcoin!
Stupid f**ks like you are making this market a financial joke and I really wanted for bitcoin to be more then a joke.


Ignoring the language , looking at bitcoin purely as an investments just adds to the motives I said you don't have a clue about what bitcoin is.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun

Ignoring the "I trade like a boss"  I've bought low sold high thingy , the way you talk about miners holding the price and getting yelled at by their wife&girlfriends , the way you said the price should have been controlled , I really don't see you as a person who has a clue about bitcoin , and not as a bitcoin owner at all.


No shit, right? Miners don't have girlfriends. That's what Internet porn is for.
What the hell , you're saying I wasn't mining for the last 3 months ... or that I have an imaginary girlfriend?
At the moment , I don't know what might be worse Smiley))
legendary
Activity: 1178
Merit: 1014
Hodling since 2011.®
I am serially  thinking about getting fiat to the gox right now


Depends on luck is your gox acc working as it should or not.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
macd's proven to be useless in the past week or so Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women

I didn't say that the price should be controlled, I told that the marker should have been smarter. There is a difference.


Quote

So who the fuck was supposed to sell at the bottom to make this smart transition and how would that be smart? What an asshole!  It should go down more so it can go up more, right? I guess you are whining that you didn't get enough of an opportunity to prey on panic sellers.

The market is the market, douchenozzle. That's like saying the weather should be smarter. It's not even coherent enough to be wrong.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
banned but not broken
Quote
Right now the only thing that keeps the bitcoin price from an ugly collapse are the thousands of miners who have invested thousands of dollars in their ASIC equipment. They are the ones who are holding and keeping the supply tight, because selling with this price means no ROI. But they can only hold the price for so long, because the electric bills are piling and their wives or girlfriends are yelling at them on why aren't the noisy machines producing any money like promised.

My faith in bitcoin is in a downtrend while my faith in cryptos and privatized monetary systems in general keeps steady.


BTC price can be affected more by thousands of small time holders more than by dozens of big time holders?  Isn't the breakdown of BTC holdings by percentile something like this?

Top 50 holders - 50% of BTC
Next 100 holders - 25% of BTC
Next 1000 holders - 15% of BTC
All other holders - 10% of BTC

Those numbers are inaccurate, but in the ballpark, correct?  If so, the actions of thousands of miners have a small effect on BTC supply/price.

To your other points, what will a superior crypto have that Bitcoin lacks?

Are privatized money systems based on trust?



TOP holders are playing the long term game, since they can take the risk. While most of the mining equipment are owned by people who actually used their savings to buy those machines. There is only a small amount of bitcoins in existance that will be sold at markets, and the biggest part of those coins have been created by miners in the near past.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Lazy, cynical and insolent since 1968
Sorry if this is a repost;
http://arstechnica.com/business/2014/02/jp-morgan-bitcoin-is-vastly-inferior-to-traditional-fiat-currency/
So a combined attack on BTC price from all sources  Undecided

Attack? This is uber-bullish. If JP Morgan had to write a detailed report in order to shit on BTC it means they are pooping their pants. They are seriously concerned.

Great.

A very pertinent and acute point.
I like the comments below the line esp the list of fines recently paid by JPM.
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