Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 4398. (Read 26711027 times)

Oh? Gawd...

There is some humor in that.

You know that if some of us throw out random numbers, sooner or later we are going to be in the ballpark of correct.

Even member jupiter9 was correct several times, until he wasn't.

By the way, LFC.. I hope that you have moved away from your strict calendar year interpretations in regards to considering that the cycle is over in terms of a calendar year.... and not sure if I need to say more because I already said mostly what I had wanted to say in terms of attempting to project out in order to be prepared for aspects that are beyond expectations, even if they do not end up happening, but there should be way more psychological and financial freedom to come from planning it out (even if just roughly) rather than having strict rules that end up devolving into gambling strategies.


Yes... stalker-like bad intentions can end up coming through...  

That is be called koreck.


Surely, you make it decently difficult to resist mentioning even what a very modest DCA strategy would have done..

One problem is that the dca.com website only goes back 9 years, so you could have had around another 1.5 years additional ...

So even a very modest DCA of $10 per week for 9 years would have gotten a guy very close to currently at spot price millionnaire status with a bit more than 16.5 BTC accumulated.


Fair enough.. but as I mentioned in my above response with the DCA.com link, if you had even modestly DCA'ed for something like $10 week (maybe even $1 per day) for 10.5 years, you would surely be above spot price millionaire status by now, you fuck...  #nohomo.

hahahahahaha


You are so sweet to differentiate between tree rats, uninvited guests and invited guest.

Relatively speaking, you must be a great host.  #justsaying.


or the tree ratt.


Wouldn't have been the first time.

 

Hahahahaha

Sometimes I remember past posts.. but still... there is no real ability to assert that some of us might or might not be both gathering information and holding such information in various ways, as you mentioned.

Anyone feeling uncomfortable..

You tend to be decently amorphous vapourminer, and surely inferences can be made from some of your historical posts.. and so surely there is some practicalities in abilities to have some plausible deniabilities.....

I am not sure if what I do is sometimes outside of fairplay.. and surely some members will dredge up old information with more creepiness to the way that they do it than others.. .. so is anyone feeling uncomfortable?.....

Actually, there are some members who delete several of their posts, but then they seem to make very similar mistakes in the future... so who knows about balance.. some of us might end up regretting some of our prior posts and then trying to figure out if we should delete any of them or not... Again, my posts are out there.. and sometimes peeps do bring up some of my posts and then make inferences, but surely it is weird how wrong they can get things, even when stuffs are fairly clearly stated....  so maybe there be some advantages in having a lot of posts, then many of us can see that post at May 2014 contradicts post at December 2018 and the July 2021 post contradicts one made in January 2016.. whether it helps and whether the bots can sort it all out might also be questionable.. did I mean that or not?

Anyone uncomfortable?

Anyone feel like deleting a few more posts from 2015? or 2011?  I was not participating in the forum before late February 2014.. so there is that. 

By the way, I frequently talk about spreadsheets to keep track of things, and many times I suggest that spreadsheets are very helpful for both planning financial information and also projecting out financial information, so surely there can be both financial and psychological advantages in working through some of these kinds of matters... whether it is cashflow, projections of BTC prices, various financial assets held by a member, various abilities to accumulate BTC and what that might personally mean at various points in regards to other assets or the passage of time.

 So, yes.. spreadsheets are good and they can be used for a lot of purposes that are individually helpful... Again, even though I mention things about member posts in the past, I would attribute that to just paying attention and caring.. hahahahaha.. caring.. Sometimes I have also constructed some hypothetical spreadsheets and posted such spreadsheets in order to help certain members (or even the WO thread participants more generally), and if I had ended up making a spreadsheet that was responsive to questions or concerns that any certain member expressed, it might cause me to remember aspects of that member's situation.. even members who may well be disingenuine with some of their representations about themselves, their BTC holdings or their views about BTC.. I could list off some trolls in that regard, but why pinpoint anyone in particular in order to further make some of these points?


Members remember different things too.. so sometimes members will bring up some posting history of another member or they will say x, y or z, and it just might remind some of us about what they might have said previously or even question whether they might have made some fair representations of some other member... so members make representations about me, too.. and some of them are more correct than others, even though it may or may not be healthy to admit or to deny certain aspects.. and just keep it a mystery or even to downplay whether x, y or z point is important or not.

Its a goddamn bot.

Told ya couple pages earlier Jack is not going because he wants. He is going because he have to. He was not censoring enough for the globalist agenda. When you opted out of the Matrix it's very easy to see all the false flags, fake news and other shit mass media is telling us it's the truth.

My Matrix started shaking after 9/11. But I opted out when they started hunting elected presidents of arab countries and telling us it's for democracy. While at the same time do all the fake Terror attacks in Europe and blame it on a whole religion. But the zombies ate that and now the same zombies eating the plandemic.

Explanation

Yes...

If people do not act quickly, they are going to even have troubles getting up to 0.21BTC..  - let alone some of the BIGGER stashes that are more than 0.63BTC.  #justsaying.

Actually, 21 million satoshis does not really sound that bad, even talking about somewhere between 1 million and 10 million satoshis might not sound bad after this next upcoming cycle...so I suppose get your 0.21BTC while you still can peeps and if you can work towards higher numbers that's fine too.. do what you can in order to feel moar better at later times.


For some strange reason, I am wondering what forum beneficial purposes would be served by breaking up any of my imaginary post walls to the extent that they might exist beyond the imagination of some peeps and their inabilities to appreciate the role of the scroll wheel if that might be helpful to achieve some kind of a similar objective.


I don't know about the member driven selection of an automatic deletion feature, but surely some members have chosen to go back and delete their posts, and surely some members have been quite aggressive about it.  Surely, we know that some members have changed their user-names too in connection with concerns about their prior posts or concerns that they had ended up being targeted in real life.  Personally, I don't feel any need to delete my old posts, and I have not deleted any - and most of the times when I edit any posts it is within an hour or so of posting (fix some things).. but surely every once in a while I have edited some posts that were a few days old.. but mostly in order to attempt to make them more understandable rather than to remove personal information.

Many of us have made efforts to be somewhat amorphous in terms of the information that we post.. so I might be able to say, "if I were to have 1,000 BTC, then x, y z might be applicable to me."

For sure, there are some difficulties in sharing information if few or no specifics are provided, and even the kinds of examples in regards to the number of BTC that equals something like $5k investment or a $10k investment or even a $20k investment that we might use in 2021 may well be different than the kinds of examples that we had used in 2014/2015-ish.

For example, the other day, I used an example of investing $20k, and how reachable something like a $20k investment might be for many people.. so in 2015, $20k could have gotten you around 80 BTC for a decent amount of time, when BTC prices were in the mid-$200s.. but even some folks might not have spent the whole year accumulating up to $20k and then might have made mistakes.. so even if they had been reasonably able to accumulate $80k with a decently aggressive strategy, many people have chosen NOT to be so aggressive, and still might have been able to acquire something like 20 BTC.. but then have they been able to hang onto those BTC is quite another question / practice that challenges a lot of us.

Another thing that frequently happens is that there are guys touting BTC strategies to time the market and bullshit like that, and so sometimes we can use their forum registration date or some other information that they had provided regarding how long that they had supposedly been in bitcoin, and then refer to the DCA.com website in order to compare various modest to aggressive strategies of DCA and to cause them to acknowledge whether or not their touted strategy would have been so sound as to be able to beat the performance of a ongoing DCA strategy - whether such strategy had been modest or more aggressive.

Some of us guys might have also come to realize such benefits of an ongoing dollar cost averaging strategy after making quite a few mistakes along the way.. and of course, even removing coins from exchanges or assuring your own securing of coins strategies might cause ONLY  small portion of your overall BTC holdings to actually be flowing through exchanges or other third parties... which reminds me of risks that also might come from trying to earn cashflow (or interest) by putting your BTC with various third parties.. and there remains a considerable amount of personal discretion regarding how much BTC (if any) might be used in that kind of way. - especially when a pure HODLing strategy has tended to perform quite well relative to the dollar - especially zooming out in longer time-horizons and perhaps there can be some realization that bitcoin is already designed to pump forever, and it is not worth the risk to gamble with BTC principle by holding much if any with any third parties who may well end up running off with your BTC or there may well be other risks in keeping BTC with them, including if you have failed/refused to properly read their terms..and could end up losing your BTC through those kind of ignorance-laden (or would it be greed-laden?) ways, too.

Nasty rejection from horizontal resistance & short-term distribution zone. It was looking good at the time (under a microscope), but this would be why for a 4hr close as confirmation always makes sense.



I'm finding it difficult to tell where price is going next. The 0.618 retracement level held well, but the buying pressure since then has been weak at best. For the short-term the bears still remain in control it seems, based on the selling pressure. $56.5K local low looks like it could hold as support, but wouldn't be surprised to see a re-test of the 0.618 again to confirm as new support. It would act as a good opportunity to trap bears at least. Not really expecting a lower low now key support has held, but not under-estimating the resistance overhead. A bullish inverse head & shoulders is looking likely though.

Price is basically back where it started 12 days ago. Not liking the broadening wedge pattern either, but it is what it is. Breaking below $55.5K would also likely trigger bullish stop losses for a failed trade, which could certainly open the doors for $50-51K support to finally get re-tested. Price should have a better chance breaking through resistance if given another go at least. Blah, kinda boring.

Daily chart remains relatively bullish, but not inspiring confidence at current prices with recent rejects from overhead distribution zone. The picture looks like slow accumulation, as opposed to a quick recovery.



The main upside I see is that price has been wrecking day-traders for the past week, with many bear traps and bull traps. Hopefully this gives longer-term traders more of chance to determine bullish movements.

---

As the investor said to the tax man 

Good grief.  This is going to be quick...

Explanation

It sure is. Curbing inflation means less free money to further inflate the stock-bubble with, as they seem to recognize they are causing the inflation by all the money printing (duh, really??). So a red candle. However tomorrow everyone will realize that a) the printers will be going brrrrrr for quite some time to come, only maybe a little less, after a while and b) when there is inflation, ANY money lying around is just decaying in front of you so should instead IMMEDIATELY be pumped into to the bubble.

I'm really starting to dislike this coupling of stonks and BTC. Feels degrading and dirty.

Edit: Imma gonna take a shower.

Oh boy...  Something tells me *this* might have some crazy deep consequences:

I was leaning on the idea that @jack was a bleeding heart idealist type, and he was the one responsible for the corporate "censorship" Twitter has performed along with the other centralized social media platforms.

But I may have been wrong.  He may have been holding back the floodgates...

What the actual $%#$ is "Content Health"?  Never mind.  You can tell by it's choice of words EXACTLY the lines this asshole is going to draw.

Kitten me?

Dude. My house is in that photo too! The blue arrow is a little further back, and I think it's like, behind the sixth tall building left of your location, but yeah man.

My house would totally be in this shot if it wasn't for those pesky skyline-blighting concrete and glass monstrosities.

---

To be quite frank, I've informed the neighborhood we are building out the ranch in, that you are an undesirable entity.

Given the capital outlay so far investing in infrastructure, not to mention the goodwill fostered with the chicken, goat, and cattle farmers in the area - never mind the purple posts displayed everywhere - you would not likely survive a road trip east of Rockwall County, TX using the major thoroughfares.

#Bitcoin

https://twitter.com/naiiveclub/status/1465634622646013955?s=21

Explanation

Could that be the news being sold on?  Weird.

I expect we retake some of those gains fairly quickly...  This little diplet is a gift to the people who are buying.

lots of people just assume that just because someone was around early on in btc that they are now rich beyond measure.

lol sure

i mined early on when btc was tossed around like popcorn. selling at $35??? GENIOUS!

remember this was all just a Grand Experiment to some. if anyone had told me back then that a single bitcoin would be worth north of $60K USD in 10 years? pffft i would of laughed for days

Let me hope that I am not that "uninvited Visitor"

Good man.

Oh.  And one more thing.  I own guns.  And I will not hesitate to use them.  Most likely the last thing an uninvited "visitor" to my house will see will be the muzzle flash of my most boring weapon.  Just a simple Remmington HD870 shotgun. 



So far it has only killed some tree rats.  But that is not what I bought it for.

Invited visitors will be offered coffee instead.