jjg your posts are too long, but I sum it all up with last low before 2021 high was 3.9-4.0k
last low this time was 15.8- 15.9
around 4x bigger
so 68 x 4 = 268k some time in 2025
I will take 212k
With my allegedly "too long post," in addition to my responding to Paashaas, I was making a few points that don't exactly relate to your supposed summing it up and in which you added a new framework to largely frame your new point(s) in some kind of supposed mathematical narrowness. You would have to actually read my post if you were trying (or wanting) to relate your point(s) to my point(s).
Regarding a high for this cycle that might be topping off somewhere in 2025 and anywhere in the ballpark of $212k to $268k, there would be nothing wrong with those kinds of levels and they seem potentially reasonable, even though we surely could end up having undershootings and/or overshootings of such range, so it seems problematic to get too attached to any such range happening in such timeline... while at the same time many of us holding BTC may well already have some plans for those kinds of price ranges that low coiners and no coiners are not seemingly prepared for in terms of either finances or psychology... so surely interesting to see what happens, or even if there might be some broken hearts (and finances) for the coiners who might be placing too much certainty upon such range happening within such timeline.
The low coiners and no coiners continue to overwhelmingly outnumber the coiners, which seems to be part of the reason that many coiners continue to suggest that we remain in the midst of one the greatest (if not the greatest) wealth transfers in modern history.