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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5378. (Read 26652384 times)

legendary
Activity: 2186
Merit: 1213
Nice! Expected to wake up into 28k and it's 36k.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
This laptop that won't start has win 10, that should tell you something.

... put linux on it?

... stop being a muppet in public btw.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRTjksM3YAs
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo

3. It's different this time

The most notable aspect of this idea is we never really see a crypto "winter" in the cycle.  But instead we see a volatile climb upward.  Personally I would expect to see recurring pullbacks of diminishing magnitude. Of course things do not tend to be this perfect but we could see a 60%, then 50, then 40 series of pullbacks all making higher highs and lower lows.  Obviously, this is in the somewhat unprecedented "It's going up forever Laura" category.  It breaks a lot of fundamental rules about asset prices.
This would be a "It's different this time" that makes MUCH less sense than the supercycle.



... this would be a version of the logistic curve, or S-curve of technological adoption, theory for final adoptive phase. All other prior adoption waves will be dwarfed by comparison, in the same way as each adoptive wave has dwarfed the previous on linear scale charts, but the ultimate level plateaus near to full-adoption.

Super Cycle and S-curve are versions of the the same ultimate trajectory it looks like to me.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo

Overall, we have at least 3.46X wallets in 2021 than in late 2017, maybe much more than that (I am only going from blockchain.com numbers), yet the price is just 70% higher (at the moment).
Therefore, we are lagging the Metcalf's law and, therefore, are SEVERELY undervalued in comparison with 2017.

TLDR; according to Metcalf's law and prior "fair" valuation, fair value of bitcoin right now is $81K.

... the Metcalfe's law concept for the value of a monetary network reflected as bitcoin price in fiat that is related to the number of transactions or number of wallets is definitely interesting, and has worked well for Bitcoin in the early days when the network was small but growing exponentially fast.

... now I'm wondering if it Metcalfe needs to be tweaked to include a weighting to the value of transactions on the network, or value in wallets, rather simple numerical quantity of TX or wallets? The value of the phone network clearly increases as the number of users adopt the network but each user can make more or less or longer or shorter calls and doesn't really affect the total value of the network. Bitcoin is somewhat more like the electricity grid network where the size of the user, or generator, that connects to the network would have a bearing on the total value of the network different from simply number of users. E.g. if a large utility, or aluminum smelter, decided to abandon the electricity network that clearly has a bigger impact on total value of the network that some random Joe that goes off-grid but each represent a single user on the network.

legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Damn gotta clean the f***ing pool.... weather getting better, pool looks like sh*t.... 

With BTC at 37, I let someone take care of it... at these prices I’ll do it myself.

Sunday’s
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
This laptop that won't start has win 10, that should tell you something.

... put linux on it?

... stop being a muppet in public btw.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 961
fly or die
Nice pumping in the morning. I won't be following too much today as I have a family barbecue now that most participants are vaccinated.
jr. member
Activity: 90
Merit: 6
Leafs are turning green.
Natures colour at its best...
Where the green dildo’s?

the dildo will be visible after we cross the 37k mark.

Speaking about visible debauchery, since I got my 4th covid shot (better be safer than sorry), moderate alcohol consumption keeps me really awake at night or it's the sound of the shorts getting crushed? Who knows...

(there is always a green dildo in crypto, you just have to look from further to see it. It's so yuge).

/s (seriously), I guess you love the certificated of vaccination id on public visible blockchain, but how are you gonna financialize it? Shorting life expectancy futures?

/l (lol).
member
Activity: 192
Merit: 72
Security
Leafs are turning green.
Natures colour at its best...
Where the green dildo’s?

the dildo will be visible after we cross the 37k mark.
jr. member
Activity: 90
Merit: 6
HOPIUM (Wyckoff).



regarding my theory that crawler (whoever it is) are scanning this thread ongoing. after I posted the pic I had immediately 14 viewers of the pic on imgur.  Roll Eyes

lurkers? /s

No, Stalkers! /s

there is no sarcasm in the latter statement or is there?
that's the meaning of /s, lol

Isn't /s for stupid? confused.

Where the green dildo’s?[/i]

Would females buy green dildos with btc?

Step up your game ladies. Some women are out here multitasking and catching my attention for realz.  And she told me she owns #Bitcoin .

I believe that "ladies" love transparent chainz, as they can boast to their females friends how higher they believe to be in the shared ledger

@JJG & @bitebits:

Thanks for your posts regarding my cousin's coinage situation. ("coinage", "coinery", "thinkenings", I like it!).


Why aren't your cousin females buying in?

BTC morning pumping ....




I have a little problems, before the plandemic, I had sources at Icahn entreprise... but they fucked him and used the opportunity to leave the ship... So I don't know if he is still short... /s (sad). Do you have an idea /ss (sarcastic & stupid)?
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Leafs are turning green.
Natures colour at its best...
Where the green dildo’s?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
Update on the Binance card

I just got cashback from my ATM withdrawals, so apparently it doesn't register as an ATM withdrawal but rather a purchase.
That's nice to know.

Update on the update, the cashback from my ATM withdrawals were just reversed, so they do know.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
@JJG & @bitebits:

Thanks for your posts regarding my cousin's coinage situation. ("coinage", "coinery", "thinkenings", I like it!).

I really don't have any spare time at all for posting in WO right now. Too busy with a very important technical document at work (can't disclose much, but suffice to say that it concerns national security, and people can die if I make a mistake).

As bitebits pointed out, my cousin already got his first 0.1 BTC in the beginning of the month (spent $6k for it, which could sound absurdly expensive to noobs—read this in a couple of years, noobs), so technically he's already a coiner, albeit a teeny weeny tiny little one. He wired another $6k to buy moar (so, a total of $12k invested, with half available for new coins). Luckily, for him, yesterday corn dipped below his first limit order ($3k @ $34,100), so his order must have already been executed, raising his stash to 0.19 BTC. Not bad. Not bad at all. There is another limit order set up for the remaining fiat ($3k @ $30,500), which looks like it will never be executed (but, never say never again, says Sean Coinery).

My cousin may have gotten lucky this time, but I still (and likely always will) maintain my position of "the best time to buy BTC is right now". Waiting for a dip is more or less like rolling a dice, and, as such, you never really know what you're going to get. Of course, there are times when a short-term trend is forming, when you could (coulda, shoulda, woulda) do dis and do dat, but no, I don't want to do dat. I just buy when I can, and HoDL what I have. Has worked for me nicely over the years, won't be changing my strategy any time soon.


@Arrie:

Some friendly, "no offense" suggestions: get a new, modern laptop ASAP, costing no less than $800. Enable Wi-Fi in your home. Enable Windows Updates. Microsoft doesn't care at all who Arrie is, and will not attempt to attack you or extort you, but hackers could, if you don't receive critical updates. If you leaved your Volvo (was it a Volvo?) unused in your garage for 3 years, would you expect it to start up straight away? Computers are not perfect, and they are extremely complicated things, totally different from a stereo system. Your computer (even the very old one you currently have) is orders of magnitude more powerful than the computer on board the Apollo spacecraft that took man on the moon. Appreciate it for what it's done for you over the years, but also upgrade/replace it what the time comes, to make your life easier. See the glass half-full and hot half-empty, try to be less grouchy, and enjoy your newfound hobby of 3D printing.


Back to work it is for me... Keep on doing what you do, WOers!

Thanks, but it's not Microsofts feelings that bothers me, it's mine.
I would never accept a care maker to have the keys to my car and go in and rearrange and "update" things in my car at their will, or a house builder to have access to my house and come in and "update" my house and then leave at will.
The same goes for my computer, for me it's just as private as my car or my home.
And I have had that update start in the middle of a movie or a download or a letter I was writing, I just can't stand it.

And a Volvo has no problem starting after three years in a garage, just charge the battery first, I know this from experience. It's a Volvo.
But I might buy a new laptop, and I have just bought a used ADSL modem on Tradera, I'll have it in a couple of days, that should fix my wifi. They cost next to nothing now that all the cool kids are getting fiber.

Thanks for saving the world by the way.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13618
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Step up your game ladies. Some women are out here multitasking and catching my attention for realz.  And she told me she owns #Bitcoin . Young Chad on that Milk too.

free images com
https://twitter.com/goingparabolic/status/1398634517523537921?s=21

LoL  Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
I will never use win 10 unless I have too
It's a rape of your privacy, and it has forced downloads.
I use win 7 because of those reasons, and I always turn of updates.
As a gpu miner, I was forced to use win 10 although I prefer win 7. But there are bat files which turn off everything you want. The updates are a bit trickier but with some google hints I managed to turn them off completely. In case I want some software from MS Store, I temporatily allow the update services. In this way I have a full control of my windows.

The link to the bat files can be found in mining sites like
https://1stminingrig.com/best-windows-setup-configuration-tweaks-for-mining/
https://cryptoage.com/en/1922-install-and-configure-windows-10-for-mining-rig.html

Thanks, I'll save this for the future.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
HOPIUM (Wyckoff).



regarding my theory that crawler (whoever it is) are scanning this thread ongoing. after I posted the pic I had immediately 14 viewers of the pic on imgur.  Roll Eyes

lurkers? /s

No, Stalkers! /s

there is no sarcasm in the latter statement or is there?
that's the meaning of /s, lol
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