20x per epoch might be a bit too optimistic.
I would just stick with 5x previous ATH as a conservative expectation. Anything above that is a bonus and depends on factors you cannot predict. Like Michael Saylor said if a few billionaires suddenly enter the game all comparisons with what happened before just go out of the window.
100K 2020-2024
500K 2024-2028
2.5M 2028+
Looking at charts constantly and setting your expectations too high I think is just a waste of time.
You are nearly guilty of some similar thing that you are describing as problematic, BitcoinBunny, no?
Truth of the matter remains that bitcoin is a quite different kind of asset class that has never been witnessed previously in its current incarnation. Sure there have been variants of bitcoin, and bitcoin was NOT built from scratch, so we cannot really lock it into any kind of model of something that may have previously happened exactly - even while there are some decent parallels such as the internet (just not the value/money part) - while at the same time, some of the models/charts./graphs have better explanatory and predictive power than others, so long as we do not try to read any particular one(s) as gospel, which seems to be a similar thing that you are saying.
So, even though I am not really disagreeing with you on any of your points - especially regarding varying difficulties in predicting anything that is going to happen "in the future", I do believe that you ended up overstating your case to some degree in the poo pooing of the value of models and charts in these trying times.
Oh, and furthermore, some peeps get more worked up and emotional about charts and models than others, but it does not seem fair to generalize in saying that the varying levels of emotions (and even irrational exuberance from time to time) are necessarily either not warranted because they are speculating about the future rather than celebrating the past or that there might not be some value in going a little crazy in expressing both where we are and in anticipation of where we might be going.. including
CCCCIIIIIIIITTTTTTTEEEEEE status
regarding our lil fiend.. aka king daddy, aka dee honey badger, aka bitcoin.
wwwwwwwwhhhhhhhhhheeeeeeeee!!!!!