Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5984. (Read 26713514 times)

legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
When has the top of a cycle ever been just over 2 x the previous cycle high? Come on guys, you’re better than this FFS. This is just a regular (close to) 30% correction which happens multiple times in a bull run.

Rinse & repeat guys, we’re only at the second significant dip of this bull run (post halving).

This is the last bull run



You’ll see multiple significant corrections on the way up to $19,xxx.

Some of you have been in bitcoin even longer than me. Sack up FFS!

Yes, it is a second deep correction with the total number last time being 6.
I agree that two is maybe a low number, which probably portends well.
The only difference is the weak-hand institutional managers to whom 20% down is a 'bear market'.

I'd figure those institutional managers would try to get a clue about the world they're entering before committing their institutional bucks to something. Have they not seen the past charts? Haven't they factored in the possibility of mildish retracement (such at the present one, at least at the moment)?

Or, as one of our most raging bulls succintly put it, those institutional investors are supposed to have...

Much stronger hands than mailmen and grannies in 2017 if you ask me...  Grin

I always welcome your point of view btw. I'm out of merit and don't want to inflate WOsMerit too much either, least capt. Toxic spanks me for brrrrr-ing his creation to oblivion. Just keep it coming. Wink
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1903
Order @ $43.5k just got filled.


Well, I provided you 0.05 BTC of liquidity for ya...  [Careful readers of JJG posts might note my "sell DCA"]

BTC Amigos!  See other nearby thread by proudhon for definitive and proof that BTC's days are numbered!  It's been confirmed by China and Russia, and now I hear from my own South Korean contacts that they have demonstrated beyond doubt that $6500 *may* provide resistance.  Or maybe not.

"Abandon hope all ye who enter here"
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

That would be the low BELOW prior high, which never happened before, but there is always a first.

Someone even more bearish than you, Biodom...   Shocked Shocked Shocked


Go figure ur lil selfie.

@JJG, again, you have no clue about debt, seniority or debt covenants.
Either educate yourself or stop talking about s-t you have no clue about.

I was responding to you, diptwat, and I stand by my response, whether you agree that I sufficiently backed up my response or sufficiently explained myself or studied your stupid-ass talking points or not.


BTW, yes, I always try to play chess...it helps to generate "if..then" scenarios, especially when I am being chased by the bear...remember the relevant strategy?

I surely am NOT saying that it is NOT important to prepare for various strategies and even to prepare for the more extreme and outrageous strategies, but still my point earlier is that there remains a certain large degree of importance to be putting more preparations into more likely scenarios and less preparations into less likely scenarios - and that would include considering how much emphasis to give to talking about such niche theories.. good luck to your ongoing bearish nonsensical talking points... you will likely need it, especially given where we are at and where we are more likely to go (rather than your pie in the sky, "what ifs" blah blah blah).  

You will thank me later, if your pride doesn't happen to get in the way.   Wink Wink  #nohomo

......
Now I can relate to the toilet paper edited point... at least in my earlier days in bitcoin.. such as during 2015.. I had to suffer a bit on some of my luxuries..

Furthermore, I feel for you.. and ur lil "old" butt.. .. ..

By the way.. in the past 5 months-ish, i have been traveling, and I have a habit of drinking coffee in the morning and going on walks in the afternoons.. However, if traveling frequently my walks are in areas that I am NOT really clear about the availability (or locations of ) bathroom facilities, and sometimes the coffee that I drink in the mornings can create explosive kinds of situations that carry out into the afternoons.... so I have learned to carry some toilet paper in one of my pockets, but even with relatively nice toilet paper in my pocket, sometimes locations for carrying out "duties" can be quite lacking in luxury.....some branches and garbage lying around...  that's for sure.. especially given the kinds of places that I am sometimes walking.. including the unknown factors as I had suggested.   Wink Wink

I suppose then the term, "does a bear shit in woods?", (when used in this thread anyway) shall henceforward be updated to
"does a JJG shit in the woods?"......  perhaps?....

I am not feeling so good about those kinds of thinkenings.   Tongue Tongue

We're going higher to at least 6 digits guys!  Cool

I start to be more and more convinced about this.


It's week-end, the FUDsters are more active than ever on the forum and the $1.9 Billion Trillion printing machine may be starting to brrr again tomorrow.
I'm expecting and interesting March  Cheesy

Try trillion...

Fixed that for you
legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
Looking for campaign manager? Contact icopress!
We're going higher to at least 6 digits guys!  Cool

I start to be more and more convinced about this.


It's week-end, the FUDsters are more active than ever on the forum and the $1.9 Billion Trillion printing machine may be starting to brrr again tomorrow.
I'm expecting and interesting March  Cheesy


Edit: Thanks JJG for the correction. Trillion, O...M...G...
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 2334
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
I liked the almost 60k feeling, I felt rich, now not so much.

Edit: I even started buying soft 4 ply toilet paper, back to the cheap generic recycled stuff again.

Man, if you want an investment that pays a lifetime of dividends, Buy.... a..... bidet :-)

Seriously, this whole lockdown thing has given my life one major change: The incredible value and personal delight of a toilet mounted bidet. Even a $40 basic unit is so, so, so deliciously nice. I can't believe I lived my life without one for so long, all those wasted years.....

I am going to remodel one of my bathrooms this year and a key reason is to put a power outlet near the toilet so I can try one of those $300 Japanese heated, vented, powder your ass with gold bidets.

But a $30-$40 one is such a life improvement over wooden logs it's just amazing.
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
As we were discussing for the necessity of a correction, I am noticing that Net Realised PnL of the market has just turned negative:



https://studio.glassnode.com/metrics?a=BTC&category=Market%20Indicators&m=indicators.NetRealizedProfitLoss

What is this?
Quote
Net Realized Profit/Loss is the net profit or loss of all moved coins, and is defined by the difference of Realized Profit - Realized Loss

So we are basically looking at the difference between
Quote
Realized Profit denotes the total profit (USD value) of all moved coins whose price at their last movement was lower than the price at the current movement.

And of course:
Quote
Realized Loss denotes the total loss (USD value) of all moved coins whose price at their last movement was higher than the price at the current movement.

This means market is coooling off, a lot of traders are now in the red, and the trades making money are now less than those losing money. This balanced situation in the past was a prerequisite for the subsequent ramp up in the market.
I think this time won’t be different.

A month ago when we crossed this price for the first time we were at ATH. This means that overwhelming majority of transactions are spending UTXOs from within this month. New money just slushing around bloating the blocks, BTC float must be tinier than i thought

Edit: can also just be the outflow from exchanges of BTC bought this month e.g. Elon moving his stash to cold wallet
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 3514
born once atheist
......
Now I can relate to the toilet paper edited point... at least in my earlier days in bitcoin.. such as during 2015.. I had to suffer a bit on some of my luxuries..

Furthermore, I feel for you.. and ur lil "old" butt.. .. ..

By the way.. in the past 5 months-ish, i have been traveling, and I have a habit of drinking coffee in the morning and going on walks in the afternoons.. However, if traveling frequently my walks are in areas that I am NOT really clear about the availability (or locations of ) bathroom facilities, and sometimes the coffee that I drink in the mornings can create explosive kinds of situations that carry out into the afternoons.... so I have learned to carry some toilet paper in one of my pockets, but even with relatively nice toilet paper in my pocket, sometimes locations for carrying out "duties" can be quite lacking in luxury.....some branches and garbage lying around...  that's for sure.. especially given the kinds of places that I am sometimes walking.. including the unknown factors as I had suggested.   Wink Wink

I suppose then the term, "does a bear shit in woods?", (when used in this thread anyway) shall henceforward be updated to
"does a JJG shit in the woods?"......  perhaps?....
sr. member
Activity: 720
Merit: 388
When has the top of a cycle ever been just over 2 x the previous cycle high? Come on guys, you’re better than this FFS. This is just a regular (close to) 30% correction which happens multiple times in a bull run.

Rinse & repeat guys, we’re only at the second significant dip of this bull run (post halving).

This is the last bull run



You’ll see multiple significant corrections on the way up to $19,xxx.

Some of you have been in bitcoin even longer than me. Sack up FFS!

Yes, it is a second deep correction with the total number last time being 6.
I agree that two is maybe a low number, which probably portends well.
The only difference is the weak-hand institutional managers to whom 20% down is a 'bear market'.

Not really agree with the "second deep correction of  6". We are much more close to the 2013 scenario timeframe than the 2017. The second deep of the previous bull market was end of 2016/january 2017... We are almost in March 2021 and already way ahead of the previous cycle.. So it looks not correct, from my opinion, to compare.

The main thing we should keep in mind is that it is standard to see 25/30/35% corrections, before to see the TOP of the new cycle.

It is much more coherent to have this than a 120-240K$ TOP without any significant corrections between.
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

you became a real bear lately  Grin  this is the second time you call the top of this cycle.

We will here 7-8 more calls easily
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
@JJG, again, you have no clue about debt, seniority or debt covenants.
Either educate yourself or stop talking about s-t you have no clue about.
BTW, yes, I always try to play chess...it helps to generate "if..then" scenarios, especially when I am being chased by the bear...remember the relevant strategy?
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
When has the top of a cycle ever been just over 2 x the previous cycle high? Come on guys, you’re better than this FFS. This is just a regular (close to) 30% correction which happens multiple times in a bull run.

Rinse & repeat guys, we’re only at the second significant dip of this bull run (post halving).

This is the last bull run



You’ll see multiple significant corrections on the way up to $19,xxx.

Some of you have been in bitcoin even longer than me. Sack up FFS!

Yes, it is a second deep correction with the total number last time being 6.
I agree that two is maybe a low number, which probably portends well.
The only difference is the weak-hand institutional managers to whom 20% down is a 'bear market'.

Much stronger hands than mailmen and grannies in 2017 if you ask me...  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
When has the top of a cycle ever been just over 2 x the previous cycle high? Come on guys, you’re better than this FFS. This is just a regular (close to) 30% correction which happens multiple times in a bull run.

Rinse & repeat guys, we’re only at the second significant dip of this bull run (post halving).

This is the last bull run



You’ll see multiple significant corrections on the way up to $19,xxx.

Some of you have been in bitcoin even longer than me. Sack up FFS!

Yes, it is a second deep correction with the total number last time being 6.
I agree that two is maybe a low number, which probably portends well.
The only difference is the weak-hand institutional managers to whom 20% down is a 'bear market'.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

$58000 being the top is just out of the question. It's impossible. We're going higher to at least 6 digits guys!  Cool
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I wonder why weekends are mostly bearish these days?
This would pass as well.

institutional
money does not know a thing,
who is surprised here?

Early "Sunday" #haiku.

EDIT: BTW, I like those guys, but Saylor was chasing the price and E. Musk was clearly FOMO-ing, in a retrospect.
It most likely will still work out, but I hope that Saylor does not have some nasty conditions on this converts, especially the latest batch, bought at 52-53K.

Yes, overall you are seeming bullish Biodom, but you cannot help to get your little digs in, as if the actions of Saylor and Musk are not sustainable.,.

You are full of shit to be making those kinds of implications.

I reserve the right to make digs at anything I want, well, maybe not Satoshi.
That said, you do your little "buy down, sell up" things and I will do mine "whatever" strategy.

Fair enough.. and whatevers in regards to your strategy sounds about right... just go by what you are feeling at the time.   Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes   Tongue Tongue

As far as Saylor-I don't know what nasty covenants debt-giving people put in there, but I can assure you that something is there.
Do you think that someone gives a guy $1 bil at 0% coupon and not have some "protection"? Lol

From my perspective, you seem to be getting worked up about nothing.  Yeah, sure Saylor is in the news a lot in recent times  (his less than a year in bitcoin has resulted in 6-8 months of ongoing in the press and getting a lot of attention for whatever his variations of strategies, propagandizing and even seemingly quite adventurous kinds of techniques and buying that might even seem to be too good to be true - even though we don't really have any solid evidence - besides some whiners that what he is doing and saying is not true).

Regarding the specific terms of whatever contracts (financial debt instruments) that he creates, sure some of those terms might be private, but he also seems to be revealing a lot of the terms, which seems to be at least some of the requirements for publicly traded companies.  Yeah, sure he is playing some of his fame and credibility in a way that seems to allow him to even get terms that are more favorable to him, and might even cause some folks (including uie, Biodom) to question why any reasonable person/business might get into such a seemingly lopsided (unfavorable to them) contract.  In the end, peeps gonna do what peeps are going to do, and whatever products Saylor has created has gotten bought up in very short-periods of time, so it's NOT like the market does not want whatever he is selling, and it is quite likely that he has buuuku numbers and skill levels of attorneys looking at his actions/products to attempt to make sure that he/his company is not likely to get into trouble from regulators regarding whatever products they are offering and selling.


That said, check out MSTR long term chart-it might be instructive. Sometimes things don't exactly repeat themselves, but they sure do rhyme.

Probably you need to explain a bit better, Biodom.  You are suggesting that they are overvalued?  Do I give any shits?  It's going to play out however it plays out.  Is it going to bring bitcoin down?  what point are you making?  I am supposed to read your mind because whatever that happens to be in the MSTR charts is obvious as fuck?  I doubt it.  'Splain me like I am 7.   Tongue Tongue Tongue


Finally, if btc suddenly goes to 100K, 200K, 300K, it's all for the better, but we don't want MS suddenly selling the last batch of his btc at, say, 33K if debt holders raise a demand that he does so, providing that they can.

Sure any scenario could play out, and is that what you are getting at?  You focus on some kind of unlikely scenario and then you try to place way more probability on such scenario than it deserves?  and who fucking cares?  We gotta go to the $100k, $200k or $300k first.. won't that be ccccciiiiittting!!!!!.. Yeah, we can focus on the subsequent downside later.. and as if it such a downside is guaranteed or even close to guaranteed being condition precedent on the upside happening first...

Get fucking grip first, Biodom.. sure fancy thinking several steps ahead like a damned 3D chess wizzard, but in the end, sometimes thinking too far ahead and getting caught up into some kind of scenario that depends on a whole hell of a lot of factors is way the fuck too speculative  - even if we can all recognize that we do happen to be in a speculative thread.. but fringe theories are going NOT going to help your credibility, just like they did not help JStolfi very much when he was spouting out supposed academically backed fringe-ass scenario bitcoin theories of various things that could happen while ignoring more likely scenarios that ended up playing out..   Are you engaged in similar speculations that make you want to show like you have considered innovative theories while down-playing or even outright ignoring the more likely paths forward in bitcoinlandia?


I would be shocked if they don't have some "protection", though. After all, debt holders are in the senior position in any company structure.

Also, you are likely depending on Microstrategy's cashflow drying up...  so they cannot service the debts.. sure it "could" happen.  Seems likely to me that Microstrategy peeps including Saylor have decent ideas about their historical cashflows and even projecting them out, even if they seem to be changing some of their emphasis on bitcoin and might even becoming way more bitcoin dependent in a variety of ways..  but still they have likely considered a variety of scenarios and even considered that they can consider other scenarios as their business and their business model changes including that they are not necessarily locked into the present and they can move with the punches and adapt along the way, which are similar things that any company does that is taking risks and going down innovative paths including that they might fail in a variety of ways.. which may or may not end up affecting king daddy... cross that bridge when we get there including the likelihood that satoshi is going to be selling most (if not all) of his bitcoins at around the same time that Saylor and MSTR are forced to sell their coins.. sure sucks to be a bag HODLer in bitcoin during these crazy ass times... like as if I am locked in too..  Cry Cry Cry Cry
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

you became a real bear lately  Grin  this is the second time you call the top of this cycle.

Yep, I was wrong last time too.

Happily.

Cautiously pessimistic.
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

That would be the low BELOW prior high, which never happened before, but there is always a first.


As a PlanB zealot, I tend to rule out 15K too.

Stock to flow price according to  digitalik.net/BTC is  34,488. As market price has never been below 50% of this value, I am ready to call 17K the bottom.
Bear in mind that S2F model is rapidly growing by now, so the floor is rising fast too.

If market get below lower, S2F model breaks, and nobody know what happens then.


Ya, I threw $15k out there as just eyeballing the charts.

legendary
Activity: 1303
Merit: 1681
a Cray can run an endless loop in under 4 hours
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

you became a real bear lately  Grin  this is the second time you call the top of this cycle.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
When has the top of a cycle ever been just over 2 x the previous cycle high? Come on guys, you’re better than this FFS. This is just a regular (close to) 30% correction which happens multiple times in a bull run.

Rinse & repeat guys, we’re only at the second significant dip of this bull run (post halving).

This is the last bull run



You’ll see multiple significant corrections on the way up to $19,xxx.

Some of you have been in bitcoin even longer than me. Sack up FFS!
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 17063
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

That would be the low BELOW prior high, which never happened before, but there is always a first.


As a PlanB zealot, I tend to rule out 15K too.

Stock to flow price according to  digitalik.net/BTC is  34,488. As market price has never been below 50% of this value, I am ready to call 17K the bottom.
Bear in mind that S2F model is rapidly growing by now, so the floor is rising fast too.

If market get below lower, S2F model breaks, and nobody know what happens then.
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
I think we've reached the top for this cycle though I'm happy to be proven wrong. We either do a bounce back to around $50k and begin our long road down to $15k or this is just a correction on the way to an even bigger all time high.

There will be plenty of people talking about how "this time is different" just like the last 3 times. I remember the "China is getting in!" as the excuse many years ago and the cycle still played out the exact same way as it has every other time. "Corporations are getting in" is no different. China didn't save bitcoin from going down over time, the ICO craze didn't save bitcoin last time. Corporations won't save bitcoin this time.

Inflation of the dollar may help the price not dip as much but it will still dip.

My hodl strategy doesn't change. I already cashed out my spending money for the next 4 year cycle so I am fine either way. A higher ATH just means it will be that much higher in 4 years.

One awesome thing we will see next cycle is RGB. They just began testing the ability to send colored coins over LN. There will be LN smart contracts and LN DeFi coming to Bitcoin. The tech is going to be awesome.

This is the future.
https://twitter.com/dr_orlovsky/status/1366011192733483008

That would be the low BELOW prior high, which never happened before, but there is always a first.
Jump to: