Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 6023. (Read 26712899 times)

legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
(and the fact that segwit transactions are, in fact, larger than legacy transactions ...

Oh, I didn't know that. All I know is almost all my segwit transactions cost less in fees compared to legacy transactions.

I also run a full node, on a spinning platter too. I'll eventually move it to another computer so it can also run an Electrum server since I use that wallet. Not sure yet about Spectre (wallet.)
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
Im 99% sure that Peter Schiff is a big troll and he's definitely holding a lot of Bitcoins.. Every time he tweets about "BTC collapse", this is the time when it bottoms!  Cheesy



https://twitter.com/BTC_Archive/status/1363970282818519047

Seems like Peter Schiff is a glass half empty type of guy.

legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?

i too am fine with the current setup of small blocks. i want to be able to have my own local copy of the blockchain to verify transactions and holdings for myself. so occasional transfers where i dont mind 1 percent say or 100 buck fees to move something. but sooner or later its gonna be a whales only game with full blocks with large enough transactions where like say a minimum $20k USD miner fee will price plankton like myself out.

Bear in mind that many, many bitcoin users do not verify their blocks themselves (including myself. I powered down my full node a couple of years ago). you are asking them to support your need. Do you actually run a full node yourself BTW? I found it was providing no benefit and simply the fact that I *could* if I wanted to was good enough for me.

if im paying the fee to get into a block how is that asking others to support me? im paying my way and miners set that fee, not me. i pay to play.

and yes i have a full node on a dedicated 512gb ssd. its only online every couple weeks on average (bandwidth sucks here in the sticks), and its what i verify transactions with when im moving coin.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k

i too am fine with the current setup of small blocks. i want to be able to have my own local copy of the blockchain to verify transactions and holdings for myself. so occasional transfers where i dont mind 1 percent say or 100 buck fees to move something. but sooner or later its gonna be a whales only game with full blocks with large enough transactions where like say a minimum $20k USD miner fee will price plankton like myself out.

The blockchain is currently 320GB. Take your $100 and buy yourself a 4tb hard drive and store some porn on the free space.

Bear in mind that many, many bitcoin users do not verify their blocks themselves (including myself. I powered down my full node a couple of years ago). you are asking them to support your need. Do you actually run a full node yourself BTW? I found it was providing no benefit and simply the fact that I *could* if I wanted to was good enough for me.

Either way, fees are artificially high. Which is what I'm saying.
newbie
Activity: 62
Merit: 0
Im 99% sure that Peter Schiff is a big troll and he's definitely holding a lot of Bitcoins.. Every time he tweets about "BTC collapse", this is the time when it bottoms!  Cheesy

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eu3LusNXEAETbCY?format=jpg&name=large

https://twitter.com/BTC_Archive/status/1363970282818519047
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
It's not only about capacity, but also about confirmation time. Bitcoin (on-chain) is not well-suited for buying coffee, regardless of block size. 10 minutes is far too long and feels like an eternity against a cup of espresso to go. There are no fees for HoDLing. I don't mind paying $10 to transfer the equivalent of 1 kg of gold from Europe to the USA, nor do I mind paying $10 to load my hot wallet with $1000 chunks for my monthly expenses. Extremely low fees could cause spam attacks, just like email is full of spam because it's free. Gotta pay to sleep with Carolina. There is no free lunch.

Bitcoin is fine as it is.

HoDLsleep. Gotta shut down those lasers. Dreaming of $60k when I wake up (OK, maybe $56k).

If I wanted gold, I'd load my pockets with gold. Yeah, I like my mad gainz too but I never lose sight of what made scramble and take mad risks to get hold of Bitcoin way back when and high fees weren't it.

Mark you, I'm in no way against fees completely. I'll even say that I don't know where they should be. I'm saying that they are not currently being set by free market forces.

Note that there are a number of measures that could improve block storage (some of them mentioned in the whitepaper) and reduce spam. Relying on an artificially low block size limit has meant that the incentive to solve these issues correctly has been blunted.
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
It's not only about capacity, but also about confirmation time. Bitcoin (on-chain) is not well-suited for buying coffee, regardless of block size. 10 minutes is far too long and feels like an eternity against a cup of espresso to go. There are no fees for HoDLing. I don't mind paying $10 to transfer the equivalent of 1 kg of gold from Europe to the USA, nor do I mind paying $10 to load my hot wallet with $1000 chunks for my monthly expenses. Extremely low fees could cause spam attacks, just like email is full of spam because it's free. Gotta pay to sleep with Carolina. There is no free lunch.

Bitcoin is fine as it is.

HoDLsleep. Gotta shut down those lasers. Dreaming of $60k when I wake up (OK, maybe $56k).

i too am fine with the current setup of small blocks. i want to be able to have my own local copy of the blockchain to verify transactions and holdings for myself. so doing occasional transfers where i dont mind 1 percent say or 100 buck fees to move something. but sooner or later its gonna be a whales only game with full blocks with large enough transactions where like say a minimum $20k USD miner fee to get it into a block will price plankton like myself out. once institutions start routinely using btc only institutional sized miner fees will work.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!
It's not only about capacity, but also about confirmation time. Bitcoin (on-chain) is not well-suited for buying coffee, regardless of block size. 10 minutes is far too long and feels like an eternity against a cup of espresso to go. There are no fees for HoDLing. I don't mind paying $10 to transfer the equivalent of 1 kg of gold from Europe to the USA, nor do I mind paying $10 to load my hot wallet with $1000 chunks for my monthly expenses. Extremely low fees could cause spam attacks, just like email is full of spam because it's free. Gotta pay to sleep with Carolina. There is no free lunch.

Bitcoin is fine as it is.

HoDLsleep. Gotta shut down those lasers. Dreaming of $60k when I wake up (OK, maybe $56k).
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
There are a few possible objections to your legitimate (and probably informed) opinion that the fees are artificially high, apart from L2 - which I, differently from you, believe will solve or ease the issues.

A valid position and one I have held in the past (and had quite the discussion with Stolfi about at the time). However, it becomes ever more clear that Bitcoin is the way it is because it solves the problems that Bitcoin is designed to solve. Any second layer solution is not Bitcoin and will thus not solve the same problems. Hence the ever increasing complexity of LN and the ever extending time required. To be clear, I am not against LN and think it can be very useful in the problem domains it was originally envisioned to solve. However, it has had its scope increased as a way to put off increasing the blocksize which has done a disservice to not only those who had bold visions for Bitcoin but also the LN project itself.

- The actual block size has been made larger by the SegWit update. The bookkeeping has also changed to provide incentives towards certain types of transactions over others, and the new incentive system has deflected much public (uninformed) attention from the fact that there is more space in blocks today, not less.

The last block (at current time) was 1.16M with a rolling average looking more like 1.3. Disregarding the other arguments against segwit (and the fact that segwit transactions are, in fact, larger than legacy transactions, given that people are stuffing transactions into blocks as hard as they can right now with simple transaction fees in the 20-30 dollar range, that's paltry. Especially given it was clear we were soon to hit the block size limit regularly end 2015/beginning 2016.

- If the fees are artificially high now, why wouldn't they remain inflated after, say, a doubling of the size? The more the mining power gets centralized, the more room for abuse there is. A small size, at the very least, allows user nodes to check by themselves that there's no fuckery going on. Verify without trust.

Maybe. Less so. A simple doubling would have best been done in 2016 with a roadmap to other options down the line. LN should never have been something that everything was depending on. It wasn't fair to Bitcoin and it wasn't fair to the LN project.

When Satoshi added the block size limit, blocks were 1/100 of the size of that limit. That's huge headroom. The *natural* fee for a block would be the resource cost for validating and storing a transaction and the resources for hashing a block (which *does not* depend on block size) plus a small amount of profit multiplied over a number of miners. We're talking around 200 bytes. That's trivial and the block reward is still in play and arguably more valuable than ever. Meanwhile, improvements in technology have made this process ever cheaper. Fees should be marginal, Certainly nowhere near the 20-30 dollars currently required. This indicates an imbalance in incentives. This is why I say fees are artificially high. They are not what would be being set in a truly competitive free market.

With that said, it seems that a contentious fork has not provided an answer (for a variety of reasons) so I am curious to see how things play out.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
Quite a healthy pull back dancing between 50 - 55K. Really not much harm done. If you bought the dip then congrats. Soon we moon further.



legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Quote
There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

Indeed there are. That doesn't really impact the fact of the fees being artificially high.

A better argument is that the the 21 million coins limit is artificial too. Solid fact but that's part of the design where the link provided indicates that the block size limit was intended to only be temporary. Make of that what you will. It doesn't seem to have damaged Bitcoin so far but it has definitely limited use cases and cause disadoption in some cases.

I still think the way forward is through increased on-chain capacity. I'm deeply skeptical of second-layer solutions, particularly LN. In fact, if LN is actually a success in 18 months, I'll eat my (xhomerx10 provided) hat.

A serious response to my joking grimace of a post. Thank you.

There are a few possible objections to your legitimate (and probably informed) opinion that the fees are artificially high, apart from L2 - which I, differently from you, believe will solve or ease the issues.

- The actual block size has been made larger by the SegWit update. The bookkeeping has also changed to incentivize certain types of transactions over others. The new incentive system has deflected much public (uninformed) attention from the fact that there is more space in blocks today, not less.

- If the fees are artificially high now, why wouldn't they remain inflated after, say, a doubling of the size? The more the mining power gets centralized, the more room for abuse there is. A small size, at the very least, allows user nodes to check by themselves that there's no fuckery going on. Verify without trust.
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
Quote
There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

Indeed there are. That doesn't really impact the fact of the fees being artificially high.

A better argument is that the the 21 million coins limit is artificial too. Solid fact but that's part of the design where the link provided indicates that the block size limit was intended to only be temporary. Make of that what you will. It doesn't seem to have damaged Bitcoin so far but it has definitely limited use cases and cause disadoption in some cases.

I still think the way forward is through increased on-chain capacity. I'm deeply skeptical of second-layer solutions, particularly LN. In fact, if LN is actually a success in 18 months, I'll eat my (xhomerx10 provided) hat.

Eventually. Maybe. Maybe another megabyte in 10 years or something like that. It's not broken now, so it won't be an issue until at least 3 or 4 more halvings.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
Quote
There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

Indeed there are. That doesn't really impact the fact of the fees being artificially high.

A better argument is that the the 21 million coins limit is artificial too. Solid fact but that's part of the design where the link provided indicates that the block size limit was intended to only be temporary. Make of that what you will. It doesn't seem to have damaged Bitcoin so far but it has definitely limited use cases and cause disadoption in some cases.

I still think the way forward is through increased on-chain capacity. I'm deeply skeptical of second-layer solutions, particularly LN. In fact, if LN is actually a success in 18 months, I'll eat my (xhomerx10 provided) hat.
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597

Elon Musk literally crashed the market to create a Tesla logo in the charts.

The rich are toying with us like we are their play things with our precious Internet money.

In an alternative interpretation, Kraken had some trading engine mismatch problems over multiple coins, including btc.
Maybe btc decline was the cause of such calamity or the result of some faulty executions, who knows.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038

Why do you say the fees are artificially high?


I know you're being cute but for the benefit of anyone not aware...

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15366

There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

It is rumored that the exchanges delisting them were giggling through their teeth something like "highway your mom if you want highway", though no one could make any sense of that.

(I just had to post this for the benefit of anyone not aware.)

Thank you !!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

My pleasure.
hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!

Why do you say the fees are artificially high?


I know you're being cute but for the benefit of anyone not aware...

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15366

There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

It is rumored that the exchanges delisting them were giggling through their teeth something like "highway your mom if you want highway", though no one could make any sense of that.

(I just had to post this for the benefit of anyone not aware.)

Thank you !!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038

Why do you say the fees are artificially high?


I know you're being cute but for the benefit of anyone not aware...

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15366

There are many much coin with big block, some are very nice and very work much wow, like super wide cool highway. Fees no artificial high there.

It is rumored that the exchanges delisting them were giggling through their teeth something like "highway your mom if you want highway", though no one could make any sense of that.

(I just had to post this for the benefit of anyone not aware.)
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k

Why do you say the fees are artificially high?


I know you're being cute but for the benefit of anyone not aware...

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15366
hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!
Not a bad bounce so far. Keep going please.



   Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  Shocked

 I must say. WoW! First time a post of gurl with b00bs on this forum touched my inner sanctum. Cheesy Cheesy







That's my dodge girl mascot doing 10% jumps all day long. Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
Hello WO. Big dip today, any reason for it ? Are you buying the dip yet ?

El duderino_ : is that Igor on your cap ?

I did buy the dip, but too soon. When it went lower than we currently are again, i had no more fiat to burn.
You can't have it all, but i'm satisfied. I was already getting over-excited by recent BTC price rises, a pretty reliable indicator for corrections  Grin


As far as we are concerned, it may as well be. The difference between 18 million and 21 million, ... ok fine, it's still 3 million, but that doesn't matter in the long term. Plus, it will take a hundred years anyway.

recently, some WO fellow calculated that the 21m hardcap will be reached way sooner, around 2080 (iirc), while most of all coins (20.95m) should be mined until 2040 or so.



That was probably me? I did not calculate the sooner part but read it somewhere else, where the halving occurs in 3 years and 10 months, or about 2 months earlier than expected. So that implied 2079-ish for the last halving or the final satoshi instead of 2140.

The "almost" all coins, I've been saying it would be about 2040~2044, where we have  20,958,984.38 BTC or about 99.8% of all coins. From there to the next 40 or 100 years the mining becomes "insignificant" as each block reward is 0.09 BTC every 10 minutes or about 14.06 BTC per day, among all miners.

By 2030 we have 20.5m coins already.
by 2060, 99.99% of all coins are mined, block reward is 0.006 BTC every 10 minutes or 0.87 BTC per day, divided among all miners.
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