My 2c on timing:
At first, i was thinking that we will go through a regular cycle ending in late 2021.
However, I now think that this cycle would happen faster (at least initially). Maybe there will be a double-hump, but I will talk first about the initial phase.
facts:
1. We already "printed" 3.2-3.4 tril in US, maybe another 1-3 tril will be coming shortly.
2. Stock market was goosed and high beta stocks are outperforming
3. Gold is on a tear and $ declined a bit
4. many political factors are coming into play as well: fear of the 'other" side in US before the election.
To me all this indicates that we are right now not in 2016 equivalent (as we should be in relation to halving), but in the summer 2017-equivalent cycle-wise.
Therefore, it is entirely possible that we tear up to $70-100K with a local peak at anywhere between Nov 2020-Jan 2021.
This scenario would suggest a sharp correction to, say, $30-40K during spring-early summer of 2021, then another climb to potentially ultimate peak in late 2021 at $150-300K.
Something like this (please forgive my low skills in trading view):
At first, i was thinking that we will go through a regular cycle ending in late 2021.
However, I now think that this cycle would happen faster (at least initially). Maybe there will be a double-hump, but I will talk first about the initial phase.
facts:
1. We already "printed" 3.2-3.4 tril in US, maybe another 1-3 tril will be coming shortly.
2. Stock market was goosed and high beta stocks are outperforming
3. Gold is on a tear and $ declined a bit
4. many political factors are coming into play as well: fear of the 'other" side in US before the election.
To me all this indicates that we are right now not in 2016 equivalent (as we should be in relation to halving), but in the summer 2017-equivalent cycle-wise.
Therefore, it is entirely possible that we tear up to $70-100K with a local peak at anywhere between Nov 2020-Jan 2021.
This scenario would suggest a sharp correction to, say, $30-40K during spring-early summer of 2021, then another climb to potentially ultimate peak in late 2021 at $150-300K.
Something like this (please forgive my low skills in trading view):
I like it, Winkelvoss are saying something similar. I didn't want to say it but, maybe it is different this time!
Quote
The next Bitcoin bull run will be dramatically different. Today, there’s exponentially more capital, human capital, infrastructure, and high-quality projects than in 2017. Not to mention the very real specter of inflation that all fiat regimes face going forward. Buckle up!
https://twitter.com/winklevoss/status/1288479717776076802?s=20 
